Backtests / NFP
OMNISCIUS · V4.2 (THEROS)

NFP NFP (NFP) Backtest

Walk-forward validated backtest results for NFP. The model is trained on historical data and tested exclusively on unseen future data.

6 Walk-Forward Cycles • May 2024 – May 2026 • $0.016840 (-5.92%)
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

NFPrompt (NFP) is a Web3 platform where users create and trade AI-generated NFT content using prompt-engineering tools. The token rewards prompt creators and curators. Listed late-2023 on Binance Launchpool, NFP rides AI + NFT narrative cycles.

KPIs Equity Curve Regimes Per-Cycle Trade Log View NFP Signals →

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.

Sharpe Ratio
12.45
Sortino Ratio
10.40
Profit Factor
41.38
Calmar Ratio
174,399.69
Win Rate
88.3%
Max Drawdown
-10.3%
Avg Drawdown
-7.49%
Alpha vs B&H
+628,000,946.6pp
Total Trades
61
Exposure
36.5%
Beats B&H
6/6
Sharpe Trend
+1.99
NFP

NFP Monthly Returns

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2024
—
—
—
—
+83.4%
16t
+41.8%
17t
+89.3%
14t
+74.4%
12t
+101.6%
13t
+103.0%
19t
+274.8%
19t
+191.6%
19t
 +38,333.4%
2025
+159.1%
18t
+144.8%
14t
+48.7%
11t
+121.4%
18t
+146.1%
14t
+44.6%
17t
+109.3%
20t
+140.5%
13t
+38.5%
11t
+165.9%
17t
+93.2%
13t
+72.1%
14t
 +457,810.7%
2026
+69.6%
15t
+51.6%
9t
+72.6%
14t
+90.7%
14t
+22.6%
2t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +937.7%

Derived from the walk-forward trade log. Cells link to the matching paper-trade page when available. Color intensity = magnitude.

Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +6.28M× — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 61 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +5.33% on 64 trades, WR 84%.

Regime Breakdown

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 108 88.1% +4.45% 15.71 15.5
BULL 64 89.2% +7.22% 13.75 20.2
SIDEWAYS 158 89.9% +4.99% 55.84 20.6
BEAR 33 78.2% +4.96% 31.46 25.3

Per-Cycle Results

Each cycle is an independent out-of-sample test period aligned with a Bitcoin halving cycle. The model is trained on earlier cycles and tested on the next — never seeing the test data during training.

Cycle Period Sharpe Return MaxDD Win Rate Trades B&H
1 May '24 – Sep '24 10.26 716% -10.3% 77.0% 61 Yes
2 Sep '24 – Jan '25 14.95 36.2x -5.3% 93.0% 71 Yes
3 Jan '25 – May '25 12.82 18.8x -9.4% 93.5% 62 Yes
4 May '25 – Sep '25 12.03 13.0x -7.5% 81.3% 64 Yes
5 Sep '25 – Jan '26 12.40 960% -4.8% 91.1% 56 Yes
6 Jan '26 – May '26 12.25 604% -7.5% 93.9% 49 Yes

Trade Log

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Jan 2026 – May 2026).

Compound Return
+644.6%
Win Rate
94.0%
47W / 3L
Max Drawdown
-7.3%
€10,000 Invested
€74,457
7.4x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
01 May 2026 22:00 02 May 2026 02:00 $0.01790 $0.01670 -7.25% SIDEWAYS 5 short_signal
30 Apr 2026 09:00 01 May 2026 09:00 $0.01180 $0.01570 +32.20% SIDEWAYS 25 exit_fp
29 Apr 2026 01:00 29 Apr 2026 11:00 $0.01580 $0.01590 +0.03% SIDEWAYS 11 short_signal
27 Apr 2026 07:00 27 Apr 2026 14:00 $0.01550 $0.01640 +5.45% SIDEWAYS 8 exit_fp
26 Apr 2026 02:00 26 Apr 2026 10:00 $0.01580 $0.01610 +1.55% SIDEWAYS 9 short_signal
23 Apr 2026 01:00 24 Apr 2026 15:00 $0.01450 $0.01610 +10.52% SIDEWAYS 39 exit_fp
19 Apr 2026 23:00 21 Apr 2026 00:00 $0.01370 $0.01490 +8.07% SIDEWAYS 26 take_profit
18 Apr 2026 19:00 18 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.01520 $0.01610 +5.48% SIDEWAYS 4 exit_fp
17 Apr 2026 12:00 17 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.01520 $0.01540 +0.97% SIDEWAYS 12 exit_fp
15 Apr 2026 11:00 16 Apr 2026 23:00 $0.01320 $0.01450 +9.32% SIDEWAYS 37 take_profit
13 Apr 2026 00:00 14 Apr 2026 18:00 $0.01310 $0.01340 +1.38% BEAR 43 trail
09 Apr 2026 01:00 09 Apr 2026 07:00 $0.01340 $0.01400 +4.27% BEAR 7 exit_fp
07 Apr 2026 02:00 08 Apr 2026 06:00 $0.01300 $0.01370 +4.70% BEAR 29 trail
05 Apr 2026 16:00 06 Apr 2026 08:00 $0.01300 $0.01380 +5.41% BEAR 17 exit_fp
02 Apr 2026 22:00 04 Apr 2026 01:00 $0.01380 $0.01490 +7.31% BEAR 28 exit_fp
01 Apr 2026 17:00 01 Apr 2026 22:00 $0.01380 $0.01410 +2.27% BEAR 6 exit_fp
31 Mar 2026 10:00 31 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.01290 $0.01340 +3.29% BEAR 14 trail
29 Mar 2026 17:00 30 Mar 2026 12:00 $0.01330 $0.01370 +2.67% BEAR 20 exit_fp
22 Mar 2026 21:00 23 Mar 2026 20:00 $0.01520 $0.01570 +2.78% BEAR 24 trail
20 Mar 2026 21:00 20 Mar 2026 23:00 $0.01630 $0.01630 -0.04% SIDEWAYS 3 signal
15 Mar 2026 14:00 17 Mar 2026 04:00 $0.01590 $0.01670 +4.72% BEAR 39 trail
14 Mar 2026 05:00 14 Mar 2026 13:00 $0.01620 $0.01720 +5.88% BEAR 9 exit_fp
13 Mar 2026 08:00 13 Mar 2026 15:00 $0.01620 $0.01690 +3.70% BEAR 8 exit_fp
12 Mar 2026 06:00 12 Mar 2026 19:00 $0.01530 $0.01580 +3.16% BEAR 14 trail
10 Mar 2026 03:00 11 Mar 2026 09:00 $0.01470 $0.01640 +10.73% BEAR 31 exit_fp
08 Mar 2026 17:00 09 Mar 2026 07:00 $0.01430 $0.01470 +1.83% BEAR 15 trail
08 Mar 2026 01:00 08 Mar 2026 04:00 $0.01420 $0.01400 -2.33% BEAR 4 stop
03 Mar 2026 04:00 04 Mar 2026 19:00 $0.01430 $0.01550 +7.95% BEAR 40 exit_fp
01 Mar 2026 19:00 02 Mar 2026 15:00 $0.01410 $0.01470 +3.83% BEAR 21 exit_fp
28 Feb 2026 07:00 01 Mar 2026 01:00 $0.01390 $0.01510 +8.19% BEAR 19 exit_fp
26 Feb 2026 17:00 27 Feb 2026 09:00 $0.01450 $0.01530 +5.09% BEAR 17 exit_fp
23 Feb 2026 17:00 25 Feb 2026 17:00 $0.01450 $0.01540 +5.77% BEAR 49 exit_fp
15 Feb 2026 17:00 16 Feb 2026 12:00 $0.01750 $0.01830 +4.14% BEAR 20 exit_fp
12 Feb 2026 23:00 14 Feb 2026 04:00 $0.01750 $0.01780 +1.31% BEAR 30 trail
11 Feb 2026 09:00 12 Feb 2026 10:00 $0.01650 $0.01770 +6.83% BEAR 26 exit_fp
06 Feb 2026 01:00 06 Feb 2026 16:00 $0.01680 $0.01800 +6.70% BEAR 16 exit_fp
03 Feb 2026 18:00 03 Feb 2026 20:00 $0.01860 $0.02000 +7.09% BEAR 3 exit_fp
02 Feb 2026 01:00 02 Feb 2026 15:00 $0.01940 $0.01990 +2.16% BEAR 15 exit_fp
31 Jan 2026 17:00 01 Feb 2026 00:00 $0.01890 $0.01970 +3.69% BEAR 8 regime_exit
30 Jan 2026 10:00 30 Jan 2026 18:00 $0.02140 $0.02190 +1.92% SIDEWAYS 9 exit_fp
29 Jan 2026 19:00 29 Jan 2026 21:00 $0.02150 $0.02180 +0.98% SIDEWAYS 3 signal
27 Jan 2026 15:00 27 Jan 2026 21:00 $0.02320 $0.02370 +1.74% SIDEWAYS 7 signal
25 Jan 2026 19:00 26 Jan 2026 18:00 $0.02250 $0.02360 +4.46% SIDEWAYS 24 signal
24 Jan 2026 22:00 25 Jan 2026 00:00 $0.02400 $0.02440 +1.25% SIDEWAYS 3 signal
24 Jan 2026 02:00 24 Jan 2026 04:00 $0.02410 $0.02430 +0.42% SIDEWAYS 3 signal
20 Jan 2026 23:00 22 Jan 2026 01:00 $0.02420 $0.02600 +7.00% SIDEWAYS 27 exit_fp
19 Jan 2026 00:00 19 Jan 2026 18:00 $0.02540 $0.02630 +3.12% SIDEWAYS 19 exit_fp
15 Jan 2026 19:00 17 Jan 2026 12:00 $0.02650 $0.02870 +7.86% SIDEWAYS 42 exit_fp
12 Jan 2026 09:00 14 Jan 2026 00:00 $0.02540 $0.02800 +9.79% SIDEWAYS 40 exit_fp
08 Jan 2026 09:00 09 Jan 2026 08:00 $0.02530 $0.02680 +5.50% SIDEWAYS 24 short_signal

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88.3% Win Rate Sharpe 12.45 61 Trades -10.3% Max Drawdown