Shiba Inu (SHIB) Backtest
Walk-forward validated backtest results for Shiba Inu. The model is trained on historical data and tested exclusively on unseen future data.
Model 2.5.8.3
•
1 Walk-Forward Fold
•
Apr 2024 – Apr 2026
•
$0.00000598 (-2.13%)
Shiba Inu (SHIB) emerged as a meme coin in 2020 and has evolved into a broader ecosystem including ShibaSwap DEX and Shibarium Layer 2. With an enormous circulating supply, SHIB trades at fraction-of-a-cent prices but achieves significant market cap through volume. Its extreme volatility and community-driven price action require precise entry and exit timing that algorithmic models excel at.
Performance Overview
Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.
Sharpe Ratio
10.98
Win Rate
73.7%
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Total Trades
419
Sortino Ratio
12.38
Profit Factor
18.03
Exposure
38.8%
Beats B&H
1/1
Equity Curve
Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each fold starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.
Regime Breakdown
Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.
| Regime | Trades | Win Rate | Avg PnL | Profit Factor | Avg Bars |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUBBLE | 144 | 61.8% | +2.22% | 14.28 | 10.9 |
| BULL | 40 | 82.5% | +4.45% | 13.60 | 32.6 |
| SIDEWAYS | 191 | 75.4% | +2.73% | 17.95 | 18.3 |
| BEAR | 44 | 97.7% | +3.49% | 3,076.40 | 17.0 |
Trade Log
Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Jan 2026 – Apr 2026).
Compound Return
+172.9%
Win Rate
88.0%
44W / 6L
Max Drawdown
-0.6%
€10,000 Invested
€27,288
2.7x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
| Entry | Exit | Entry Price | Exit Price | PnL | Regime | Bars | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2026 01:00 | 13 Apr 2026 22:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +2.51% | BEAR | 22 | exit_fp |
| 10 Apr 2026 07:00 | 10 Apr 2026 14:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +1.62% | BEAR | 8 | exit_fp |
| 09 Apr 2026 13:00 | 09 Apr 2026 17:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +2.14% | BEAR | 5 | exit_fp |
| 06 Apr 2026 23:00 | 07 Apr 2026 22:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +4.89% | BEAR | 24 | exit_fp |
| 05 Apr 2026 15:00 | 06 Apr 2026 00:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +3.01% | BEAR | 10 | exit_fp |
| 04 Apr 2026 03:00 | 05 Apr 2026 02:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.47% | BEAR | 24 | trail |
| 02 Apr 2026 13:00 | 03 Apr 2026 14:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +2.68% | BEAR | 26 | trail |
| 31 Mar 2026 10:00 | 31 Mar 2026 13:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.78% | BEAR | 4 | signal |
| 29 Mar 2026 14:00 | 30 Mar 2026 08:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +5.46% | BEAR | 19 | exit_fp |
| 28 Mar 2026 01:00 | 28 Mar 2026 16:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +2.35% | BEAR | 16 | signal |
| 26 Mar 2026 18:00 | 26 Mar 2026 21:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.78% | BEAR | 4 | signal |
| 23 Mar 2026 20:00 | 25 Mar 2026 00:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.73% | BEAR | 29 | signal |
| 22 Mar 2026 21:00 | 23 Mar 2026 07:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +1.45% | BEAR | 11 | trail |
| 19 Mar 2026 13:00 | 20 Mar 2026 04:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +5.85% | BEAR | 16 | exit_fp |
| 18 Mar 2026 19:00 | 18 Mar 2026 20:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.46% | BEAR | 2 | signal |
| 17 Mar 2026 13:00 | 17 Mar 2026 17:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.75% | BEAR | 5 | signal |
| 15 Mar 2026 23:00 | 16 Mar 2026 07:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +6.29% | BEAR | 9 | exit_fp |
| 12 Mar 2026 11:00 | 13 Mar 2026 10:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.59% | BEAR | 24 | exit_fp |
| 11 Mar 2026 01:00 | 11 Mar 2026 22:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +1.78% | BEAR | 22 | trail |
| 09 Mar 2026 00:00 | 10 Mar 2026 12:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +8.20% | BEAR | 37 | exit_fp |
| 03 Mar 2026 09:00 | 04 Mar 2026 17:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +9.17% | BEAR | 33 | exit_fp |
| 02 Mar 2026 13:00 | 02 Mar 2026 16:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +3.96% | BEAR | 4 | signal |
| 01 Mar 2026 21:00 | 01 Mar 2026 23:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | -0.05% | BEAR | 3 | signal |
| 28 Feb 2026 07:00 | 01 Mar 2026 01:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +4.60% | BEAR | 19 | exit_fp |
| 24 Feb 2026 15:00 | 25 Feb 2026 18:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +7.09% | BEAR | 28 | exit_fp |
| 23 Feb 2026 02:00 | 23 Feb 2026 12:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +2.91% | BEAR | 11 | exit_fp |
| 19 Feb 2026 13:00 | 21 Feb 2026 08:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +6.06% | BEAR | 44 | exit_fp |
| 16 Feb 2026 02:00 | 16 Feb 2026 12:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.96% | BEAR | 11 | signal |
| 13 Feb 2026 11:00 | 14 Feb 2026 22:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +17.19% | BEAR | 36 | exit_fp |
| 11 Feb 2026 13:00 | 12 Feb 2026 18:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +2.62% | BEAR | 30 | trail |
| 09 Feb 2026 11:00 | 10 Feb 2026 00:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +1.37% | BEAR | 14 | trail |
| 07 Feb 2026 08:00 | 07 Feb 2026 18:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +3.50% | BEAR | 11 | exit_fp |
| 06 Feb 2026 01:00 | 06 Feb 2026 16:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +7.98% | BEAR | 16 | exit_fp |
| 03 Feb 2026 18:00 | 03 Feb 2026 20:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +6.33% | BEAR | 3 | signal |
| 02 Feb 2026 01:00 | 02 Feb 2026 15:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +2.83% | SIDEWAYS | 15 | exit_fp |
| 31 Jan 2026 17:00 | 31 Jan 2026 23:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +3.23% | SIDEWAYS | 7 | exit_fp |
| 30 Jan 2026 07:00 | 30 Jan 2026 07:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | -0.41% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 28 Jan 2026 09:00 | 28 Jan 2026 09:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | -0.41% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 25 Jan 2026 20:00 | 27 Jan 2026 09:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +1.98% | SIDEWAYS | 38 | trail |
| 23 Jan 2026 01:00 | 23 Jan 2026 16:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.85% | SIDEWAYS | 16 | signal |
| 21 Jan 2026 03:00 | 21 Jan 2026 19:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +1.48% | SIDEWAYS | 17 | exit_fp |
| 20 Jan 2026 14:00 | 20 Jan 2026 14:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | -0.41% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 19 Jan 2026 01:00 | 19 Jan 2026 20:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +2.50% | SIDEWAYS | 20 | exit_fp |
| 16 Jan 2026 11:00 | 16 Jan 2026 21:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.65% | SIDEWAYS | 11 | exit_fp |
| 15 Jan 2026 20:00 | 15 Jan 2026 22:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.55% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | signal |
| 14 Jan 2026 14:00 | 14 Jan 2026 14:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | -0.41% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 12 Jan 2026 09:00 | 13 Jan 2026 22:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +7.41% | SIDEWAYS | 38 | exit_fp |
| 11 Jan 2026 16:00 | 11 Jan 2026 16:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | -0.41% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 09 Jan 2026 20:00 | 09 Jan 2026 21:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +0.99% | SIDEWAYS | 2 | signal |
| 08 Jan 2026 13:00 | 08 Jan 2026 21:00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +1.92% | SIDEWAYS | 9 | signal |
Start Trading Shiba Inu Smarter
These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time SHIB signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.
73.7% Win Rate
Sharpe 10.98
419 Trades
Free Plan Available
