Paper Trades / CELO / CELO — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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CELO Celo Paper Trade

CELO — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 14 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Celo (CELO) is a mobile-first Layer 1 blockchain originally focused on smartphone-accessible stablecoin payments, transitioning to an Ethereum L2 in 2024. Active since 2020 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to respond to emerging-market-payment partnerships, the L2 migration, and broader mobile-crypto narratives.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ CELO Signals →

CELO — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Celo (CELO) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+67.3%
€10,000 →
€16,730
Win Rate
100.0%
13W / 0L
Trades
14
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.36%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
13W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+76.43%
▼ -9.13
Win Rate
92.9%
▲ +7.14
Sharpe
12.27
▼ -12.27
Alpha vs B&H
+91.06pp
▼ -91.06
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.36
Avg DD
-3.62%
▲ +3.62
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+67.30%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.36%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+43.76%
▲ +23.54
Win Rate
84.2%
▲ +15.80
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.27%
▼ -5.09
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

CELO

CELO Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +52.0%
13t
 		+60.6%
16t
 		+76.4%
14t
 		+57.8%
9t
 		+100.0%
15t
 		+22.5%
11t
 		+107.5%
13t
 		+71.2%
13t
—
—
—
—
 +5,810.7%

All months for CELO under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — CELO — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+8.6
3
—
4
—
5
+4.8
6
—
7
+1.7
8
—
9
—
10
+1.1
11
—
12
+6.8
13
—
14
—
15
+4.8
16
—
17
—
18
+3.6
19
—
20
+3.9
21
+0.0
22
+3.0
23
—
24
+3.4
25
+3.3
26
—
27
—
28
+0.7
29
—
30
+4.3
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +67.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +6.70% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 91.7% +3.03% +42.86% 20h
BEAR 2 100.0% +6.70% +13.81% 23h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 02:00 02 Mar 2025 18:00 $0.39 $0.42 +8.61% BEAR 17h
04 Mar 2025 10:00 05 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.35 $0.37 +4.79% BEAR 1.2d
06 Mar 2025 20:00 07 Mar 2025 17:00 $0.37 $0.38 +1.68% SIDEWAYS 22h
10 Mar 2025 00:00 10 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.34 $0.34 +1.10% SIDEWAYS 9h
11 Mar 2025 00:00 12 Mar 2025 04:00 $0.30 $0.32 +6.81% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
13 Mar 2025 22:00 15 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.33 $0.34 +4.77% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
16 Mar 2025 20:00 18 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.34 $0.35 +3.55% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
18 Mar 2025 16:00 20 Mar 2025 01:00 $0.35 $0.36 +3.90% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
20 Mar 2025 14:00 21 Mar 2025 06:00 $0.36 $0.37 +0.00% SIDEWAYS 17h
22 Mar 2025 01:00 22 Mar 2025 09:00 $0.36 $0.37 +2.95% SIDEWAYS 9h
23 Mar 2025 19:00 24 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.37 $0.38 +3.36% SIDEWAYS 19h
25 Mar 2025 02:00 25 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.39 $0.40 +3.29% SIDEWAYS 22h
28 Mar 2025 21:00 28 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.35 $0.36 +0.74% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Mar 2025 02:00 30 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.34 $0.36 +4.25% SIDEWAYS 9h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live CELO signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Celo Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time CELO signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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100.0% Win Rate +67.3% Return -5.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees