Paper Trades / ALICE / ALICE — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ALICE My Neighbor Alice Paper Trade

ALICE — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) is a multiplayer social game built on blockchain, where players own virtual islands, build, and trade in-game assets. Listed via Binance Launchpad in March 2021 with multi-cycle history including the 2021 gaming-NFT boom. Price action correlates with broader gaming-NFT cycles and periodic in-game-event catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ALICE Signals →

ALICE — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+89.4%
€10,000 →
€18,935
Win Rate
92.9%
12W / 1L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.52%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+101.06%
▼ -11.71
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -7.10
Sharpe
17.15
▼ -17.15
Alpha vs B&H
+129.22pp
▼ -129.22
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -4.52
Avg DD
-3.75%
▲ +3.75
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+89.35%
Win Rate
92.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.52%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+42.37%
▲ +46.98
Win Rate
76.2%
▲ +16.70
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.52%
▼ -4.00
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
21
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ALICE

ALICE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +81.3%
15t
 		+101.1%
15t
 		+58.2%
13t
 		+98.8%
14t
 		+83.7%
15t
 		+40.6%
10t
 		+128.0%
16t
 		+65.6%
15t
—
—
—
—
 +11,069.2%

All months for ALICE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ALICE — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+16.4
5
—
6
—
7
+7.7
8
—
9
+6.0
10
—
11
+8.0
12
—
13
+7.3
14
+3.4
15
—
16
—
17
+2.1
18
—
19
—
20
+9.1
21
—
22
—
23
+6.2
24
—
25
—
26
+6.9
27
+2.6
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +89.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 92.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +8.27% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 11 100.0% +5.39% +77.53% 23h
BUBBLE 2 50.0% +8.27% +16.42% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 01:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.62 $0.73 +17.23% BUBBLE 1d
04 Feb 2025 14:00 04 Feb 2025 17:00 $0.71 $0.71 -0.69% BUBBLE 4h
06 Feb 2025 16:00 07 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.65 $0.70 +7.70% SIDEWAYS 23h
08 Feb 2025 03:00 09 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.67 $0.71 +6.00% SIDEWAYS 23h
09 Feb 2025 20:00 11 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.70 $0.76 +8.00% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
12 Feb 2025 15:00 13 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.75 $0.80 +7.33% SIDEWAYS 11h
13 Feb 2025 15:00 14 Feb 2025 16:00 $0.75 $0.78 +3.44% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
16 Feb 2025 21:00 17 Feb 2025 12:00 $0.75 $0.77 +2.11% SIDEWAYS 16h
18 Feb 2025 17:00 20 Feb 2025 20:00 $0.67 $0.74 +9.06% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
22 Feb 2025 01:00 23 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.71 $0.75 +6.22% SIDEWAYS 1d
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.61 $0.66 +6.90% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
26 Feb 2025 23:00 27 Feb 2025 07:00 $0.65 $0.67 +1.27% SIDEWAYS 9h
27 Feb 2025 21:00 27 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.65 $0.66 +1.28% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ALICE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading My Neighbor Alice Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ALICE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ALICE Signals → View Plans →
92.9% Win Rate +89.4% Return -4.5% Max Drawdown Net of Fees