Paper Trades / FET / FET — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
PREVIOUS · OMNISCIUS v4.0 · ITZAMNÁ

FET Fetch.ai Paper Trade

FET — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Fetch.ai (FET) combines artificial intelligence with blockchain to create autonomous economic agents that perform tasks on behalf of users. As an AI-crypto narrative leader, FET price is heavily influenced by AI sector sentiment and technology developments. The token shows strong momentum during AI hype cycles and has distinct trading patterns that diverge from the broader market during narrative shifts.

FET — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Fetch.ai (FET) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.21%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+91.04%
▼ -21.08
Win Rate
80.0%
▼ -2.90
Sharpe
13.95
▼ -13.95
Alpha vs B&H
+121.23pp
▼ -121.23
Max DD
-1.95%
▼ -2.26
Avg DD
-3.65%
▲ +3.65
Risk / Reward
46.80×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+69.96%
Win Rate
77.1%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.21%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+47.83%
▲ +22.13
Win Rate
72.2%
▲ +4.90
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.41%
▼ -3.80
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

FET

FET Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +91.0%
15t
+92.3%
14t
+111.5%
15t
+156.9%
14t
+143.4%
16t
+61.0%
13t
+69.3%
12t
+46.3%
7t
+19,261.3%

All months for FET under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — FET — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
+7.7
6
7
8
-0.3
9
+2.9
10
-1.9
11
12
13
14
15
+7.0
16
17
+3.8
18
19
+4.3
20
+9.0
21
22
+12.0
23
24
+1.6
25
26
-0.1
27
+2.7
28
29
+4.0
30
+2.3
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +70.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 77.1%.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +5.40% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 12 75.0% +3.68% +53.07% 12h
BULL 2 100.0% +5.40% +11.06% 1.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 13:00 05 Jan 2025 21:00 $1.47 $1.59 +7.73% BUBBLE 9h
08 Jan 2025 13:00 08 Jan 2025 15:00 $1.34 $1.34 -0.33% BUBBLE 3h
09 Jan 2025 13:00 09 Jan 2025 18:00 $1.27 $1.31 +2.90% BUBBLE 6h
10 Jan 2025 07:00 10 Jan 2025 11:00 $1.36 $1.34 -1.94% BUBBLE 5h
13 Jan 2025 13:00 15 Jan 2025 12:00 $1.18 $1.26 +6.95% BULL 2d
17 Jan 2025 02:00 17 Jan 2025 16:00 $1.35 $1.40 +3.84% BULL 15h
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $1.22 $1.28 +4.25% BUBBLE 3h
20 Jan 2025 03:00 20 Jan 2025 08:00 $1.16 $1.27 +9.02% BUBBLE 6h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 22 Jan 2025 02:00 $1.17 $1.31 +11.98% BUBBLE 1.1d
23 Jan 2025 11:00 24 Jan 2025 08:00 $1.22 $1.25 +1.63% BUBBLE 22h
25 Jan 2025 10:00 26 Jan 2025 01:00 $1.21 $1.21 -0.08% BUBBLE 16h
27 Jan 2025 09:00 27 Jan 2025 15:00 $1.08 $1.11 +2.74% BUBBLE 7h
28 Jan 2025 22:00 29 Jan 2025 07:00 $0.98 $1.02 +3.99% BUBBLE 10h
29 Jan 2025 20:00 30 Jan 2025 20:00 $1.02 $1.05 +2.32% BUBBLE 1d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live FET signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Fetch.ai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time FET signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

77.1% Win Rate +70.0% Return -4.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees