Backtests / RSR

Reserve Rights (RSR) Backtest

Walk-forward validated backtest results for Reserve Rights. The model is trained on historical data and tested exclusively on unseen future data.

1 Walk-Forward Fold Apr 2024 – Apr 2026 $0.00173700 (+1.64%)

Performance Overview

Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.

Sharpe Ratio
12.46
Win Rate
78.8%
Max Drawdown
-11.8%
Total Trades
434
Sortino Ratio
14.53
Profit Factor
19.77
Exposure
38.6%
Beats B&H
1/1

Equity Curve

Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each fold starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.

Regime Breakdown

Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Profit Factor Avg Bars
BUBBLE 124 80.7% +4.95% 46.43 12.8
BULL 51 80.4% +5.46% 8.10 27.5
SIDEWAYS 202 78.7% +3.72% 24.64 14.6
BEAR 57 73.7% +3.40% 15.43 15.0

Trade Log

Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest.

Entry Exit Entry Price Exit Price PnL Regime Bars Exit Reason
$0.00 $0.00 +2.53% BUBBLE 3 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +8.53% BUBBLE 26 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +4.21% BUBBLE 10 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +3.24% BUBBLE 27 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +2.67% BUBBLE 13 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +24.88% BULL 76 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +6.03% BULL 13 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -2.81% BULL 17 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +2.83% BULL 10 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +6.64% BULL 22 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -0.68% BULL 19 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +2.77% BULL 8 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +20.59% BULL 39 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +25.86% BULL 41 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -4.92% BULL 14 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +12.79% BULL 10 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -1.80% BUBBLE 12 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +10.50% BUBBLE 14 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -0.84% BUBBLE 9 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +4.49% BUBBLE 16 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +1.42% BUBBLE 6 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +3.40% BUBBLE 8 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -0.27% BUBBLE 2 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +1.24% BUBBLE 24 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +5.07% BUBBLE 13 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +4.04% BUBBLE 6 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +9.37% BUBBLE 9 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +0.51% BUBBLE 3 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +5.79% BUBBLE 31 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -1.68% BUBBLE 2 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +11.12% BUBBLE 18 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +1.45% BUBBLE 4 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +10.59% BUBBLE 39 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% BUBBLE 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +8.36% SIDEWAYS 40 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +0.82% SIDEWAYS 2 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +6.86% SIDEWAYS 20 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 1 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +1.52% SIDEWAYS 2 signal
$0.00 $0.00 -4.12% SIDEWAYS 5 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +4.35% SIDEWAYS 31 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +7.71% SIDEWAYS 10 exit_fp
$0.00 $0.00 +3.02% SIDEWAYS 45 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +6.03% SIDEWAYS 3 signal
$0.00 $0.00 +7.98% SIDEWAYS 51 signal

Start Trading Reserve Rights Smarter

These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time RSR signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.

78.8% Win Rate Sharpe 12.46 434 Trades Free Plan Available