Backtests / ID

Space ID (ID) Backtest

Walk-forward validated backtest results for Space ID. The model is trained on historical data and tested exclusively on unseen future data.

1 Walk-Forward Fold Apr 2024 – Apr 2026 $0.031300 (-4.57%)

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.

Sharpe Ratio
10.89
Win Rate
75.8%
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Total Trades
343
Sortino Ratio
11.32
Profit Factor
13.35
Exposure
32.5%
Beats B&H
1/1

Equity Curve

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each fold starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Regime Breakdown

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 152 58.6% +2.48% 16.84 9.7
BULL 46 73.9% +3.32% 4.06 33.9
SIDEWAYS 143 94.4% +4.30% 32.78 19.2
BEAR 2 100.0% +1.62% 0.00 14.5

Trade Log

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest.

Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.92% BUBBLE 8 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +6.06% BUBBLE 19 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +3.86% BUBBLE 10 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +5.33% BULL 91 trail
$0.00 $0.00 +1.99% BULL 14 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +4.04% BULL 42 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -0.87% BULL 23 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +3.55% BULL 15 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +3.53% BULL 40 trail
$0.00 $0.00 +7.84% BULL 28 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +4.84% BULL 39 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.31% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +0.56% BUBBLE 2 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +1.13% BUBBLE 45 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -0.31% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +1.84% BUBBLE 9 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.31% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +1.64% BUBBLE 23 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.31% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +8.41% BUBBLE 29 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -0.31% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.31% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.31% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.55% BUBBLE 6 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +0.19% BUBBLE 2 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +4.62% BUBBLE 11 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +2.21% BUBBLE 4 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +0.04% BUBBLE 12 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -0.31% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +5.39% BUBBLE 36 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -0.31% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.31% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +11.00% SIDEWAYS 19 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +5.13% SIDEWAYS 29 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +4.64% SIDEWAYS 21 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +5.16% SIDEWAYS 48 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +5.28% SIDEWAYS 20 trail
$0.00 $0.00 +2.48% SIDEWAYS 25 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +4.60% SIDEWAYS 33 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +5.06% SIDEWAYS 25 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +9.09% SIDEWAYS 24 take_profit
$0.00 $0.00 +7.22% SIDEWAYS 19 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +3.61% SIDEWAYS 5 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -0.09% BULL 23 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +21.07% BULL 35 exit_fp

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These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time ID signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

75.8% Win Rate Sharpe 10.89 343 Trades Free Plan Available