Paper Trades / ALICE / ALICE — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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ALICE My Neighbor Alice Paper Trade

ALICE — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) is a multiplayer social game built on blockchain, where players own virtual islands, build, and trade in-game assets. Listed via Binance Launchpad in March 2021 with multi-cycle history including the 2021 gaming-NFT boom. Price action correlates with broader gaming-NFT cycles and periodic in-game-event catalysts.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ALICE Signals →

ALICE — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

My Neighbor Alice (ALICE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+120.5%
€10,000 →
€22,051
Win Rate
100.0%
16W / 0L
Trades
16
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.66%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
16W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+127.95%
▼ -7.44
Win Rate
100.0%
≈
Sharpe
18.05
▼ -18.05
Alpha vs B&H
+126.02pp
▼ -126.02
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.66
Avg DD
-3.42%
▲ +3.42
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+120.51%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.66%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
V2.5.8.3
Return
+66.19%
▲ +54.32
Win Rate
93.8%
▲ +6.20
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.26%
▼ -3.40
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ALICE

ALICE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +81.3%
15t
 		+101.1%
15t
 		+58.2%
13t
 		+98.8%
14t
 		+83.7%
15t
 		+40.6%
10t
 		+128.0%
16t
 		+65.6%
15t
—
—
—
—
 +11,069.2%

All months for ALICE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ALICE — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
+1.7
9
+17.8
10
—
11
+11.1
12
+0.8
13
—
14
+5.8
15
—
16
+6.5
17
+1.3
18
+5.2
19
+2.3
20
+2.7
21
—
22
—
23
+2.1
24
+6.1
25
—
26
+3.7
27
—
28
+5.0
29
+4.9
30
—
31
+4.0
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +120.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +9.74% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 14 100.0% +4.39% +81.83% 18h
BULL 2 100.0% +9.74% +19.79% 1.5d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 08 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.37 $0.38 +1.73% BULL 2.1d
08 Jul 2025 16:00 09 Jul 2025 11:00 $0.38 $0.46 +17.75% BULL 20h
10 Jul 2025 00:00 11 Jul 2025 13:00 $0.41 $0.46 +11.11% BUBBLE 1.6d
12 Jul 2025 05:00 12 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.45 $0.46 +0.83% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 20:00 14 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.44 $0.47 +5.80% BUBBLE 1.3d
15 Jul 2025 01:00 16 Jul 2025 12:00 $0.44 $0.47 +6.54% BUBBLE 1.5d
17 Jul 2025 04:00 17 Jul 2025 06:00 $0.47 $0.48 +1.27% BUBBLE 3h
17 Jul 2025 19:00 18 Jul 2025 08:00 $0.46 $0.49 +5.17% BUBBLE 14h
19 Jul 2025 01:00 19 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.47 $0.49 +2.29% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 23:00 $0.48 $0.49 +2.65% BUBBLE 22h
22 Jul 2025 08:00 23 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.46 $0.47 +2.08% BUBBLE 18h
24 Jul 2025 06:00 24 Jul 2025 17:00 $0.39 $0.42 +6.12% BUBBLE 12h
25 Jul 2025 06:00 26 Jul 2025 19:00 $0.40 $0.42 +3.74% BUBBLE 1.6d
27 Jul 2025 08:00 28 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.42 $0.44 +4.99% BUBBLE 17h
29 Jul 2025 01:00 29 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.40 $0.42 +4.91% BUBBLE 7h
30 Jul 2025 10:00 31 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.39 $0.41 +4.02% BUBBLE 16h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ALICE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading My Neighbor Alice Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ALICE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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100.0% Win Rate +120.5% Return -3.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees