Backtests / TNSR
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

TNSR Tensor (TNSR) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for TNSR - Tensor. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Oct 2024 → May 2026 across 3 walk-forward cycles (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 769 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $118,512. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) 3 Walk-Forward Cycles Oct 2024 – May 2026
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Tensor (TNSR) is the governance token of Tensor, the dominant NFT trading platform on Solana. As NFT trading volumes fluctuate with market sentiment, TNSR provides leveraged exposure to Solana ecosystem activity. The token is relatively newer with lower liquidity, creating larger percentage moves that our model navigates through careful position sizing.

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
2.75
Sortino Ratio
4.64
Profit Factor
1.83
Calmar Ratio
36.81
Win Rate
36.2%
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Avg Drawdown
-14.76%
Alpha vs B&H
+9,167,546.7pp
Total Trades
256
Exposure
55.2%
Beats B&H
3/3
Sharpe Trend
-0.08
TNSR

TNSR Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
+35.6%
13t
+145.8%
44t
+37.5%
50t
+358.3%
2025 +11.9%
29t
+29.7%
27t
-14.8%
44t
+25.5%
33t
+3.4%
36t
-3.7%
31t
+7.8%
51t
+13.0%
27t
-3.3%
33t
-7.0%
25t
+743.8%
66t
+25.3%
53t
+1,688.3%
2026 +1.8%
43t
+84.2%
50t
+0.1%
30t
-3.9%
50t
-3.6%
34t
+73.9%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +1,085.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Low win rate: 36.2% — profits depend on a few large winners.
  • Large drawdown: -19.7% — expect volatility on capital.
  • Robust sample: 256 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +17.31% on 9 trades, WR 56%.
  • Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.37% on 292 trades, WR 17%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for TNSR over the latest walk-forward cycle (2025-11-10 → 2026-05-20) with every entry () and exit ( profitable, loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 9 58.3% +13.41% 20.03 4.2
BULL 54 53.2% +2.95% 7.34 10.2
BEAR 312 43.5% +0.63% 1.99 11.3

Per-Cycle Resultsv6.2 Pythia

Each cycle is an independent out-of-sample test period aligned with a Bitcoin halving cycle. The model is trained on earlier cycles and tested on the next — never seeing the test data during training.

Cycle Period Sharpe Return MaxDD Win Rate Trades B&H
1 Oct '24 – May '25 3.74 134% -14.8% 34.6% 240 Yes
2 May '25 – Nov '25 0.86 16% -9.8% 37.1% 213 Yes
3 Nov '25 – May '26 3.66 338% -19.7% 37.0% 316 Yes

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
19 May 2026 03:00 20 May 2026 20:00 $0.03850 $0.03950 +2.18% BEAR 42 signal
18 May 2026 17:00 19 May 2026 00:00 $0.03870 $0.03880 -0.15% BEAR 8 signal
18 May 2026 15:00 18 May 2026 16:00 $0.03940 $0.03900 -1.46% BEAR 2 stop
17 May 2026 03:00 18 May 2026 13:00 $0.03830 $0.03850 +0.11% BEAR 35 signal
15 May 2026 14:00 17 May 2026 02:00 $0.03920 $0.03880 -1.46% BEAR 37 stop
15 May 2026 10:00 15 May 2026 13:00 $0.04110 $0.04070 -1.46% CRASH 4 stop
14 May 2026 20:00 15 May 2026 09:00 $0.04250 $0.04210 -1.46% CRASH 14 stop
14 May 2026 16:00 14 May 2026 19:00 $0.04300 $0.04260 -1.46% BEAR 4 stop
14 May 2026 07:00 14 May 2026 14:00 $0.04190 $0.04240 +0.78% BEAR 8 signal
13 May 2026 13:00 14 May 2026 06:00 $0.04270 $0.04230 -1.46% BEAR 18 stop
13 May 2026 09:00 13 May 2026 11:00 $0.04520 $0.04480 -1.46% BEAR 3 stop
12 May 2026 15:00 12 May 2026 17:00 $0.04370 $0.04420 +0.73% BEAR 3 signal
12 May 2026 12:00 12 May 2026 14:00 $0.04470 $0.04430 -1.46% BEAR 3 stop
12 May 2026 07:00 12 May 2026 11:00 $0.04500 $0.04460 -1.46% NEUTRAL 5 stop
11 May 2026 08:00 11 May 2026 16:00 $0.04390 $0.04420 +0.27% BULL 9 signal
10 May 2026 21:00 11 May 2026 06:00 $0.04360 $0.04400 +0.50% NEUTRAL 10 signal
10 May 2026 02:00 10 May 2026 06:00 $0.04380 $0.04400 +0.05% BEAR 5 signal
09 May 2026 21:00 09 May 2026 23:00 $0.04390 $0.04420 +0.27% BEAR 3 signal
08 May 2026 19:00 08 May 2026 21:00 $0.04270 $0.04340 +1.22% NEUTRAL 3 signal
08 May 2026 09:00 08 May 2026 18:00 $0.04190 $0.04280 +1.73% NEUTRAL 10 exit_fp
08 May 2026 01:00 08 May 2026 08:00 $0.04090 $0.04210 +2.51% NEUTRAL 8 exit_fp
07 May 2026 21:00 07 May 2026 23:00 $0.04070 $0.04120 +0.81% BEAR 3 signal
07 May 2026 03:00 07 May 2026 17:00 $0.04020 $0.04080 +1.08% BEAR 15 signal
06 May 2026 14:00 07 May 2026 02:00 $0.04100 $0.04060 -1.46% NEUTRAL 13 stop
06 May 2026 03:00 06 May 2026 06:00 $0.04090 $0.04110 +0.08% NEUTRAL 4 signal
05 May 2026 15:00 05 May 2026 21:00 $0.03990 $0.04030 +0.59% NEUTRAL 7 signal
05 May 2026 10:00 05 May 2026 14:00 $0.04030 $0.03990 -1.46% BEAR 5 stop
05 May 2026 00:00 05 May 2026 02:00 $0.03970 $0.04000 +0.34% BEAR 3 signal
04 May 2026 16:00 04 May 2026 18:00 $0.03980 $0.04000 +0.09% BEAR 3 signal
04 May 2026 11:00 04 May 2026 14:00 $0.03960 $0.03990 +0.35% BEAR 4 signal
04 May 2026 07:00 04 May 2026 10:00 $0.04010 $0.03970 -1.46% BEAR 4 stop
03 May 2026 16:00 04 May 2026 03:00 $0.03960 $0.04020 +1.10% NEUTRAL 12 signal
03 May 2026 01:00 03 May 2026 03:00 $0.03960 $0.03960 -0.41% BEAR 3 signal
30 Apr 2026 12:00 01 May 2026 01:00 $0.03970 $0.03980 -0.16% BEAR 14 signal
30 Apr 2026 07:00 30 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.04010 $0.04000 -0.66% BEAR 4 signal
29 Apr 2026 16:00 30 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.04040 $0.04000 -1.46% CRASH 11 stop
29 Apr 2026 09:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.04100 $0.04060 -1.46% BEAR 7 stop
28 Apr 2026 23:00 29 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.04030 $0.04100 +1.32% BEAR 6 signal
28 Apr 2026 12:00 28 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.04080 $0.04070 -0.65% BEAR 4 signal
27 Apr 2026 22:00 28 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.04120 $0.04110 -0.65% BEAR 3 signal
27 Apr 2026 07:00 27 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.03870 $0.04100 +5.51% NEUTRAL 4 signal
26 Apr 2026 16:00 27 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.04000 $0.04000 -0.41% BEAR 10 signal
25 Apr 2026 14:00 26 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.03980 $0.03940 -1.46% CRASH 13 stop
25 Apr 2026 09:00 25 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.04040 $0.04000 -1.46% CRASH 5 stop
24 Apr 2026 21:00 25 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.04050 $0.04090 +0.57% BEAR 4 signal
24 Apr 2026 16:00 24 Apr 2026 19:00 $0.04040 $0.04120 +1.56% BEAR 4 signal
24 Apr 2026 10:00 24 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.03950 $0.04050 +2.11% BEAR 6 exit_fp
24 Apr 2026 01:00 24 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.04000 $0.03960 -1.46% BEAR 9 stop
23 Apr 2026 18:00 23 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.03820 $0.04010 +4.54% BEAR 6 signal
23 Apr 2026 05:00 23 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.03800 $0.03840 +0.64% BEAR 9 signal

Start Trading Tensor Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time TNSR signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

36.2% Win Rate Sharpe 2.75 256 Trades -19.7% Max Drawdown