Render (RNDR) Backtest
Walk-forward validated backtest results for Render. The model is trained on historical data and tested exclusively on unseen future data.
Model 2.5.8.3
•
1 Walk-Forward Fold
•
Apr 2024 – Apr 2026
•
$7.0300 (-0.31%)
Render (RNDR) is a decentralized GPU computing network that connects artists and developers needing rendering power with GPU providers. At the intersection of crypto, AI, and the metaverse, RNDR benefits from multiple narrative tailwinds. The token shows strong momentum during AI computing demand surges and has outperformed many assets during AI-driven rallies.
Performance Overview
Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.
Sharpe Ratio
13.76
Win Rate
92.5%
Max Drawdown
-6.8%
Total Trades
334
Sortino Ratio
15.07
Profit Factor
38.65
Exposure
36.3%
Beats B&H
1/1
Equity Curve
Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each fold starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.
Regime Breakdown
Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.
| Regime | Trades | Win Rate | Avg PnL | Profit Factor | Avg Bars |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUBBLE | 101 | 87.1% | +5.11% | 36.13 | 16.5 |
| BULL | 44 | 93.2% | +6.58% | 14.16 | 29.2 |
| SIDEWAYS | 146 | 95.2% | +5.75% | 119.69 | 18.4 |
| BEAR | 43 | 93.0% | +5.50% | 39.10 | 17.8 |
Trade Log
Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Jan 2026 – Apr 2026).
Compound Return
+361.7%
Win Rate
92.0%
46W / 4L
Max Drawdown
-2.9%
€10,000 Invested
€46,168
4.6x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
| Entry | Exit | Entry Price | Exit Price | PnL | Regime | Bars | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr 2026 23:00 | 09 Apr 2026 15:00 | $2.00 | $2.07 | +3.48% | BEAR | 17 | exit_fp |
| 06 Apr 2026 23:00 | 08 Apr 2026 01:00 | $1.86 | $2.06 | +10.23% | BEAR | 27 | exit_fp |
| 05 Apr 2026 08:00 | 06 Apr 2026 04:00 | $1.86 | $2.00 | +7.16% | BEAR | 21 | exit_fp |
| 02 Apr 2026 02:00 | 03 Apr 2026 12:00 | $1.72 | $1.90 | +9.94% | BEAR | 35 | signal |
| 31 Mar 2026 17:00 | 01 Apr 2026 08:00 | $1.71 | $1.83 | +6.77% | BEAR | 16 | exit_fp |
| 29 Mar 2026 23:00 | 30 Mar 2026 08:00 | $1.65 | $1.75 | +5.67% | BEAR | 10 | exit_fp |
| 28 Mar 2026 01:00 | 28 Mar 2026 13:00 | $1.64 | $1.73 | +5.17% | BEAR | 13 | exit_fp |
| 24 Mar 2026 20:00 | 25 Mar 2026 10:00 | $1.76 | $1.90 | +7.74% | BEAR | 15 | exit_fp |
| 23 Mar 2026 01:00 | 24 Mar 2026 07:00 | $1.61 | $1.79 | +11.08% | BEAR | 31 | exit_fp |
| 19 Mar 2026 13:00 | 20 Mar 2026 04:00 | $1.64 | $1.77 | +7.35% | BEAR | 16 | exit_fp |
| 15 Mar 2026 15:00 | 16 Mar 2026 07:00 | $1.85 | $1.87 | +0.88% | BEAR | 17 | signal |
| 14 Mar 2026 22:00 | 15 Mar 2026 02:00 | $1.83 | $1.92 | +4.71% | BEAR | 5 | exit_fp |
| 12 Mar 2026 02:00 | 13 Mar 2026 06:00 | $1.49 | $1.86 | +24.26% | BEAR | 29 | exit_fp |
| 11 Mar 2026 01:00 | 11 Mar 2026 13:00 | $1.48 | $1.54 | +3.67% | BEAR | 13 | signal |
| 09 Mar 2026 01:00 | 09 Mar 2026 13:00 | $1.36 | $1.41 | +3.14% | BEAR | 13 | signal |
| 06 Mar 2026 21:00 | 08 Mar 2026 08:00 | $1.36 | $1.38 | +1.45% | BEAR | 36 | signal |
| 05 Mar 2026 16:00 | 06 Mar 2026 07:00 | $1.36 | $1.42 | +4.32% | BEAR | 16 | exit_fp |
| 03 Mar 2026 14:00 | 04 Mar 2026 15:00 | $1.32 | $1.44 | +8.59% | BEAR | 26 | exit_fp |
| 01 Mar 2026 20:00 | 02 Mar 2026 07:00 | $1.32 | $1.35 | +1.95% | BEAR | 12 | trail |
| 28 Feb 2026 10:00 | 01 Mar 2026 01:00 | $1.31 | $1.43 | +8.44% | BEAR | 16 | exit_fp |
| 26 Feb 2026 17:00 | 27 Feb 2026 07:00 | $1.41 | $1.49 | +5.21% | BEAR | 15 | exit_fp |
| 24 Feb 2026 10:00 | 25 Feb 2026 17:00 | $1.35 | $1.52 | +11.71% | BEAR | 32 | signal |
| 22 Feb 2026 21:00 | 23 Feb 2026 00:00 | $1.40 | $1.40 | -0.45% | BEAR | 4 | signal |
| 19 Feb 2026 16:00 | 20 Feb 2026 13:00 | $1.37 | $1.45 | +5.84% | BEAR | 22 | trail |
| 18 Feb 2026 21:00 | 19 Feb 2026 03:00 | $1.41 | $1.47 | +3.73% | BEAR | 7 | exit_fp |
| 15 Feb 2026 17:00 | 16 Feb 2026 04:00 | $1.40 | $1.48 | +5.02% | BEAR | 12 | exit_fp |
| 12 Feb 2026 23:00 | 14 Feb 2026 08:00 | $1.31 | $1.46 | +10.93% | BEAR | 34 | signal |
| 11 Feb 2026 11:00 | 12 Feb 2026 10:00 | $1.27 | $1.35 | +6.14% | BEAR | 24 | exit_fp |
| 09 Feb 2026 09:00 | 09 Feb 2026 17:00 | $1.32 | $1.36 | +3.16% | BEAR | 9 | exit_fp |
| 07 Feb 2026 09:00 | 08 Feb 2026 11:00 | $1.35 | $1.40 | +3.46% | BEAR | 27 | signal |
| 06 Feb 2026 01:00 | 06 Feb 2026 16:00 | $1.29 | $1.45 | +11.74% | BEAR | 16 | exit_fp |
| 04 Feb 2026 14:00 | 04 Feb 2026 18:00 | $1.49 | $1.53 | +2.16% | BEAR | 5 | signal |
| 03 Feb 2026 15:00 | 03 Feb 2026 18:00 | $1.59 | $1.50 | -5.51% | BEAR | 4 | stop |
| 02 Feb 2026 01:00 | 02 Feb 2026 15:00 | $1.53 | $1.62 | +5.15% | SIDEWAYS | 15 | exit_fp |
| 31 Jan 2026 18:00 | 01 Feb 2026 00:00 | $1.46 | $1.58 | +7.72% | SIDEWAYS | 7 | exit_fp |
| 27 Jan 2026 11:00 | 28 Jan 2026 13:00 | $1.82 | $1.99 | +8.90% | SIDEWAYS | 27 | exit_fp |
| 25 Jan 2026 21:00 | 26 Jan 2026 14:00 | $1.87 | $1.95 | +4.18% | SIDEWAYS | 18 | exit_fp |
| 22 Jan 2026 04:00 | 23 Jan 2026 06:00 | $2.06 | $2.05 | -0.44% | SIDEWAYS | 27 | signal |
| 21 Jan 2026 01:00 | 21 Jan 2026 15:00 | $1.93 | $2.13 | +10.18% | SIDEWAYS | 15 | exit_fp |
| 19 Jan 2026 01:00 | 19 Jan 2026 04:00 | $2.00 | $2.10 | +4.54% | SIDEWAYS | 4 | signal |
| 16 Jan 2026 16:00 | 17 Jan 2026 03:00 | $2.21 | $2.27 | +2.51% | SIDEWAYS | 12 | signal |
| 15 Jan 2026 04:00 | 15 Jan 2026 11:00 | $2.19 | $2.26 | +2.75% | SIDEWAYS | 8 | signal |
| 12 Jan 2026 13:00 | 12 Jan 2026 14:00 | $2.35 | $2.40 | +1.94% | SIDEWAYS | 2 | signal |
| 11 Jan 2026 04:00 | 11 Jan 2026 19:00 | $2.30 | $2.66 | +15.06% | SIDEWAYS | 16 | exit_fp |
| 09 Jan 2026 06:00 | 09 Jan 2026 15:00 | $2.31 | $2.36 | +1.89% | SIDEWAYS | 10 | exit_fp |
| 08 Jan 2026 10:00 | 08 Jan 2026 15:00 | $2.17 | $2.32 | +6.58% | SIDEWAYS | 6 | exit_fp |
| 07 Jan 2026 02:00 | 07 Jan 2026 05:00 | $2.34 | $2.32 | -1.16% | SIDEWAYS | 4 | signal |
| 06 Jan 2026 01:00 | 06 Jan 2026 11:00 | $2.29 | $2.55 | +11.29% | SIDEWAYS | 11 | exit_fp |
| 04 Jan 2026 13:00 | 05 Jan 2026 12:00 | $1.79 | $2.13 | +18.42% | SIDEWAYS | 24 | exit_fp |
| 02 Jan 2026 21:00 | 04 Jan 2026 00:00 | $1.52 | $1.83 | +19.38% | SIDEWAYS | 28 | signal |
Start Trading Render Smarter
These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time RNDR signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.
92.5% Win Rate
Sharpe 13.76
334 Trades
Free Plan Available
