Paper Trades / CELO / CELO — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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CELO Celo Paper Trade

CELO — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 15 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Celo (CELO) is a mobile-first Layer 1 blockchain originally focused on smartphone-accessible stablecoin payments, transitioning to an Ethereum L2 in 2024. Active since 2020 with multi-cycle history. Price tends to respond to emerging-market-payment partnerships, the L2 migration, and broader mobile-crypto narratives.

CELO — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Celo (CELO) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.98%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
15W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+99.98%
▼ -4.69
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
14.19
▼ -14.19
Alpha vs B&H
+104.42pp
▼ -104.42
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -5.98
Avg DD
-5.25%
▲ +5.25
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+95.29%
Win Rate
100.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.98%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15
V2.5.8.3
Return
+53.20%
▲ +42.09
Win Rate
92.9%
▲ +7.10
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.41%
▼ -2.57
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

CELO

CELO Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +52.0%
13t
+60.6%
16t
+76.4%
14t
+57.8%
9t
+100.0%
15t
+22.5%
11t
+107.5%
13t
+71.2%
13t
+5,810.7%

All months for CELO under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — CELO — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
+20.4
10
+8.4
11
+2.4
12
+2.7
13
14
+9.6
15
16
+3.0
17
+0.1
18
+3.6
19
20
+5.1
21
22
+6.6
23
24
+0.9
25
+1.2
26
+1.9
27
28
+0.8
29
+0.1
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +95.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 100.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +7.76% on 6 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 6 100.0% +7.76% +54.99% 1.1d
BUBBLE 9 100.0% +2.24% +21.78% 15h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 May 2025 11:00 09 May 2025 13:00 $0.32 $0.39 +20.41% BULL 3.1d
10 May 2025 02:00 10 May 2025 08:00 $0.39 $0.42 +8.37% BULL 7h
10 May 2025 21:00 11 May 2025 04:00 $0.42 $0.44 +2.43% BULL 8h
11 May 2025 17:00 12 May 2025 14:00 $0.43 $0.44 +2.71% BULL 22h
13 May 2025 03:00 14 May 2025 02:00 $0.41 $0.45 +9.57% BULL 24h
15 May 2025 10:00 16 May 2025 06:00 $0.40 $0.41 +3.04% BULL 21h
17 May 2025 09:00 17 May 2025 11:00 $0.38 $0.38 +0.06% BUBBLE 3h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 23:00 $0.38 $0.40 +3.56% BUBBLE 22h
19 May 2025 12:00 20 May 2025 07:00 $0.36 $0.38 +5.14% BUBBLE 20h
20 May 2025 20:00 22 May 2025 19:00 $0.38 $0.41 +6.59% BUBBLE 2d
24 May 2025 01:00 24 May 2025 05:00 $0.38 $0.38 +0.86% BUBBLE 5h
25 May 2025 01:00 25 May 2025 03:00 $0.37 $0.37 +1.17% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 16:00 26 May 2025 17:00 $0.36 $0.37 +1.92% BUBBLE 1.1d
28 May 2025 10:00 28 May 2025 12:00 $0.37 $0.38 +0.77% BUBBLE 3h
29 May 2025 01:00 29 May 2025 03:00 $0.38 $0.38 +0.06% BUBBLE 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live CELO signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Celo Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time CELO signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

100.0% Win Rate +95.3% Return -6.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees