Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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AAVE Aave Paper Trade

AAVE — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AAVE Signals →

AAVE — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Aave (AAVE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+46.5%
€10,000 →
€14,652
Win Rate
100.0%
14W / 0L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.48%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
14W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+52.22%
▼ -5.70
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
10.04
▼ -10.04
Alpha vs B&H
+57.08pp
▼ -57.08
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.48
Avg DD
-4.48%
▲ +4.48
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+46.52%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.48%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+28.92%
▲ +17.60
Win Rate
83.3%
▲ +16.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.86%
▼ -4.62
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AAVE

AAVE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +130.2%
15t
 		+88.0%
13t
 		+175.7%
19t
 		+72.7%
9t
 		+194.1%
16t
 		+81.9%
14t
 		+52.2%
14t
 		+87.0%
10t
—
—
—
—
 +31,272.9%

All months for AAVE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AAVE — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+4.8
8
—
9
—
10
+11.8
11
—
12
+0.4
13
+4.1
14
—
15
—
16
+5.7
17
—
18
+2.2
19
+1.0
20
+1.7
21
—
22
+0.8
23
—
24
—
25
+1.7
26
+0.8
27
+1.1
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
+1.2
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +46.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +5.74% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 12 100.0% +2.12% +28.41% 17h
BULL 2 100.0% +5.74% +11.79% 1.2d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 07 Jul 2025 12:00 $272.45 $286.58 +4.76% BUBBLE 1.5d
08 Jul 2025 01:00 10 Jul 2025 00:00 $278.95 $298.36 +6.85% BULL 2d
10 Jul 2025 13:00 10 Jul 2025 23:00 $294.83 $308.76 +4.62% BULL 11h
12 Jul 2025 01:00 12 Jul 2025 03:00 $299.31 $300.86 +0.42% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 16:00 13 Jul 2025 18:00 $300.18 $312.81 +4.10% BUBBLE 1.1d
15 Jul 2025 02:00 16 Jul 2025 05:00 $310.48 $328.36 +5.65% BUBBLE 1.2d
17 Jul 2025 17:00 18 Jul 2025 07:00 $320.20 $327.43 +2.16% BUBBLE 15h
18 Jul 2025 20:00 19 Jul 2025 01:00 $316.23 $319.80 +1.03% BUBBLE 6h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 14:00 $320.94 $327.59 +1.65% BUBBLE 13h
22 Jul 2025 20:00 22 Jul 2025 22:00 $305.98 $308.62 +0.76% BUBBLE 3h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 25 Jul 2025 00:00 $280.05 $285.28 +1.72% BUBBLE 19h
25 Jul 2025 13:00 26 Jul 2025 13:00 $294.12 $296.93 +0.85% BUBBLE 1d
27 Jul 2025 02:00 27 Jul 2025 18:00 $296.87 $300.50 +1.12% BUBBLE 17h
30 Jul 2025 13:00 31 Jul 2025 01:00 $275.06 $278.66 +1.21% BUBBLE 13h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → AAVE Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +46.5% Return -5.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees