Sui (SUI) Backtest
Walk-forward validated backtest results for Sui. The model is trained on historical data and tested exclusively on unseen future data.
Model 2.5.8.3
•
1 Walk-Forward Fold
•
Apr 2024 – Apr 2026
•
$0.944200 (-1.80%)
Sui is a Layer 1 blockchain built by former Meta engineers, using the Move programming language for parallel transaction execution. With sub-second finality and a focus on user experience, Sui has attracted significant DeFi and gaming activity. As a newer asset, SUI shows strong price discovery patterns and trending behavior that our model captures through momentum and volume analysis.
Performance Overview
Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.
Sharpe Ratio
12.44
Win Rate
81.6%
Max Drawdown
-8.6%
Total Trades
374
Sortino Ratio
14.28
Profit Factor
28.45
Exposure
34.0%
Beats B&H
1/1
Equity Curve
Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each fold starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.
Regime Breakdown
Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.
| Regime | Trades | Win Rate | Avg PnL | Profit Factor | Avg Bars |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUBBLE | 113 | 81.4% | +5.05% | 40.42 | 13.9 |
| BULL | 47 | 89.4% | +5.80% | 14.23 | 28.3 |
| SIDEWAYS | 210 | 81.0% | +3.53% | 38.83 | 14.2 |
| BEAR | 4 | 25.0% | +0.27% | 1.34 | 10.2 |
Trade Log
Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Oct 2025 – Feb 2026).
Compound Return
+81.5%
Win Rate
68.0%
34W / 16L
Max Drawdown
-1.8%
€10,000 Invested
€18,149
1.8x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
| Entry | Exit | Entry Price | Exit Price | PnL | Regime | Bars | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb 2026 16:00 | 03 Feb 2026 00:00 | $1.15 | $1.15 | -0.29% | BEAR | 9 | signal |
| 02 Feb 2026 00:00 | 02 Feb 2026 03:00 | $1.12 | $1.11 | -1.18% | BEAR | 4 | regime_exit |
| 31 Jan 2026 15:00 | 01 Feb 2026 00:00 | $1.17 | $1.16 | -0.91% | SIDEWAYS | 10 | exit_fp |
| 30 Jan 2026 18:00 | 30 Jan 2026 19:00 | $1.30 | $1.30 | -0.63% | SIDEWAYS | 2 | signal |
| 30 Jan 2026 04:00 | 30 Jan 2026 05:00 | $1.30 | $1.30 | -0.16% | SIDEWAYS | 2 | signal |
| 27 Jan 2026 15:00 | 27 Jan 2026 15:00 | $1.45 | $1.45 | -0.25% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 25 Jan 2026 20:00 | 26 Jan 2026 15:00 | $1.38 | $1.44 | +3.81% | SIDEWAYS | 20 | signal |
| 23 Jan 2026 15:00 | 23 Jan 2026 15:00 | $1.50 | $1.50 | -0.25% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 21 Jan 2026 00:00 | 21 Jan 2026 21:00 | $1.51 | $1.53 | +1.58% | SIDEWAYS | 22 | signal |
| 16 Jan 2026 01:00 | 17 Jan 2026 12:00 | $1.78 | $1.80 | +0.80% | SIDEWAYS | 36 | exit_fp |
| 14 Jan 2026 14:00 | 14 Jan 2026 14:00 | $1.84 | $1.84 | -0.31% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 13 Jan 2026 04:00 | 13 Jan 2026 22:00 | $1.78 | $1.90 | +6.49% | SIDEWAYS | 19 | exit_fp |
| 12 Jan 2026 13:00 | 12 Jan 2026 15:00 | $1.77 | $1.80 | +1.78% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | signal |
| 11 Jan 2026 22:00 | 12 Jan 2026 00:00 | $1.78 | $1.79 | +0.05% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | signal |
| 08 Jan 2026 03:00 | 08 Jan 2026 17:00 | $1.80 | $1.85 | +2.54% | SIDEWAYS | 15 | exit_fp |
| 07 Jan 2026 00:00 | 07 Jan 2026 07:00 | $1.87 | $1.93 | +3.10% | SIDEWAYS | 8 | exit_fp |
| 06 Jan 2026 07:00 | 06 Jan 2026 11:00 | $1.96 | $1.98 | +0.92% | SIDEWAYS | 5 | exit_fp |
| 04 Jan 2026 22:00 | 05 Jan 2026 18:00 | $1.71 | $1.78 | +3.78% | SIDEWAYS | 21 | exit_fp |
| 02 Jan 2026 22:00 | 04 Jan 2026 09:00 | $1.61 | $1.71 | +5.42% | SIDEWAYS | 36 | exit_fp |
| 31 Dec 2025 20:00 | 02 Jan 2026 09:00 | $1.40 | $1.52 | +8.45% | SIDEWAYS | 38 | take_profit |
| 30 Dec 2025 21:00 | 30 Dec 2025 21:00 | $1.43 | $1.43 | -0.31% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 30 Dec 2025 06:00 | 30 Dec 2025 08:00 | $1.43 | $1.44 | +0.33% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | signal |
| 27 Dec 2025 16:00 | 28 Dec 2025 04:00 | $1.42 | $1.45 | +1.67% | SIDEWAYS | 13 | signal |
| 18 Dec 2025 19:00 | 19 Dec 2025 14:00 | $1.33 | $1.46 | +9.00% | SIDEWAYS | 20 | exit_fp |
| 15 Dec 2025 17:00 | 16 Dec 2025 15:00 | $1.46 | $1.53 | +4.17% | BEAR | 23 | regime_exit |
| 12 Dec 2025 16:00 | 14 Dec 2025 00:00 | $1.55 | $1.61 | +3.63% | SIDEWAYS | 33 | signal |
| 11 Dec 2025 02:00 | 12 Dec 2025 02:00 | $1.55 | $1.64 | +5.29% | SIDEWAYS | 25 | exit_fp |
| 08 Dec 2025 07:00 | 09 Dec 2025 15:00 | $1.62 | $1.66 | +1.97% | SIDEWAYS | 33 | exit_fp |
| 07 Dec 2025 15:00 | 07 Dec 2025 18:00 | $1.58 | $1.63 | +2.89% | SIDEWAYS | 4 | signal |
| 06 Dec 2025 10:00 | 07 Dec 2025 00:00 | $1.52 | $1.59 | +4.79% | SIDEWAYS | 15 | exit_fp |
| 05 Dec 2025 21:00 | 05 Dec 2025 21:00 | $1.55 | $1.55 | -0.25% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 03 Dec 2025 04:00 | 03 Dec 2025 08:00 | $1.73 | $1.77 | +1.97% | SIDEWAYS | 5 | exit_fp |
| 01 Dec 2025 16:00 | 02 Dec 2025 15:00 | $1.31 | $1.60 | +21.95% | SIDEWAYS | 24 | take_profit |
| 16 Nov 2025 13:00 | 16 Nov 2025 17:00 | $1.69 | $1.66 | -1.64% | BEAR | 5 | regime_exit |
| 15 Nov 2025 22:00 | 16 Nov 2025 00:00 | $1.77 | $1.76 | -1.07% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | signal |
| 15 Nov 2025 03:00 | 15 Nov 2025 06:00 | $1.79 | $1.80 | +0.04% | SIDEWAYS | 4 | signal |
| 14 Nov 2025 13:00 | 14 Nov 2025 14:00 | $1.77 | $1.80 | +1.47% | SIDEWAYS | 2 | signal |
| 13 Nov 2025 21:00 | 13 Nov 2025 23:00 | $1.83 | $1.87 | +1.99% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | signal |
| 12 Nov 2025 01:00 | 12 Nov 2025 03:00 | $2.02 | $2.02 | -0.23% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | signal |
| 10 Nov 2025 22:00 | 10 Nov 2025 22:00 | $2.17 | $2.17 | -0.25% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 09 Nov 2025 06:00 | 10 Nov 2025 08:00 | $2.08 | $2.16 | +3.75% | SIDEWAYS | 27 | signal |
| 08 Nov 2025 16:00 | 08 Nov 2025 17:00 | $2.08 | $2.10 | +0.65% | SIDEWAYS | 2 | signal |
| 07 Nov 2025 02:00 | 07 Nov 2025 21:00 | $2.00 | $2.18 | +8.95% | SIDEWAYS | 20 | exit_fp |
| 06 Nov 2025 13:00 | 06 Nov 2025 13:00 | $2.01 | $2.01 | -0.25% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 04 Nov 2025 22:00 | 05 Nov 2025 11:00 | $1.98 | $2.05 | +3.06% | SIDEWAYS | 14 | exit_fp |
| 04 Nov 2025 08:00 | 04 Nov 2025 09:00 | $2.03 | $2.05 | +0.95% | SIDEWAYS | 2 | signal |
| 03 Nov 2025 16:00 | 03 Nov 2025 16:00 | $2.10 | $2.10 | -0.25% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 02 Nov 2025 15:00 | 02 Nov 2025 23:00 | $2.31 | $2.35 | +1.53% | SIDEWAYS | 9 | signal |
| 30 Oct 2025 20:00 | 01 Nov 2025 17:00 | $2.26 | $2.38 | +5.13% | SIDEWAYS | 46 | signal |
| 29 Oct 2025 01:00 | 29 Oct 2025 11:00 | $2.51 | $2.53 | +0.93% | SIDEWAYS | 11 | signal |
Start Trading Sui Smarter
These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time SUI signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.
81.6% Win Rate
Sharpe 12.44
374 Trades
Free Plan Available
