Paper Trades / ALICE / ALICE — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ALICE My Neighbor Alice Paper Trade

ALICE — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) is a multiplayer social game built on blockchain, where players own virtual islands, build, and trade in-game assets. Listed via Binance Launchpad in March 2021 with multi-cycle history including the 2021 gaming-NFT boom. Price action correlates with broader gaming-NFT cycles and periodic in-game-event catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ALICE Signals →

ALICE — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+91.1%
€10,000 →
€19,106
Win Rate
100.0%
12W / 0L
Trades
12
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.76%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+98.78%
▼ -7.72
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
14.94
▼ -14.94
Alpha vs B&H
+80.34pp
▼ -80.34
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.76
Avg DD
-3.73%
▲ +3.73
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+91.06%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.76%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+58.96%
▲ +32.10
Win Rate
85.0%
▲ +15.00
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.26%
▼ -5.50
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
20
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ALICE

ALICE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +81.3%
15t
 		+101.1%
15t
 		+58.2%
13t
 		+98.8%
14t
 		+83.7%
15t
 		+40.6%
10t
 		+128.0%
16t
 		+65.6%
15t
—
—
—
—
 +11,069.2%

All months for ALICE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ALICE — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
+1.8
8
+2.1
9
+12.9
10
—
11
—
12
+7.2
13
—
14
+20.4
15
—
16
+1.6
17
+1.1
18
—
19
+7.3
20
—
21
+4.1
22
—
23
+3.9
24
—
25
+5.6
26
—
27
—
28
—
29
+13.6
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +91.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +6.18% on 11 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 11 100.0% +6.18% +90.64% 22h
BULL 1 100.0% +13.60% +13.60% 1.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Apr 2025 21:00 07 Apr 2025 02:00 $0.35 $0.36 +1.84% SIDEWAYS 6h
07 Apr 2025 15:00 08 Apr 2025 03:00 $0.36 $0.37 +2.05% SIDEWAYS 13h
08 Apr 2025 21:00 09 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.35 $0.40 +12.93% SIDEWAYS 1d
10 Apr 2025 17:00 12 Apr 2025 09:00 $0.38 $0.41 +7.19% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
13 Apr 2025 20:00 14 Apr 2025 22:00 $0.39 $0.47 +20.44% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
16 Apr 2025 13:00 16 Apr 2025 15:00 $0.40 $0.41 +1.59% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Apr 2025 04:00 17 Apr 2025 06:00 $0.40 $0.41 +1.08% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Apr 2025 20:00 19 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.39 $0.42 +7.33% SIDEWAYS 2.1d
20 Apr 2025 20:00 21 Apr 2025 12:00 $0.42 $0.44 +4.09% SIDEWAYS 17h
22 Apr 2025 01:00 23 Apr 2025 05:00 $0.44 $0.46 +3.87% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
24 Apr 2025 10:00 25 Apr 2025 14:00 $0.45 $0.48 +5.59% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
28 Apr 2025 00:00 29 Apr 2025 07:00 $0.45 $0.51 +13.60% BULL 1.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ALICE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading My Neighbor Alice Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ALICE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ALICE Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +91.1% Return -5.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees