Paper Trades / BCH / BCH — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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BCH Bitcoin Cash Paper Trade

BCH — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 11 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) forked from Bitcoin in 2017 with larger block sizes to enable faster, cheaper transactions. While it shares Bitcoin's proof-of-work security model, BCH targets everyday payment use cases. Its high liquidity and tight correlation with BTC during major moves, combined with independent momentum during altcoin rallies, create exploitable patterns for systematic trading.

BCH — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.72%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+115.34%
▼ -33.35
Win Rate
92.3%
▼ -31.21
Sharpe
14.15
▼ -14.15
Alpha vs B&H
+117.80pp
▼ -117.80
Max DD
-1.84%
▼ -4.88
Avg DD
-3.12%
▲ +3.12
Risk / Reward
62.85×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+81.99%
Win Rate
61.1%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.72%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11
V2.5.8.3
Return
+75.81%
▲ +6.18
Win Rate
93.3%
▼ -32.20
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.08%
▼ -6.64
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

BCH

BCH Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +73.9%
17t
+39.9%
12t
+115.3%
13t
+95.5%
17t
+65.7%
17t
+52.9%
14t
+56.6%
17t
+56.0%
13t
+6,239.4%

All months for BCH under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — BCH — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
+5.9
3
+4.4
4
5
6
+30.9
7
-2.1
8
9
10
11
12
+8.3
13
14
15
+5.1
16
17
18
+2.2
19
+2.8
20
21
22
23
24
+3.0
25
+2.5
26
+0.7
27
28
29
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +82.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 61.1%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.92% on 9 trades, WR 89%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 9 88.9% +5.92% +62.74% 1.3d
BEAR 2 100.0% +5.13% +10.52% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 11 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 20:00 $314.10 $334.00 +5.90% BEAR 19h
03 Mar 2025 09:00 03 Mar 2025 14:00 $318.30 $332.50 +4.36% BEAR 6h
04 Mar 2025 13:00 06 Mar 2025 00:00 $297.20 $389.30 +30.86% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
07 Mar 2025 01:00 07 Mar 2025 05:00 $405.70 $397.40 -2.14% SIDEWAYS 5h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 22:00 $331.80 $359.70 +8.30% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
13 Mar 2025 20:00 15 Mar 2025 10:00 $325.70 $342.70 +5.11% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
16 Mar 2025 11:00 18 Mar 2025 01:00 $325.80 $334.68 +2.19% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
18 Mar 2025 14:00 19 Mar 2025 22:00 $335.10 $344.80 +2.79% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
22 Mar 2025 00:00 24 Mar 2025 21:00 $323.40 $333.50 +3.02% SIDEWAYS 2.9d
25 Mar 2025 10:00 25 Mar 2025 17:00 $329.60 $338.00 +2.45% SIDEWAYS 8h
26 Mar 2025 06:00 26 Mar 2025 08:00 $335.10 $337.80 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live BCH signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bitcoin Cash Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time BCH signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

61.1% Win Rate +82.0% Return -6.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees