Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
PREVIOUS · OMNISCIUS v4.0 · ITZAMNÁ

AAVE Aave Paper Trade

AAVE — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

AAVE — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Aave (AAVE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.54%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 4L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+81.91%
▼ -0.79
Win Rate
71.4%
▼ -4.73
Sharpe
11.91
▼ -11.91
Alpha vs B&H
+70.12pp
▼ -70.12
Max DD
-1.81%
▼ -2.73
Avg DD
-3.51%
▲ +3.51
Risk / Reward
45.15×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+81.12%
Win Rate
66.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.54%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+71.53%
▲ +9.59
Win Rate
92.3%
▼ -25.60
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.06%
▼ -4.48
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AAVE

AAVE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +130.2%
15t
+88.0%
13t
+175.7%
19t
+72.7%
9t
+194.1%
16t
+81.9%
14t
+52.2%
14t
+87.0%
10t
+31,272.9%

All months for AAVE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AAVE — June 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
+3.8
2
3
4
+11.8
5
6
7
8
+3.9
9
10
+12.3
11
-0.5
12
13
+8.8
14
15
16
+4.0
17
18
19
20
+3.8
21
22
23
24
+13.0
25
26
+1.6
27
-1.6
28
29
30
+5.3
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +81.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 66.7%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +6.80% on 4 trades, WR 75%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 7 71.4% +3.89% +29.92% 1.2d
SIDEWAYS 4 75.0% +6.80% +28.98% 17h
BUBBLE 3 66.7% +4.02% +12.33% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
01 Jun 2025 02:00 01 Jun 2025 16:00 $240.96 $251.06 +3.77% BUBBLE 15h
02 Jun 2025 05:00 04 Jun 2025 08:00 $240.89 $269.59 +11.77% BULL 2.2d
06 Jun 2025 00:00 08 Jun 2025 06:00 $244.38 $254.38 +3.94% BULL 2.3d
09 Jun 2025 01:00 10 Jun 2025 00:00 $253.30 $284.72 +12.29% SIDEWAYS 24h
10 Jun 2025 23:00 11 Jun 2025 01:00 $308.34 $307.02 -0.53% BUBBLE 3h
13 Jun 2025 01:00 13 Jun 2025 23:00 $267.28 $291.17 +8.83% BUBBLE 23h
15 Jun 2025 16:00 16 Jun 2025 14:00 $274.80 $286.83 +3.95% BULL 23h
19 Jun 2025 15:00 20 Jun 2025 10:00 $250.24 $259.98 +3.79% BULL 20h
22 Jun 2025 14:00 24 Jun 2025 03:00 $225.30 $259.55 +15.09% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
24 Jun 2025 16:00 24 Jun 2025 19:00 $269.22 $264.60 -1.81% SIDEWAYS 4h
26 Jun 2025 18:00 26 Jun 2025 20:00 $251.37 $255.75 +1.64% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Jun 2025 09:00 27 Jun 2025 23:00 $263.20 $259.26 -1.60% BULL 15h
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 02:00 $258.34 $275.16 +6.08% BULL 1d
30 Jun 2025 15:00 30 Jun 2025 21:00 $275.88 $274.22 -0.70% BULL 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

66.7% Win Rate +81.1% Return -4.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees