Paper Trades / CELO / CELO — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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CELO Celo Paper Trade

CELO — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Celo (CELO) is a mobile-first Layer 1 blockchain originally focused on smartphone-accessible stablecoin payments, transitioning to an Ethereum L2 in 2024. Active since 2020 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to respond to emerging-market-payment partnerships, the L2 migration, and broader mobile-crypto narratives.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ CELO Signals →

CELO — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Celo (CELO) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+50.7%
€10,000 →
€15,073
Win Rate
80.0%
11W / 2L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.33%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+51.97%
▼ -1.24
Win Rate
84.6%
▼ -4.62
Sharpe
11.13
▼ -11.13
Alpha vs B&H
+75.73pp
▼ -75.73
Max DD
-0.67%
▼ -2.66
Avg DD
-3.19%
▲ +3.19
Risk / Reward
77.67×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+50.73%
Win Rate
80.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.33%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+41.54%
▲ +9.19
Win Rate
72.2%
▲ +7.80
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.20%
▼ -3.13
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

CELO

CELO Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +52.0%
13t
 		+60.6%
16t
 		+76.4%
14t
 		+57.8%
9t
 		+100.0%
15t
 		+22.5%
11t
 		+107.5%
13t
 		+71.2%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +5,810.7%

All months for CELO under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — CELO — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+2.3
7
—
8
—
9
+2.8
10
-0.9
11
—
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
—
16
+12.8
17
—
18
—
19
+3.4
20
+5.0
21
+5.4
22
—
23
—
24
+3.2
25
—
26
+4.6
27
—
28
+3.8
29
+1.1
30
+3.0
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +50.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 80.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +6.45% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 11 90.9% +3.04% +38.79% 17h
BULL 2 50.0% +6.45% +12.81% 1.4d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 23:00 06 Jan 2025 16:00 $0.73 $0.75 +2.25% BUBBLE 18h
08 Jan 2025 07:00 09 Jan 2025 03:00 $0.64 $0.66 +2.83% BUBBLE 21h
10 Jan 2025 17:00 10 Jan 2025 19:00 $0.65 $0.65 -0.94% BUBBLE 3h
13 Jan 2025 13:00 16 Jan 2025 02:00 $0.57 $0.65 +13.57% BULL 2.6d
16 Jan 2025 15:00 16 Jan 2025 21:00 $0.65 $0.65 -0.67% BULL 7h
19 Jan 2025 09:00 19 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.61 $0.63 +3.36% BUBBLE 7h
20 Jan 2025 04:00 20 Jan 2025 09:00 $0.59 $0.62 +4.98% BUBBLE 6h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 21 Jan 2025 18:00 $0.58 $0.61 +5.39% BUBBLE 18h
23 Jan 2025 05:00 24 Jan 2025 11:00 $0.56 $0.58 +3.15% BUBBLE 1.3d
25 Jan 2025 00:00 26 Jan 2025 05:00 $0.55 $0.58 +4.55% BUBBLE 1.3d
27 Jan 2025 07:00 28 Jan 2025 03:00 $0.52 $0.54 +3.83% BUBBLE 21h
28 Jan 2025 22:00 29 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.52 $0.52 +1.07% BUBBLE 15h
30 Jan 2025 01:00 30 Jan 2025 19:00 $0.53 $0.55 +2.96% BUBBLE 19h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live CELO signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Celo Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time CELO signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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80.0% Win Rate +50.7% Return -3.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees