Paper Trades / BCH / BCH — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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BCH Bitcoin Cash Paper Trade

BCH — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 10 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) forked from Bitcoin in 2017 with larger block sizes to enable faster, cheaper transactions. While it shares Bitcoin's proof-of-work security model, BCH targets everyday payment use cases. Its high liquidity and tight correlation with BTC during major moves, combined with independent momentum during altcoin rallies, create exploitable patterns for systematic trading.

BCH — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.90%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+39.89%
▲ +9.09
Win Rate
83.3%
▲ +16.67
Sharpe
10.32
▼ -10.32
Alpha vs B&H
+62.87pp
▼ -62.87
Max DD
-0.67%
▼ -3.23
Avg DD
-3.78%
▲ +3.78
Risk / Reward
59.80×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+48.98%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.90%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
V2.5.8.3
Return
+34.36%
▲ +14.62
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -3.90
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

BCH

BCH Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.9%
17t
+39.9%
12t
+115.3%
13t
+95.5%
17t
+65.7%
17t
+52.9%
14t
+56.6%
17t
+56.0%
13t
+6,239.4%

All months for BCH under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — BCH — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
+17.2
5
6
7
+4.5
8
9
+1.0
10
+4.5
11
12
13
+2.6
14
+3.5
15
16
17
18
+0.0
19
20
21
+4.9
22
23
+6.0
24
25
26
27
+4.7
28
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +49.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.51% on 9 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 9 100.0% +3.51% +36.25% 1.2d
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +17.17% +17.17% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 10 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 02:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $298.60 $351.30 +17.17% BUBBLE 24h
06 Feb 2025 15:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $316.10 $330.80 +4.51% SIDEWAYS 23h
08 Feb 2025 02:00 09 Feb 2025 13:00 $318.70 $322.33 +1.00% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
10 Feb 2025 02:00 10 Feb 2025 13:00 $318.50 $333.20 +4.51% SIDEWAYS 12h
12 Feb 2025 01:00 13 Feb 2025 00:00 $333.90 $342.80 +2.56% SIDEWAYS 24h
13 Feb 2025 15:00 14 Feb 2025 13:00 $331.70 $343.50 +3.45% SIDEWAYS 23h
17 Feb 2025 19:00 18 Feb 2025 00:00 $321.10 $322.50 +0.03% SIDEWAYS 6h
18 Feb 2025 16:00 21 Feb 2025 00:00 $310.10 $325.70 +4.89% SIDEWAYS 2.4d
21 Feb 2025 21:00 23 Feb 2025 08:00 $312.30 $331.20 +5.95% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
25 Feb 2025 08:00 27 Feb 2025 09:00 $285.90 $299.70 +4.72% SIDEWAYS 2.1d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live BCH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Cash Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BCH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +49.0% Return -3.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees