Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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AAVE Aave Paper Trade

AAVE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 17 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AAVE Signals →

AAVE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Aave (AAVE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+148.8%
€10,000 →
€24,879
Win Rate
60.0%
15W / 2L
Trades
17
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.88%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
15W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+175.71%
▼ -26.92
Win Rate
89.5%
▼ -29.47
Sharpe
15.43
▼ -15.43
Alpha vs B&H
+193.45pp
▼ -193.45
Max DD
-1.45%
▼ -4.43
Avg DD
-3.88%
▲ +3.88
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
19
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+148.79%
Win Rate
60.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.88%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
17
V2.5.8.3
Return
+76.36%
▲ +72.43
Win Rate
66.7%
▼ -6.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.93%
▼ -4.95
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
24
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AAVE

AAVE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +130.2%
15t
 		+88.0%
13t
 		+175.7%
19t
 		+72.7%
9t
 		+194.1%
16t
 		+81.9%
14t
 		+52.2%
14t
 		+87.0%
10t
—
—
—
—
 +31,272.9%

All months for AAVE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AAVE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
+12.2
4
—
5
+29.1
6
+1.5
7
-2.4
8
+4.6
9
—
10
+10.7
11
+3.2
12
-0.2
13
+3.2
14
+6.2
15
—
16
+1.0
17
+4.9
18
—
19
+7.7
20
—
21
—
22
+3.5
23
+1.5
24
—
25
—
26
—
27
+4.3
28
—
29
+4.4
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +148.8% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 60.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +20.64% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 15 86.7% +3.60% +68.82% 17h
BEAR 2 100.0% +20.64% +44.82% 1.2d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 17 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 03 Mar 2025 00:00 $193.88 $218.42 +12.20% BEAR 23h
04 Mar 2025 01:00 05 Mar 2025 09:00 $171.60 $221.77 +29.07% BEAR 1.4d
05 Mar 2025 22:00 06 Mar 2025 00:00 $217.35 $220.81 +1.49% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Mar 2025 20:00 07 Mar 2025 02:00 $213.20 $208.31 -2.39% SIDEWAYS 7h
08 Mar 2025 07:00 08 Mar 2025 21:00 $189.36 $198.21 +4.57% SIDEWAYS 15h
09 Mar 2025 21:00 10 Mar 2025 09:00 $177.25 $196.37 +10.68% SIDEWAYS 13h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 11 Mar 2025 07:00 $176.49 $182.29 +3.18% SIDEWAYS 7h
11 Mar 2025 20:00 12 Mar 2025 01:00 $182.15 $181.94 -0.22% SIDEWAYS 6h
12 Mar 2025 15:00 13 Mar 2025 01:00 $169.19 $174.82 +3.22% SIDEWAYS 11h
13 Mar 2025 21:00 14 Mar 2025 20:00 $162.51 $172.82 +6.24% SIDEWAYS 24h
16 Mar 2025 14:00 16 Mar 2025 17:00 $166.26 $168.55 +0.96% SIDEWAYS 4h
17 Mar 2025 06:00 17 Mar 2025 23:00 $166.28 $174.71 +4.90% SIDEWAYS 18h
18 Mar 2025 14:00 19 Mar 2025 22:00 $168.59 $181.70 +7.67% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
20 Mar 2025 11:00 22 Mar 2025 19:00 $175.40 $181.75 +3.52% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
23 Mar 2025 17:00 23 Mar 2025 23:00 $182.12 $185.05 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 7h
26 Mar 2025 18:00 27 Mar 2025 23:00 $176.93 $184.72 +4.30% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
28 Mar 2025 13:00 29 Mar 2025 08:00 $171.16 $178.78 +4.35% SIDEWAYS 20h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → AAVE Signals → View Plans →
60.0% Win Rate +148.8% Return -5.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees