Uniswap (UNI) Backtest
Walk-forward validated backtest results for Uniswap. The model is trained on historical data and tested exclusively on unseen future data.
Model 2.5.8.3
•
1 Walk-Forward Fold
•
Apr 2024 – Apr 2026
•
$3.2810 (-3.07%)
Uniswap (UNI) is the governance token of the Uniswap protocol, the pioneering automated market maker and largest decentralized exchange by volume. UNI price tracks DEX trading volumes, DeFi sentiment, and governance proposals around fee switching. As a DeFi blue-chip, UNI provides liquid, consistent trading opportunities with strong correlation to Ethereum ecosystem health.
Performance Overview
Key risk-adjusted metrics from the walk-forward backtest. Sharpe above 3.0 is excellent; win rate above 75% demonstrates consistent signal quality.
Sharpe Ratio
12.81
Win Rate
81.0%
Max Drawdown
-7.3%
Total Trades
374
Sortino Ratio
15.60
Profit Factor
43.66
Exposure
38.0%
Beats B&H
1/1
Equity Curve
Cumulative portfolio growth on a logarithmic scale. Each fold starts at 1x. A smooth, upward-sloping curve indicates consistent compounding with controlled drawdowns.
Regime Breakdown
Performance segmented by market condition. The model adapts entry thresholds, position sizing, and exit timing to each regime. Consistent profitability across all regimes demonstrates true robustness.
| Regime | Trades | Win Rate | Avg PnL | Profit Factor | Avg Bars |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUBBLE | 103 | 94.2% | +6.16% | 243.19 | 18.1 |
| BULL | 39 | 92.3% | +8.27% | 44.70 | 30.5 |
| SIDEWAYS | 190 | 71.1% | +2.84% | 41.93 | 14.7 |
| BEAR | 42 | 83.3% | +3.57% | 10.72 | 18.7 |
Trade Log
Most recent 50 trades from the walk-forward backtest (Dec 2025 – Apr 2026).
Compound Return
+139.5%
Win Rate
74.0%
37W / 13L
Max Drawdown
-3.1%
€10,000 Invested
€23,947
2.4x return
Based on last 50 trades, compounded sequentially. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.
| Entry | Exit | Entry Price | Exit Price | PnL | Regime | Bars | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 22:00 | 14 Apr 2026 05:00 | $3.03 | $3.17 | +4.33% | BEAR | 32 | trail |
| 09 Apr 2026 01:00 | 10 Apr 2026 23:00 | $3.11 | $3.17 | +1.67% | BEAR | 47 | trail |
| 07 Apr 2026 01:00 | 07 Apr 2026 23:00 | $3.07 | $3.28 | +6.66% | BEAR | 23 | exit_fp |
| 31 Mar 2026 11:00 | 01 Apr 2026 03:00 | $3.48 | $3.56 | +2.28% | BEAR | 17 | signal |
| 29 Mar 2026 14:00 | 30 Mar 2026 17:00 | $3.36 | $3.50 | +3.86% | BEAR | 28 | trail |
| 24 Mar 2026 18:00 | 25 Mar 2026 09:00 | $3.54 | $3.69 | +4.01% | BEAR | 16 | signal |
| 22 Mar 2026 08:00 | 24 Mar 2026 05:00 | $3.48 | $3.56 | +1.92% | BEAR | 46 | trail |
| 20 Mar 2026 16:00 | 20 Mar 2026 17:00 | $3.56 | $3.58 | +0.46% | BEAR | 2 | signal |
| 14 Mar 2026 07:00 | 16 Mar 2026 20:00 | $3.93 | $4.16 | +5.84% | BEAR | 62 | exit_fp |
| 12 Mar 2026 15:00 | 13 Mar 2026 03:00 | $3.90 | $4.04 | +3.50% | BEAR | 13 | signal |
| 11 Mar 2026 05:00 | 12 Mar 2026 01:00 | $3.81 | $3.89 | +1.79% | BEAR | 21 | trail |
| 10 Mar 2026 14:00 | 10 Mar 2026 16:00 | $3.97 | $3.92 | -1.37% | BEAR | 3 | signal |
| 08 Mar 2026 18:00 | 09 Mar 2026 23:00 | $3.67 | $3.88 | +5.35% | BEAR | 30 | trail |
| 08 Mar 2026 05:00 | 08 Mar 2026 05:00 | $3.72 | $3.72 | -0.19% | BEAR | 1 | signal |
| 03 Mar 2026 09:00 | 04 Mar 2026 12:00 | $3.80 | $3.97 | +4.08% | BEAR | 28 | trail |
| 01 Mar 2026 18:00 | 02 Mar 2026 16:00 | $3.77 | $3.99 | +5.77% | BEAR | 23 | exit_fp |
| 28 Feb 2026 13:00 | 01 Mar 2026 01:00 | $3.69 | $3.89 | +5.31% | BEAR | 13 | exit_fp |
| 27 Feb 2026 21:00 | 28 Feb 2026 00:00 | $3.72 | $3.76 | +1.02% | BEAR | 4 | signal |
| 26 Feb 2026 15:00 | 27 Feb 2026 01:00 | $3.80 | $3.86 | +1.38% | BEAR | 11 | signal |
| 24 Feb 2026 10:00 | 25 Feb 2026 16:00 | $3.31 | $4.02 | +21.30% | BEAR | 31 | signal |
| 22 Feb 2026 14:00 | 23 Feb 2026 01:00 | $3.48 | $3.32 | -4.67% | BEAR | 12 | stop |
| 19 Feb 2026 14:00 | 21 Feb 2026 04:00 | $3.36 | $3.55 | +5.37% | BEAR | 39 | signal |
| 19 Feb 2026 01:00 | 19 Feb 2026 01:00 | $3.45 | $3.45 | -0.19% | BEAR | 1 | signal |
| 16 Feb 2026 03:00 | 16 Feb 2026 22:00 | $3.52 | $3.58 | +1.54% | BEAR | 20 | signal |
| 15 Feb 2026 14:00 | 15 Feb 2026 14:00 | $3.52 | $3.52 | -0.19% | BEAR | 1 | signal |
| 12 Feb 2026 18:00 | 13 Feb 2026 22:00 | $3.20 | $3.42 | +6.32% | BEAR | 29 | trail |
| 11 Feb 2026 07:00 | 11 Feb 2026 14:00 | $3.26 | $3.97 | +21.54% | BEAR | 8 | exit_fp |
| 09 Feb 2026 02:00 | 09 Feb 2026 13:00 | $3.47 | $3.33 | -4.44% | BEAR | 12 | stop |
| 06 Feb 2026 00:00 | 06 Feb 2026 16:00 | $3.15 | $3.54 | +12.25% | BEAR | 17 | exit_fp |
| 04 Feb 2026 15:00 | 04 Feb 2026 19:00 | $3.72 | $3.86 | +3.65% | BEAR | 5 | exit_fp |
| 03 Feb 2026 15:00 | 03 Feb 2026 18:00 | $3.97 | $3.80 | -4.39% | BEAR | 4 | stop |
| 02 Feb 2026 01:00 | 02 Feb 2026 15:00 | $3.92 | $3.97 | +0.93% | SIDEWAYS | 15 | exit_fp |
| 31 Jan 2026 17:00 | 31 Jan 2026 23:00 | $3.83 | $3.96 | +3.23% | SIDEWAYS | 7 | exit_fp |
| 27 Jan 2026 23:00 | 27 Jan 2026 23:00 | $4.80 | $4.80 | -0.19% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 25 Jan 2026 20:00 | 27 Jan 2026 10:00 | $4.61 | $4.66 | +0.86% | SIDEWAYS | 39 | trail |
| 23 Jan 2026 17:00 | 23 Jan 2026 17:00 | $4.92 | $4.92 | -0.19% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 23 Jan 2026 01:00 | 23 Jan 2026 04:00 | $4.88 | $4.90 | +0.20% | SIDEWAYS | 4 | signal |
| 20 Jan 2026 18:00 | 21 Jan 2026 13:00 | $4.74 | $4.83 | +1.64% | SIDEWAYS | 20 | trail |
| 19 Jan 2026 00:00 | 19 Jan 2026 09:00 | $4.92 | $5.00 | +1.44% | SIDEWAYS | 10 | signal |
| 16 Jan 2026 14:00 | 17 Jan 2026 09:00 | $5.27 | $5.39 | +2.17% | SIDEWAYS | 20 | exit_fp |
| 12 Jan 2026 12:00 | 14 Jan 2026 00:00 | $5.39 | $5.75 | +6.36% | SIDEWAYS | 37 | signal |
| 11 Jan 2026 23:00 | 11 Jan 2026 23:00 | $5.46 | $5.46 | -0.16% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 06 Jan 2026 18:00 | 06 Jan 2026 21:00 | $5.91 | $6.01 | +1.55% | SIDEWAYS | 4 | signal |
| 05 Jan 2026 12:00 | 05 Jan 2026 21:00 | $5.86 | $6.11 | +4.12% | SIDEWAYS | 10 | exit_fp |
| 04 Jan 2026 22:00 | 04 Jan 2026 23:00 | $5.83 | $5.85 | +0.22% | SIDEWAYS | 2 | signal |
| 03 Jan 2026 16:00 | 03 Jan 2026 16:00 | $5.88 | $5.88 | -0.16% | SIDEWAYS | 1 | signal |
| 01 Jan 2026 00:00 | 02 Jan 2026 17:00 | $5.69 | $5.96 | +4.67% | SIDEWAYS | 42 | signal |
| 28 Dec 2025 10:00 | 28 Dec 2025 11:00 | $6.28 | $6.29 | -0.02% | SIDEWAYS | 2 | signal |
| 27 Dec 2025 08:00 | 27 Dec 2025 21:00 | $5.98 | $5.96 | -0.58% | SIDEWAYS | 14 | signal |
| 26 Dec 2025 00:00 | 26 Dec 2025 19:00 | $5.77 | $5.88 | +1.60% | BEAR | 20 | trail |
Start Trading Uniswap Smarter
These backtest results demonstrate what our model can do. Get real-time UNI signals delivered to your Telegram with every entry, stop-loss, and take-profit.
81.0% Win Rate
Sharpe 12.81
374 Trades
Free Plan Available
