Tensor (TNSR) Backtest
Walk-forward validated backtest results for Tensor. The model is trained on historical data and tested exclusively on unseen future data.
Model 2.5.8.3
•
5 Walk-Forward Folds
•
Jan 2025 – Apr 2026
Tensor (TNSR) is the governance token of Tensor, the dominant NFT trading platform on Solana. As NFT trading volumes fluctuate with market sentiment, TNSR provides leveraged exposure to Solana ecosystem activity. The token is relatively newer with lower liquidity, creating larger percentage moves that our model navigates through careful position sizing.
Performance Overview
Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.
Sharpe Ratio
10.49
Win Rate
81.5%
Max Drawdown
-8.4%
Total Trades
50
Sortino Ratio
16.73
Profit Factor
21.04
Exposure
33.3%
Beats B&H
5/5
Equity Curve
Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each fold starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.
Regime Breakdown
Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.
| Regime | Trades | Win Rate | Avg PnL | Profit Factor | Avg Bars |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUBBLE | 40 | 85.2% | +4.77% | 31.14 | 16.2 |
| BULL | 38 | 92.4% | +6.07% | 7.33 | 25.2 |
| SIDEWAYS | 137 | 82.0% | +3.13% | 18.87 | 13.3 |
| BEAR | 34 | 39.4% | +1.81% | 3.09 | 12.5 |
Per-Fold Results
Each fold is an independent out-of-sample test period aligned with a Bitcoin halving cycle. The model is trained on earlier cycles and tested on the next — never seeing the test data during training.
| Fold | Period | Sharpe | Return | MaxDD | Win Rate | Trades | B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jan '25 – Apr '25 | 13.97 | 296% | -3.2% | 75.4% | 61 | Yes |
| 3 | Apr '25 – Jul '25 | 12.59 | 236% | -8.0% | 90.9% | 44 | Yes |
| 4 | Jul '25 – Oct '25 | 13.20 | 200% | -3.0% | 89.8% | 49 | Yes |
| 5 | Oct '25 – Jan '26 | 6.87 | 110% | -5.8% | 75.6% | 45 | Yes |
| 6 | Jan '26 – Apr '26 | 5.82 | 168% | -8.4% | 76.0% | 50 | Yes |
Trade Log
Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Jan 2026 – Apr 2026).
Compound Return
+168.4%
Win Rate
76.0%
38W / 12L
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
€10,000 Invested
€26,839
2.7x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
| Entry | Exit | Entry Price | Exit Price | PnL | Regime | Bars | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr 2026 21:00 | 11 Apr 2026 05:00 | $0.04 | $0.04 | +4.02% | BEAR | 9 | exit_fp |
| 07 Apr 2026 23:00 | 09 Apr 2026 16:00 | $0.04 | $0.05 | +29.54% | BEAR | 42 | trail |
| 07 Apr 2026 01:00 | 07 Apr 2026 10:00 | $0.04 | $0.04 | -2.25% | BEAR | 10 | stop |
| 05 Apr 2026 09:00 | 06 Apr 2026 12:00 | $0.04 | $0.04 | +1.48% | BEAR | 28 | trail |
| 31 Mar 2026 01:00 | 01 Apr 2026 06:00 | $0.04 | $0.04 | +5.87% | BEAR | 30 | trail |
| 29 Mar 2026 23:00 | 30 Mar 2026 12:00 | $0.04 | $0.04 | +3.35% | BEAR | 14 | exit_fp |
| 27 Mar 2026 00:00 | 28 Mar 2026 00:00 | $0.04 | $0.04 | -4.54% | BEAR | 25 | stop |
| 24 Mar 2026 18:00 | 25 Mar 2026 01:00 | $0.04 | $0.04 | +1.25% | BEAR | 8 | trail |
| 22 Mar 2026 21:00 | 23 Mar 2026 18:00 | $0.04 | $0.04 | +5.70% | BEAR | 22 | exit_fp |
| 20 Mar 2026 17:00 | 22 Mar 2026 00:00 | $0.04 | $0.04 | -4.76% | BEAR | 32 | stop |
| 11 Mar 2026 19:00 | 17 Mar 2026 04:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +1.15% | BEAR | 130 | trail |
| 08 Mar 2026 08:00 | 10 Mar 2026 08:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +1.31% | BEAR | 49 | trail |
| 07 Mar 2026 05:00 | 07 Mar 2026 19:00 | $0.05 | $0.04 | -6.97% | BEAR | 15 | stop |
| 06 Mar 2026 00:00 | 06 Mar 2026 13:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +1.07% | BEAR | 14 | trail |
| 04 Mar 2026 10:00 | 05 Mar 2026 11:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +2.25% | BEAR | 26 | exit_fp |
| 03 Mar 2026 10:00 | 03 Mar 2026 21:00 | $0.04 | $0.04 | +2.14% | BEAR | 12 | trail |
| 01 Mar 2026 20:00 | 02 Mar 2026 07:00 | $0.04 | $0.04 | +3.03% | BEAR | 12 | trail |
| 28 Feb 2026 09:00 | 01 Mar 2026 00:00 | $0.04 | $0.05 | +8.45% | BEAR | 16 | exit_fp |
| 26 Feb 2026 17:00 | 27 Feb 2026 01:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +1.52% | BEAR | 9 | trail |
| 24 Feb 2026 17:00 | 26 Feb 2026 00:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +1.76% | BEAR | 32 | trail |
| 23 Feb 2026 23:00 | 24 Feb 2026 04:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +4.95% | BEAR | 6 | exit_fp |
| 22 Feb 2026 16:00 | 23 Feb 2026 10:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +3.60% | BEAR | 19 | exit_fp |
| 19 Feb 2026 14:00 | 20 Feb 2026 13:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +2.56% | BEAR | 24 | trail |
| 15 Feb 2026 21:00 | 16 Feb 2026 22:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +7.03% | BEAR | 26 | trail |
| 13 Feb 2026 08:00 | 14 Feb 2026 09:00 | $0.06 | $0.06 | +4.75% | BEAR | 26 | trail |
| 12 Feb 2026 10:00 | 12 Feb 2026 19:00 | $0.05 | $0.06 | +21.32% | BEAR | 10 | exit_fp |
| 11 Feb 2026 05:00 | 11 Feb 2026 21:00 | $0.04 | $0.05 | +29.63% | BEAR | 17 | exit_fp |
| 09 Feb 2026 09:00 | 09 Feb 2026 18:00 | $0.04 | $0.05 | +1.88% | BEAR | 10 | exit_fp |
| 07 Feb 2026 08:00 | 07 Feb 2026 18:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +3.93% | BEAR | 11 | exit_fp |
| 06 Feb 2026 02:00 | 06 Feb 2026 19:00 | $0.04 | $0.05 | +9.46% | BEAR | 18 | trail |
| 03 Feb 2026 19:00 | 05 Feb 2026 13:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | -5.79% | BEAR | 43 | stop |
| 02 Feb 2026 16:00 | 03 Feb 2026 00:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | -1.38% | BEAR | 9 | regime_exit |
| 02 Feb 2026 01:00 | 02 Feb 2026 03:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | -0.70% | BEAR | 3 | regime_exit |
| 31 Jan 2026 15:00 | 01 Feb 2026 12:00 | $0.05 | $0.05 | +3.43% | SIDEWAYS | 22 | exit_fp |
| 30 Jan 2026 05:00 | 30 Jan 2026 17:00 | $0.05 | $0.06 | +3.09% | SIDEWAYS | 13 | exit_fp |
| 29 Jan 2026 13:00 | 29 Jan 2026 15:00 | $0.06 | $0.05 | -3.62% | SIDEWAYS | 3 | stop |
| 27 Jan 2026 09:00 | 27 Jan 2026 20:00 | $0.06 | $0.06 | +3.02% | SIDEWAYS | 12 | exit_fp |
| 25 Jan 2026 17:00 | 26 Jan 2026 01:00 | $0.06 | $0.06 | +2.27% | SIDEWAYS | 9 | exit_fp |
| 24 Jan 2026 06:00 | 25 Jan 2026 00:00 | $0.06 | $0.06 | +0.24% | SIDEWAYS | 19 | signal |
| 23 Jan 2026 16:00 | 23 Jan 2026 17:00 | $0.06 | $0.06 | +2.31% | SIDEWAYS | 2 | signal |
| 23 Jan 2026 03:00 | 23 Jan 2026 03:00 | $0.06 | $0.06 | -0.41% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 21 Jan 2026 16:00 | 21 Jan 2026 21:00 | $0.06 | $0.06 | +3.95% | SIDEWAYS | 6 | exit_fp |
| 20 Jan 2026 14:00 | 21 Jan 2026 03:00 | $0.06 | $0.06 | +3.98% | SIDEWAYS | 14 | exit_fp |
| 19 Jan 2026 17:00 | 20 Jan 2026 00:00 | $0.07 | $0.07 | -0.83% | SIDEWAYS | 8 | signal |
| 19 Jan 2026 01:00 | 19 Jan 2026 04:00 | $0.06 | $0.06 | -0.66% | SIDEWAYS | 4 | signal |
| 18 Jan 2026 01:00 | 18 Jan 2026 12:00 | $0.07 | $0.07 | +2.79% | SIDEWAYS | 12 | exit_fp |
| 16 Jan 2026 21:00 | 17 Jan 2026 00:00 | $0.07 | $0.07 | +1.40% | SIDEWAYS | 4 | signal |
| 15 Jan 2026 19:00 | 16 Jan 2026 08:00 | $0.07 | $0.07 | +4.29% | SIDEWAYS | 14 | exit_fp |
| 15 Jan 2026 03:00 | 15 Jan 2026 06:00 | $0.07 | $0.07 | +0.54% | SIDEWAYS | 4 | signal |
| 14 Jan 2026 01:00 | 14 Jan 2026 11:00 | $0.07 | $0.07 | -1.08% | SIDEWAYS | 11 | signal |
Start Trading Tensor Smarter
These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time TNSR signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.
81.5% Win Rate
Sharpe 10.49
50 Trades
Free Plan Available
