PORTALPORTALPortal$0.015900+1.79%
24h High$0.02
24h Low$0.02
Volume$5.5M
Updated15:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / PORTAL
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

PORTAL Portal (PORTAL) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for PORTAL - Portal. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Sep 2024 → May 2026 across 3 walk-forward cycles (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 747 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $108,809. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) 3 Walk-Forward Cycles Sep 2024 – May 2026 $0.015900 (+1.79%)
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Portal (PORTAL) is a Web3 gaming aggregator that connects games across multiple chains with a unified wallet, identity, and asset layer. Listed via Binance Launchpool in February 2024 with limited but expanding history. Price reacts to gaming-cycle rotations, partner-game launches, and broader Web3-gaming narratives.

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
3.18
Sortino Ratio
4.33
Profit Factor
1.86
Calmar Ratio
35.36
Win Rate
42.4%
Max Drawdown
-12.0%
Avg Drawdown
-9.79%
Alpha vs B&H
+31,339,248.4pp
Total Trades
249
Exposure
51.4%
Beats B&H
3/3
Sharpe Trend
-1.04
PORTAL

PORTAL Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
-1.7%
3t
+23.1%
36t
+67.8%
43t
+29.1%
42t
+162.2%
2025 +39.5%
45t
+38.4%
44t
+10.8%
60t
+29.2%
27t
+25.6%
46t
+11.5%
44t
+29.6%
40t
+35.8%
27t
+0.9%
28t
+48.4%
32t
+41.7%
36t
+44.0%
46t
+1,981.2%
2026
+14.2%
26t
+26.3%
36t
-9.6%
34t
+40.9%
35t
+17.3%
17t
+115.4%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +988.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Robust sample: 249 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +3.93% on 4 trades, WR 50%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for PORTAL over the latest walk-forward cycle (2025-11-01 → 2026-05-20) with every entry () and exit ( profitable, loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BULL 4 50.0% +3.93% 8.34 16.5
BEAR 246 59.9% +1.31% 3.64 11.6

Per-Cycle Resultsv6.2 Pythia

Each cycle is an independent out-of-sample test period aligned with a Bitcoin halving cycle. The model is trained on earlier cycles and tested on the next — never seeing the test data during training.

Cycle Period Sharpe Return MaxDD Win Rate Trades B&H
1 Sep '24 – Apr '25 3.62 154% -8.2% 41.3% 286 Yes
2 Apr '25 – Nov '25 3.34 114% -9.1% 44.4% 232 Yes
3 Nov '25 – May '26 2.59 99% -12.0% 41.5% 229 Yes

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
18 May 2026 00:00 19 May 2026 10:00 $0.0087000 $0.0086000 -1.46% BEAR 35 stop
16 May 2026 08:00 17 May 2026 16:00 $0.0089000 $0.0091000 +1.49% BEAR 33 signal
15 May 2026 17:00 16 May 2026 07:00 $0.0094000 $0.0093000 -1.46% CRASH 15 stop
13 May 2026 16:00 15 May 2026 13:00 $0.0098000 $0.0097000 -1.46% CRASH 46 stop
13 May 2026 13:00 13 May 2026 15:00 $0.01040 $0.01030 -1.46% CRASH 3 stop
10 May 2026 21:00 12 May 2026 00:00 $0.01060 $0.01100 +3.54% BEAR 28 signal
09 May 2026 16:00 09 May 2026 19:00 $0.01070 $0.01080 +0.52% BEAR 4 signal
09 May 2026 03:00 09 May 2026 08:00 $0.01080 $0.01100 +1.81% BEAR 6 signal
08 May 2026 03:00 09 May 2026 02:00 $0.01030 $0.01080 +3.73% BEAR 24 exit_fp
06 May 2026 22:00 08 May 2026 02:00 $0.01010 $0.01050 +3.73% BEAR 29 trail
06 May 2026 05:00 06 May 2026 21:00 $0.01000 $0.01010 +0.39% CRASH 17 exit_fp
05 May 2026 09:00 05 May 2026 20:00 $0.01150 $0.01170 +1.06% BEAR 12 signal
04 May 2026 21:00 05 May 2026 00:00 $0.01170 $0.01160 -0.84% BEAR 4 signal
03 May 2026 21:00 04 May 2026 02:00 $0.01150 $0.01170 +1.33% BEAR 6 signal
03 May 2026 06:00 03 May 2026 08:00 $0.01150 $0.01160 +0.89% BEAR 3 signal
02 May 2026 14:00 02 May 2026 16:00 $0.01140 $0.01170 +2.74% BEAR 3 signal
29 Apr 2026 17:00 02 May 2026 08:00 $0.01130 $0.01150 +1.71% BEAR 64 signal
27 Apr 2026 10:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.01160 $0.01150 -1.46% BEAR 54 stop
27 Apr 2026 01:00 27 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.01150 $0.01140 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop
25 Apr 2026 15:00 26 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.01160 $0.01190 +2.69% BEAR 15 signal
25 Apr 2026 04:00 25 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.01180 $0.01170 -1.46% CRASH 11 stop
24 Apr 2026 04:00 25 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.01170 $0.01180 +0.19% BEAR 24 exit_fp
23 Apr 2026 03:00 24 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.01120 $0.01170 +3.94% BEAR 25 exit_fp
22 Apr 2026 09:00 23 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.01200 $0.01190 -1.46% CRASH 18 stop
22 Apr 2026 03:00 22 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.01270 $0.01260 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop
21 Apr 2026 10:00 22 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.01360 $0.01350 -1.46% CRASH 17 stop
21 Apr 2026 06:00 21 Apr 2026 09:00 $0.01460 $0.01450 -1.46% CRASH 4 stop
21 Apr 2026 02:00 21 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.01520 $0.01510 -1.46% CRASH 4 stop
20 Apr 2026 13:00 21 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.01190 $0.01520 +27.53% BEAR 13 exit_fp
20 Apr 2026 07:00 20 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.01210 $0.01200 -1.46% CRASH 5 stop
19 Apr 2026 23:00 20 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.01130 $0.01210 +6.57% CRASH 8 exit_fp
19 Apr 2026 13:00 19 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.01190 $0.01180 -1.46% CRASH 10 stop
19 Apr 2026 04:00 19 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.01250 $0.01240 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
18 Apr 2026 19:00 19 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.01110 $0.01100 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
18 Apr 2026 16:00 18 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.01210 $0.01200 -1.46% CRASH 3 stop
16 Apr 2026 10:00 17 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.0088000 $0.0096000 +8.91% BEAR 29 exit_fp
13 Apr 2026 03:00 14 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.0080000 $0.0086000 +6.82% BEAR 37 signal
12 Apr 2026 17:00 13 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.0082000 $0.0081000 -1.46% CRASH 9 stop
12 Apr 2026 02:00 12 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.0084000 $0.0083000 -1.46% CRASH 10 stop
10 Apr 2026 04:00 11 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.0084000 $0.0085000 +1.38% CRASH 38 signal
09 Apr 2026 14:00 10 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.0086000 $0.0085000 -1.46% CRASH 11 stop
08 Apr 2026 19:00 09 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.0087000 $0.0087000 +0.05% CRASH 9 signal
08 Apr 2026 00:00 08 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.0088000 $0.0087000 -1.46% BEAR 19 stop
07 Apr 2026 03:00 07 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.0085000 $0.0088000 +3.22% CRASH 21 exit_fp
06 Apr 2026 21:00 07 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.0089000 $0.0089000 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop
05 Apr 2026 17:00 06 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.0091000 $0.0090000 -1.46% BEAR 28 stop
04 Apr 2026 14:00 04 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.0092000 $0.0095000 +2.95% CRASH 8 signal
04 Apr 2026 05:00 04 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.0094000 $0.0093000 -1.46% CRASH 8 stop
04 Apr 2026 01:00 04 Apr 2026 03:00 $0.0095000 $0.0095000 -0.93% BEAR 3 signal
03 Apr 2026 05:00 03 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.0093000 $0.0096000 +2.47% CRASH 14 signal

Start Trading Portal Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time PORTAL signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

42.4% Win Rate Sharpe 3.18 249 Trades -12.0% Max Drawdown