Paper Trades / ALICE / ALICE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ALICE My Neighbor Alice Paper Trade

ALICE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) is a multiplayer social game built on blockchain, where players own virtual islands, build, and trade in-game assets. Listed via Binance Launchpad in March 2021 with multi-cycle history including the 2021 gaming-NFT boom. Price action correlates with broader gaming-NFT cycles and periodic in-game-event catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ALICE Signals →

ALICE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+86.1%
€10,000 →
€18,606
Win Rate
100.0%
14W / 0L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.33%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
14W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+83.66%
▲ +2.40
Win Rate
93.3%
▲ +6.67
Sharpe
12.72
▼ -12.72
Alpha vs B&H
+90.18pp
▼ -90.18
Max DD
-0.87%
▼ -4.46
Avg DD
-4.39%
▲ +4.39
Risk / Reward
95.66×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+86.06%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.33%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+45.23%
▲ +40.83
Win Rate
92.9%
▲ +7.10
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.37%
▼ -4.96
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ALICE

ALICE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +81.3%
15t
 		+101.1%
15t
 		+58.2%
13t
 		+98.8%
14t
 		+83.7%
15t
 		+40.6%
10t
 		+128.0%
16t
 		+65.6%
15t
—
—
—
—
 +11,069.2%

All months for ALICE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ALICE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+1.1
7
+2.6
8
—
9
+17.8
10
+3.8
11
—
12
+3.3
13
—
14
+5.4
15
+2.9
16
—
17
—
18
+2.9
19
—
20
+6.7
21
+6.0
22
+0.9
23
—
24
—
25
—
26
+2.1
27
+1.4
28
—
29
+3.4
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +86.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +5.26% on 7 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 7 100.0% +5.26% +41.99% 20h
BUBBLE 7 100.0% +3.35% +25.77% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 May 2025 21:00 06 May 2025 04:00 $0.40 $0.41 +1.08% BULL 8h
06 May 2025 17:00 07 May 2025 07:00 $0.40 $0.41 +2.62% BULL 15h
08 May 2025 02:00 09 May 2025 14:00 $0.42 $0.49 +17.79% BULL 1.5d
10 May 2025 05:00 10 May 2025 22:00 $0.52 $0.54 +3.79% BULL 18h
11 May 2025 11:00 12 May 2025 08:00 $0.54 $0.56 +3.25% BULL 22h
12 May 2025 21:00 14 May 2025 02:00 $0.55 $0.58 +5.37% BULL 1.3d
15 May 2025 10:00 15 May 2025 18:00 $0.51 $0.53 +2.92% BULL 9h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 17:00 $0.48 $0.50 +2.88% BUBBLE 16h
19 May 2025 10:00 20 May 2025 05:00 $0.46 $0.49 +6.74% BUBBLE 20h
20 May 2025 18:00 21 May 2025 15:00 $0.47 $0.50 +5.98% BUBBLE 22h
22 May 2025 04:00 22 May 2025 21:00 $0.52 $0.53 +0.92% BUBBLE 18h
25 May 2025 09:00 26 May 2025 22:00 $0.45 $0.46 +2.14% BUBBLE 1.6d
27 May 2025 11:00 27 May 2025 20:00 $0.48 $0.48 +1.37% BUBBLE 10h
28 May 2025 21:00 29 May 2025 00:00 $0.47 $0.49 +3.42% BUBBLE 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ALICE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading My Neighbor Alice Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ALICE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ALICE Signals → View Plans →
100.0% Win Rate +86.1% Return -5.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees