STRKSTRKStarknet$0.034000-0.58%
24h High$0.04
24h Low$0.03
Volume$755,072
Updated16:43 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / STRK
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

STRK Starknet (STRK) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for STRK - Starknet. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Sep 2024 → May 2026 across 3 walk-forward cycles (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 670 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $92,150. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) 3 Walk-Forward Cycles Sep 2024 – May 2026 $0.034000 (-0.58%)
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Starknet (STRK) is a leading Ethereum ZK-rollup using STARK cryptographic proofs and the Cairo programming language. Token launched via airdrop in February 2024, providing roughly one-and-a-half cycles of trading data. Price responds to ZK-narrative phases, L2-fee-market dynamics, and protocol-upgrade milestones.

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
2.83
Sortino Ratio
3.79
Profit Factor
1.79
Calmar Ratio
24.03
Win Rate
40.0%
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Avg Drawdown
-12.78%
Alpha vs B&H
+2,280,604.7pp
Total Trades
223
Exposure
49.4%
Beats B&H
3/3
Sharpe Trend
-1.40
STRK

STRK Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
+9.4%
20t
+9.5%
23t
+70.4%
36t
+54.9%
36t
+216.3%
2025 +16.1%
26t
+19.3%
33t
+29.8%
31t
+6.6%
26t
+29.5%
42t
+14.6%
25t
+3.0%
25t
-8.8%
12t
+4.0%
27t
+30.9%
43t
+270.5%
65t
-3.7%
36t
+1,198.4%
2026
-7.7%
36t
+11.9%
34t
+0.1%
36t
+5.5%
35t
-7.9%
23t
+0.4%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +821.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Large drawdown: -17.4% — expect volatility on capital.
  • Robust sample: 223 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +4.49% on 25 trades, WR 56%.
  • Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.31% on 297 trades, WR 22%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for STRK over the latest walk-forward cycle (2025-10-29 → 2026-05-20) with every entry () and exit ( profitable, loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +16.65% 0.00 3.0
BULL 25 61.2% +4.08% 9.42 12.9
BEAR 297 52.6% +0.86% 2.72 11.2

Per-Cycle Resultsv6.2 Pythia

Each cycle is an independent out-of-sample test period aligned with a Bitcoin halving cycle. The model is trained on earlier cycles and tested on the next — never seeing the test data during training.

Cycle Period Sharpe Return MaxDD Win Rate Trades B&H
1 Sep '24 – Apr '25 3.80 162% -11.1% 45.8% 212 Yes
2 Apr '25 – Oct '25 2.30 59% -9.8% 42.2% 187 Yes
3 Oct '25 – May '26 2.40 122% -17.4% 32.1% 271 Yes

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
19 May 2026 12:00 19 May 2026 22:00 $0.04040 $0.04000 -1.46% CRASH 11 stop
18 May 2026 18:00 19 May 2026 11:00 $0.03940 $0.04040 +2.10% BEAR 18 trail
18 May 2026 00:00 18 May 2026 17:00 $0.04090 $0.04050 -1.46% BEAR 18 stop
17 May 2026 02:00 17 May 2026 23:00 $0.04210 $0.04170 -1.46% CRASH 22 stop
16 May 2026 07:00 17 May 2026 01:00 $0.04230 $0.04190 -1.46% BEAR 19 stop
15 May 2026 14:00 16 May 2026 06:00 $0.04380 $0.04340 -1.46% BEAR 17 stop
14 May 2026 06:00 15 May 2026 13:00 $0.04630 $0.04590 -1.46% CRASH 32 stop
13 May 2026 22:00 14 May 2026 05:00 $0.04700 $0.04660 -1.46% BEAR 8 stop
13 May 2026 16:00 13 May 2026 21:00 $0.04730 $0.04690 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop
13 May 2026 13:00 13 May 2026 15:00 $0.04830 $0.04780 -1.46% BEAR 3 stop
13 May 2026 06:00 13 May 2026 12:00 $0.05000 $0.04950 -1.46% BEAR 7 stop
12 May 2026 10:00 13 May 2026 04:00 $0.04840 $0.05090 +4.74% NEUTRAL 19 exit_fp
12 May 2026 04:00 12 May 2026 09:00 $0.04910 $0.04860 -1.46% BEAR 6 stop
12 May 2026 02:00 12 May 2026 03:00 $0.04930 $0.04880 -1.46% BEAR 2 stop
11 May 2026 20:00 12 May 2026 01:00 $0.05050 $0.05000 -1.46% NEUTRAL 6 stop
10 May 2026 21:00 11 May 2026 19:00 $0.05100 $0.05050 -1.46% NEUTRAL 23 stop
09 May 2026 19:00 10 May 2026 20:00 $0.05150 $0.05100 -1.46% BEAR 26 stop
06 May 2026 14:00 07 May 2026 01:00 $0.04070 $0.04030 -1.46% CRASH 12 stop
06 May 2026 08:00 06 May 2026 13:00 $0.04330 $0.04290 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop
06 May 2026 03:00 06 May 2026 07:00 $0.04150 $0.04330 +3.91% BEAR 5 exit_fp
04 May 2026 21:00 06 May 2026 02:00 $0.03830 $0.04150 +7.91% BEAR 30 exit_fp
03 May 2026 07:00 04 May 2026 20:00 $0.03930 $0.03890 -1.46% CRASH 38 stop
30 Apr 2026 13:00 01 May 2026 15:00 $0.03900 $0.03920 +0.10% BEAR 27 signal
30 Apr 2026 00:00 30 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.03850 $0.03940 +1.92% BEAR 9 signal
29 Apr 2026 16:00 29 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.03880 $0.03840 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
28 Apr 2026 01:00 29 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.03820 $0.03920 +2.16% BEAR 39 trail
27 Apr 2026 08:00 28 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.03860 $0.03820 -1.46% BEAR 17 stop
26 Apr 2026 23:00 27 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.03990 $0.03950 -1.46% CRASH 9 stop
25 Apr 2026 05:00 26 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.04030 $0.03990 -1.46% BEAR 42 stop
24 Apr 2026 14:00 25 Apr 2026 04:00 $0.04120 $0.04080 -1.46% BEAR 15 stop
23 Apr 2026 18:00 24 Apr 2026 12:00 $0.04240 $0.04200 -1.46% BEAR 19 stop
23 Apr 2026 11:00 23 Apr 2026 17:00 $0.04270 $0.04230 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
23 Apr 2026 09:00 23 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.04550 $0.04510 -1.46% BEAR 2 stop
21 Apr 2026 18:00 21 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.03640 $0.03720 +1.78% BEAR 3 signal
21 Apr 2026 00:00 21 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.03650 $0.03680 +0.41% BEAR 6 signal
20 Apr 2026 21:00 20 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.03670 $0.03640 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
19 Apr 2026 23:00 20 Apr 2026 20:00 $0.03400 $0.03670 +7.50% BEAR 22 exit_fp
19 Apr 2026 11:00 19 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.03490 $0.03460 -1.46% CRASH 12 stop
19 Apr 2026 01:00 19 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.03520 $0.03490 -1.46% BEAR 10 stop
18 Apr 2026 11:00 19 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.03560 $0.03530 -1.46% CRASH 14 stop
17 Apr 2026 11:00 17 Apr 2026 13:00 $0.03590 $0.03740 +3.75% BEAR 3 signal
16 Apr 2026 13:00 16 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.03510 $0.03570 +1.29% BEAR 3 signal
14 Apr 2026 19:00 15 Apr 2026 21:00 $0.03230 $0.03470 +6.99% CRASH 27 exit_fp
14 Apr 2026 00:00 14 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.03320 $0.03290 -1.46% CRASH 19 stop
13 Apr 2026 07:00 13 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.03330 $0.03300 -1.46% BEAR 9 stop
12 Apr 2026 02:00 13 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.03380 $0.03350 -1.46% BEAR 29 stop
11 Apr 2026 01:00 12 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.03440 $0.03510 +1.62% CRASH 24 signal
09 Apr 2026 02:00 11 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.03270 $0.03450 +5.11% CRASH 47 trail
08 Apr 2026 09:00 08 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.03360 $0.03330 -1.46% CRASH 10 stop
08 Apr 2026 00:00 08 Apr 2026 05:00 $0.03470 $0.03440 -1.46% CRASH 6 stop

Start Trading Starknet Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time STRK signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

40.0% Win Rate Sharpe 2.83 223 Trades -17.4% Max Drawdown