Paper Trades / ALICE / ALICE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ALICE My Neighbor Alice Paper Trade

ALICE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) is a multiplayer social game built on blockchain, where players own virtual islands, build, and trade in-game assets. Listed via Binance Launchpad in March 2021 with multi-cycle history including the 2021 gaming-NFT boom. Price action correlates with broader gaming-NFT cycles and periodic in-game-event catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ALICE Signals →

ALICE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+57.9%
€10,000 →
€15,789
Win Rate
73.8%
10W / 3L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.74%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+58.17%
▼ -0.28
Win Rate
76.9%
▼ -3.12
Sharpe
9.92
▼ -9.92
Alpha vs B&H
+86.68pp
▼ -86.68
Max DD
-2.25%
▼ -3.49
Avg DD
-4.59%
▲ +4.59
Risk / Reward
25.80×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+57.89%
Win Rate
73.8%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.74%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+27.93%
▲ +29.96
Win Rate
55.6%
▲ +18.20
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.93%
▼ -4.81
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ALICE

ALICE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +81.3%
15t
 		+101.1%
15t
 		+58.2%
13t
 		+98.8%
14t
 		+83.7%
15t
 		+40.6%
10t
 		+128.0%
16t
 		+65.6%
15t
—
—
—
—
 +11,069.2%

All months for ALICE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ALICE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
+12.3
4
—
5
—
6
+9.7
7
+2.3
8
—
9
—
10
-0.4
11
—
12
+4.7
13
-1.0
14
—
15
+2.3
16
—
17
+5.6
18
—
19
+6.2
20
—
21
—
22
—
23
+1.5
24
—
25
+7.0
26
—
27
—
28
—
29
—
30
-2.3
31
+0.7
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +57.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 73.8%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.04% on 12 trades, WR 75%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 75.0% +3.04% +42.21% 1.0d
BEAR 1 100.0% +12.31% +12.31% 23h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 03 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.63 $0.72 +12.31% BEAR 23h
04 Mar 2025 13:00 06 Mar 2025 02:00 $0.54 $0.60 +9.70% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
06 Mar 2025 20:00 07 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.58 $0.60 +2.33% SIDEWAYS 18h
10 Mar 2025 02:00 10 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.52 $0.52 -0.41% SIDEWAYS 7h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 04:00 $0.47 $0.50 +4.67% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
13 Mar 2025 09:00 13 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.53 $0.53 -0.97% SIDEWAYS 3h
14 Mar 2025 00:00 15 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.53 $0.54 +2.33% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
16 Mar 2025 20:00 17 Mar 2025 20:00 $0.53 $0.56 +5.60% SIDEWAYS 1d
18 Mar 2025 16:00 19 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.53 $0.56 +6.21% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
21 Mar 2025 18:00 23 Mar 2025 02:00 $0.52 $0.53 +1.51% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
23 Mar 2025 17:00 25 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.51 $0.55 +7.00% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.45 $0.45 -2.25% SIDEWAYS 12h
31 Mar 2025 02:00 31 Mar 2025 20:00 $0.45 $0.45 +0.71% SIDEWAYS 19h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ALICE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading My Neighbor Alice Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ALICE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ALICE Signals → View Plans →
73.8% Win Rate +57.9% Return -5.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees