Paper Trades / CELO / CELO — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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CELO Celo Paper Trade

CELO — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Celo (CELO) is a mobile-first Layer 1 blockchain originally focused on smartphone-accessible stablecoin payments, transitioning to an Ethereum L2 in 2024. Active since 2020 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to respond to emerging-market-payment partnerships, the L2 migration, and broader mobile-crypto narratives.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ CELO Signals →

CELO — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Celo (CELO) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+55.6%
€10,000 →
€15,564
Win Rate
73.2%
11W / 4L
Trades
15
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.56%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 4L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+60.60%
▼ -4.96
Win Rate
81.3%
▼ -8.05
Sharpe
12.33
▼ -12.33
Alpha vs B&H
+84.86pp
▼ -84.86
Max DD
-0.24%
▼ -4.32
Avg DD
-3.80%
▲ +3.80
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+55.64%
Win Rate
73.2%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.56%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
V2.5.8.3
Return
+32.03%
▲ +23.61
Win Rate
68.4%
▲ +4.80
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.27%
▼ -4.29
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

CELO

CELO Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +52.0%
13t
 		+60.6%
16t
 		+76.4%
14t
 		+57.8%
9t
 		+100.0%
15t
 		+22.5%
11t
 		+107.5%
13t
 		+71.2%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +5,810.7%

All months for CELO under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — CELO — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+17.0
5
-0.3
6
—
7
+5.3
8
—
9
+3.9
10
—
11
+4.2
12
—
13
+1.6
14
+2.5
15
—
16
+3.0
17
+2.2
18
—
19
—
20
—
21
+6.4
22
-0.2
23
-0.1
24
—
25
—
26
+2.5
27
+6.1
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +55.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 73.2%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +8.59% on 2 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 76.9% +2.86% +43.82% 20h
BUBBLE 2 50.0% +8.59% +16.97% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 02:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.38 $0.45 +18.33% BUBBLE 24h
04 Feb 2025 14:00 04 Feb 2025 19:00 $0.43 $0.42 -1.15% BUBBLE 6h
05 Feb 2025 08:00 05 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.43 $0.43 -0.32% SIDEWAYS 3h
06 Feb 2025 20:00 07 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.41 $0.43 +5.31% SIDEWAYS 19h
08 Feb 2025 03:00 09 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.41 $0.43 +3.88% SIDEWAYS 23h
09 Feb 2025 19:00 11 Feb 2025 02:00 $0.42 $0.44 +4.20% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
12 Feb 2025 01:00 13 Feb 2025 07:00 $0.44 $0.45 +1.60% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
13 Feb 2025 20:00 14 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.45 $0.46 +2.52% SIDEWAYS 19h
16 Feb 2025 03:00 16 Feb 2025 09:00 $0.44 $0.46 +2.98% SIDEWAYS 7h
16 Feb 2025 22:00 17 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.44 $0.45 +2.19% SIDEWAYS 16h
18 Feb 2025 15:00 21 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.41 $0.44 +6.37% SIDEWAYS 2.5d
22 Feb 2025 01:00 22 Feb 2025 04:00 $0.43 $0.43 -0.16% SIDEWAYS 4h
22 Feb 2025 19:00 23 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.44 $0.44 -0.07% SIDEWAYS 7h
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.38 $0.39 +2.53% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
26 Feb 2025 18:00 27 Feb 2025 09:00 $0.38 $0.40 +6.12% SIDEWAYS 16h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live CELO signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Celo Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time CELO signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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73.2% Win Rate +55.6% Return -4.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees