XVGXVGVerge$0.00252700+1.61%
24h High$0.00
24h Low$0.00
Volume$152,617
Updated14:38 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Backtests / XVG
OMNISCIUS · V6.2 (PYTHIA)

XVG Verge (XVG) Backtest

We ran a full walk-forward backtest using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v6.2 Pythia model for XVG - Verge. The results below cover the complete out-of-sample window from Apr 2024 → May 2026 across 1 walk-forward cycle (= train on the past, test exclusively on unseen future bars, then roll the window). The model executed 1,140 trades in total, compounding an initial $10,000 base to a final value of $1,159,363. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on every signal to simulate live execution latency — the same decision logic runs in production.

Model v6.2 (Pythia) • 1 Walk-Forward Cycle • Apr 2024 – May 2026 • $0.00252700 (+1.61%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Verge (XVG) is a long-running privacy-focused cryptocurrency that routes transactions through Tor and I2P to obscure user identity. Listed since 2016, XVG has full multi-cycle history including the 2017 and 2021 bull markets. Price action is dominated by privacy-narrative cycles and periodic retail-driven momentum bursts. Lower liquidity creates larger percentage swings.

KPIs Equity Curve Price & Trades Regimes Trade Log All Backtests View XVG Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. A Sharpe above 3.0 and a profit factor above 1.5 mean winners decisively outweigh losers — by design the model wins on size, not on frequency.

Sharpe Ratio
3.92
Sortino Ratio
5.66
Profit Factor
1.87
Calmar Ratio
67.92
Win Rate
40.7%
Max Drawdown
-13.0%
Avg Drawdown
-13.01%
Alpha vs B&H
+15,646.0pp
Total Trades
1,140
Exposure
69.0%
Beats B&H
1/1
Cycles
1
XVG

XVG Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
-16.4%
14t
+34.0%
44t
-2.3%
43t
+21.2%
35t
+19.7%
39t
+26.4%
39t
+13.1%
38t
+83.1%
43t
+150.9%
45t
 +943.1%
2025 +15.2%
52t
 		+59.9%
56t
 		+40.9%
54t
 		+58.0%
42t
 		+62.6%
51t
 		+36.9%
46t
 		+20.7%
45t
 		+8.4%
36t
 		-4.2%
42t
 		+106.7%
64t
 		+60.7%
46t
 		+35.9%
48t
 		+5,067.8%
2026 +109.5%
60t
 		+30.5%
43t
 		+2.6%
38t
 		+22.6%
43t
+9.7%
34t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +277.3%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +11,493.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 1140 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +5.80% on 28 trades, WR 89%.
  • ↓ Weakest regime: CRASH — avg -0.32% on 325 trades, WR 24%.

Equity Curvev6.2 Pythia

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each cycle starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Price & trade markers

1H candles for XVG over the latest walk-forward cycle (2024-04-22 → 2026-05-20) with every entry (▲) and exit (▼ profitable, ▼ loss). Older cycles are summarized in the per-cycle table below.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Regime Breakdownv6.2 Pythia

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 28 89.3% +5.80% 55.09 11.5
BULL 169 58.6% +2.30% 5.05 10.5
BEAR 350 37.7% +0.42% 1.47 12.2

Trade Logv6.2 Pythia

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Apr 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+9.1%
Win Rate
36.0%
18W / 32L
Max Drawdown
-7.6%
€10,000 Invested
€10,914
1.1x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
19 May 2026 23:00 20 May 2026 07:00 $0.0032000 $0.0033000 +2.93% BEAR 9 exit_fp
19 May 2026 15:00 19 May 2026 20:00 $0.0032000 $0.0032000 +0.12% CRASH 6 signal
19 May 2026 05:00 19 May 2026 08:00 $0.0033000 $0.0033000 -1.16% CRASH 4 signal
18 May 2026 05:00 18 May 2026 11:00 $0.0032000 $0.0032000 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
18 May 2026 01:00 18 May 2026 03:00 $0.0032000 $0.0032000 -0.53% CRASH 3 signal
17 May 2026 23:00 17 May 2026 23:00 $0.0033000 $0.0032000 -1.46% CRASH 1 stop
17 May 2026 15:00 17 May 2026 19:00 $0.0034000 $0.0033000 -1.46% CRASH 5 stop
17 May 2026 10:00 17 May 2026 14:00 $0.0034000 $0.0034000 -1.46% CRASH 5 stop
16 May 2026 10:00 17 May 2026 09:00 $0.0032000 $0.0034000 +7.56% NEUTRAL 24 exit_fp
15 May 2026 14:00 16 May 2026 09:00 $0.0034000 $0.0033000 -1.46% CRASH 20 stop
15 May 2026 12:00 15 May 2026 13:00 $0.0035000 $0.0035000 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
14 May 2026 23:00 15 May 2026 11:00 $0.0037000 $0.0037000 -1.46% BEAR 13 stop
14 May 2026 16:00 14 May 2026 22:00 $0.0036000 $0.0037000 +2.90% BEAR 7 exit_fp
13 May 2026 14:00 14 May 2026 15:00 $0.0034000 $0.0036000 +3.52% BEAR 26 exit_fp
13 May 2026 12:00 13 May 2026 13:00 $0.0035000 $0.0035000 -1.46% CRASH 2 stop
12 May 2026 14:00 13 May 2026 11:00 $0.0036000 $0.0036000 -1.46% BEAR 22 stop
10 May 2026 12:00 12 May 2026 13:00 $0.0038000 $0.0037000 -1.46% CRASH 50 stop
09 May 2026 20:00 10 May 2026 05:00 $0.0037000 $0.0037000 +0.73% BEAR 10 signal
08 May 2026 22:00 09 May 2026 18:00 $0.0037000 $0.0037000 -1.46% BEAR 21 stop
08 May 2026 04:00 08 May 2026 21:00 $0.0036000 $0.0037000 +2.67% BEAR 18 exit_fp
07 May 2026 15:00 08 May 2026 03:00 $0.0037000 $0.0036000 -1.46% BEAR 13 stop
07 May 2026 11:00 07 May 2026 14:00 $0.0037000 $0.0037000 -1.46% CRASH 4 stop
07 May 2026 08:00 07 May 2026 10:00 $0.0037000 $0.0037000 -1.46% CRASH 3 stop
07 May 2026 01:00 07 May 2026 06:00 $0.0037000 $0.0037000 +0.43% CRASH 6 signal
06 May 2026 12:00 07 May 2026 00:00 $0.0038000 $0.0038000 -1.46% CRASH 13 stop
05 May 2026 03:00 05 May 2026 13:00 $0.0036000 $0.0036000 -1.46% BEAR 11 stop
04 May 2026 16:00 05 May 2026 02:00 $0.0036000 $0.0036000 -1.46% CRASH 11 stop
04 May 2026 11:00 04 May 2026 14:00 $0.0035000 $0.0036000 +2.12% CRASH 4 signal
04 May 2026 00:00 04 May 2026 02:00 $0.0035000 $0.0037000 +3.96% CRASH 3 signal
02 May 2026 18:00 03 May 2026 10:00 $0.0032000 $0.0034000 +5.00% BEAR 17 exit_fp
02 May 2026 06:00 02 May 2026 14:00 $0.0032000 $0.0033000 +2.23% CRASH 9 signal
01 May 2026 20:00 02 May 2026 04:00 $0.0033000 $0.0033000 -1.46% CRASH 9 stop
01 May 2026 15:00 01 May 2026 19:00 $0.0031000 $0.0033000 +5.57% CRASH 5 exit_fp
30 Apr 2026 03:00 01 May 2026 06:00 $0.0031000 $0.0031000 -1.46% BEAR 28 stop
29 Apr 2026 17:00 30 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.0033000 $0.0032000 -1.46% CRASH 10 stop
28 Apr 2026 07:00 29 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.0033000 $0.0032000 -1.46% CRASH 34 stop
27 Apr 2026 07:00 28 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.0033000 $0.0033000 -1.46% BEAR 24 stop
26 Apr 2026 03:00 27 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.0034000 $0.0033000 -1.46% CRASH 28 stop
25 Apr 2026 09:00 26 Apr 2026 02:00 $0.0034000 $0.0034000 -1.46% BEAR 18 stop
24 Apr 2026 17:00 25 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.0034000 $0.0034000 -1.46% CRASH 16 stop
24 Apr 2026 11:00 24 Apr 2026 16:00 $0.0035000 $0.0035000 -1.46% BEAR 6 stop
23 Apr 2026 01:00 24 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.0034000 $0.0035000 +2.19% CRASH 34 exit_fp
21 Apr 2026 19:00 23 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.0036000 $0.0035000 -1.46% CRASH 30 stop
21 Apr 2026 14:00 21 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.0036000 $0.0036000 -1.46% CRASH 5 stop
20 Apr 2026 14:00 21 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.0036000 $0.0037000 +2.41% CRASH 22 signal
19 Apr 2026 09:00 20 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.0036000 $0.0037000 +3.60% BEAR 24 exit_fp
19 Apr 2026 02:00 19 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.0037000 $0.0037000 -1.46% CRASH 7 stop
18 Apr 2026 19:00 19 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.0035000 $0.0037000 +7.38% CRASH 7 exit_fp
18 Apr 2026 08:00 18 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.0036000 $0.0036000 -1.46% CRASH 11 stop
17 Apr 2026 06:00 18 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.0034000 $0.0037000 +6.70% CRASH 26 trail

Start Trading Verge Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time XVG signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

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40.7% Win Rate Sharpe 3.92 1,140 Trades -13.0% Max Drawdown