RSRRSRReserve Rights$0.00131700+0.77%
24h High$0.00
24h Low$0.00
Volume$333,180
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / RSR
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

RSR Reserve Rights (RSR) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for RSR - Reserve Rights. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 884 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $173,417. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $0.00131700 (+0.77%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Reserve Rights (RSR) is the governance and over-collateralization token for the Reserve protocol, which issues asset-backed stablecoins (RTokens). Listed since 2019 with multi-cycle history, RSR price responds to stablecoin-narrative cycles, RToken adoption, and emerging-market currency-debasement themes.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View RSR Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
3.29
Sortino Ratio
4.02
Profit Factor
1.92
Calmar Ratio
20.64
Win Rate
39.8%
Max Drawdown
-14.3%
Avg Drawdown
-14.26%
Alpha vs B&H
+8,950.6pp
Total Trades
884
Exposure
57.2%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
RSR

RSR Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
-6.8%
9t
+40.7%
40t
+15.3%
42t
+32.7%
45t
+14.1%
37t
+13.6%
21t
+16.3%
35t
+134.4%
37t
+140.7%
56t
 +1,607.2%
2025 +39.0%
34t
 		+39.2%
43t
 		+27.2%
32t
 		+64.4%
45t
 		+1.9%
42t
 		+22.1%
44t
 		+18.2%
29t
 		+6.6%
27t
 		-10.9%
24t
 		+72.8%
28t
 		-21.6%
32t
 		+23.0%
31t
 		+842.6%
2026 -2.2%
17t
 		+33.6%
29t
 		+33.0%
43t
 		+26.9%
41t
+19.1%
21t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +162.5%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +1,634.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↓ Low win rate: 39.8% — profits depend on a few large winners.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 884 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.82% on 80 trades, WR 76%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.24% on 234 trades, WR 20%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for RSR over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 80 76.3% +3.82% 12.64 13.6
BULL 125 44.8% +1.07% 2.42 13.9
BEAR 293 42.0% +0.66% 1.85 11.4

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+22.9%
Win Rate
44.0%
22W / 28L
Max Drawdown
-4.3%
€10,000 Invested
€12,294
1.2x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
20 May 2026 02:00 20 May 2026 16:00 $0.0017000 $0.0018000 +2.29% NEUTRAL 15 signal
18 May 2026 07:00 20 May 2026 01:00 $0.0017000 $0.0017000 +0.96% NEUTRAL 43 trail
17 May 2026 23:00 18 May 2026 06:00 $0.0018000 $0.0018000 -1.46% CRASH 8 stop
17 May 2026 17:00 17 May 2026 21:00 $0.0018000 $0.0018000 +0.09% BULL 5 signal
17 May 2026 03:00 17 May 2026 12:00 $0.0018000 $0.0018000 +0.47% BULL 10 signal
15 May 2026 21:00 16 May 2026 11:00 $0.0019000 $0.0019000 -1.46% BEAR 15 stop
14 May 2026 08:00 15 May 2026 10:00 $0.0019000 $0.0019000 +1.68% BULL 27 signal
13 May 2026 16:00 14 May 2026 00:00 $0.0019000 $0.0019000 -0.25% BEAR 9 signal
13 May 2026 14:00 13 May 2026 15:00 $0.0020000 $0.0019000 -1.46% NEUTRAL 2 stop
13 May 2026 01:00 13 May 2026 12:00 $0.0020000 $0.0020000 -1.46% BULL 12 stop
12 May 2026 09:00 12 May 2026 11:00 $0.0020000 $0.0020000 -1.20% NEUTRAL 3 signal
12 May 2026 04:00 12 May 2026 07:00 $0.0020000 $0.0020000 -0.06% NEUTRAL 4 signal
10 May 2026 21:00 11 May 2026 23:00 $0.0021000 $0.0020000 -1.46% BULL 27 stop
10 May 2026 09:00 10 May 2026 19:00 $0.0021000 $0.0022000 +5.85% BULL 11 exit_fp
09 May 2026 23:00 10 May 2026 08:00 $0.0021000 $0.0021000 -1.46% BULL 10 stop
08 May 2026 13:00 08 May 2026 15:00 $0.0021000 $0.0021000 +0.84% NEUTRAL 3 signal
07 May 2026 23:00 08 May 2026 10:00 $0.0020000 $0.0021000 +5.95% BULL 12 exit_fp
06 May 2026 15:00 06 May 2026 19:00 $0.0020000 $0.0020000 +1.00% BULL 5 short_signal
05 May 2026 18:00 05 May 2026 21:00 $0.0019000 $0.0020000 +3.79% NEUTRAL 4 signal
02 May 2026 23:00 03 May 2026 08:00 $0.0017000 $0.0017000 -0.07% NEUTRAL 10 signal
30 Apr 2026 11:00 02 May 2026 14:00 $0.0017000 $0.0018000 +5.54% BEAR 52 signal
29 Apr 2026 16:00 30 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.0017000 $0.0017000 -1.46% BEAR 19 stop
29 Apr 2026 14:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.0017000 $0.0017000 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
28 Apr 2026 00:00 29 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.0018000 $0.0018000 -1.46% NEUTRAL 32 stop
27 Apr 2026 13:00 27 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.0018000 $0.0018000 -1.46% BEAR 11 stop
27 Apr 2026 07:00 27 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.0018000 $0.0018000 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop
27 Apr 2026 05:00 27 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.0019000 $0.0019000 -1.46% BEAR 2 stop
25 Apr 2026 21:00 26 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.0017000 $0.0019000 +9.62% BEAR 25 signal
25 Apr 2026 16:00 25 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.0018000 $0.0017000 -1.46% CRASH 5 stop
24 Apr 2026 23:00 25 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.0018000 $0.0018000 +0.65% NEUTRAL 3 signal
22 Apr 2026 23:00 24 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.0018000 $0.0018000 +2.55% BEAR 41 signal
22 Apr 2026 21:00 22 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.0018000 $0.0018000 -1.46% BEAR 2 stop
21 Apr 2026 18:00 22 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.0017000 $0.0018000 +2.27% BEAR 27 trail
21 Apr 2026 14:00 21 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.0017000 $0.0017000 -1.46% CRASH 4 stop
20 Apr 2026 12:00 21 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.0018000 $0.0018000 +1.62% CRASH 16 trail
20 Apr 2026 08:00 20 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.0018000 $0.0018000 -1.46% CRASH 4 stop
19 Apr 2026 21:00 20 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.0018000 $0.0019000 +2.12% BEAR 6 exit_fp
18 Apr 2026 17:00 19 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.0017000 $0.0018000 +8.91% BEAR 27 signal
18 Apr 2026 14:00 18 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.0017000 $0.0017000 -1.46% CRASH 3 stop
18 Apr 2026 10:00 18 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.0017000 $0.0017000 -1.46% BEAR 4 stop
18 Apr 2026 00:00 18 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.0017000 $0.0018000 +1.24% BEAR 3 signal
17 Apr 2026 02:00 17 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.0017000 $0.0017000 -0.41% BEAR 8 signal
16 Apr 2026 22:00 17 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.0017000 $0.0017000 +0.42% BEAR 3 signal
14 Apr 2026 20:00 16 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.0015000 $0.0016000 +10.48% BEAR 41 signal
14 Apr 2026 08:00 14 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.0015000 $0.0015000 -1.46% BEAR 9 stop
13 Apr 2026 03:00 14 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.0015000 $0.0015000 +4.01% CRASH 29 trail
12 Apr 2026 02:00 13 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.0015000 $0.0015000 -1.46% BEAR 25 stop
11 Apr 2026 16:00 12 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.0015000 $0.0015000 -1.46% CRASH 10 stop
11 Apr 2026 11:00 11 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.0015000 $0.0015000 -1.46% CRASH 5 stop
10 Apr 2026 16:00 11 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.0015000 $0.0015000 -1.46% BEAR 19 stop

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39.8% Win Rate Sharpe 3.29 884 Trades -14.3% Max Drawdown