Paper Trades / HBAR / HBAR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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HBAR Hedera Paper Trade

HBAR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Hedera (HBAR) uses hashgraph consensus technology and is governed by a council of major enterprises including Google, IBM, and Boeing. Designed for enterprise adoption with high throughput and low fees, HBAR price responds to partnership announcements and enterprise integration news. Its governance-driven price catalysts create distinct momentum patterns.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ HBAR Signals →

HBAR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Hedera (HBAR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+92.4%
€10,000 →
€19,239
Win Rate
90.0%
12W / 1L
Trades
13
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.81%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+105.78%
▼ -13.39
Win Rate
92.9%
▼ -2.86
Sharpe
14.36
▼ -14.36
Alpha vs B&H
+132.17pp
▼ -132.17
Max DD
-0.91%
▼ -5.90
Avg DD
-4.26%
▲ +4.26
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+92.39%
Win Rate
90.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.81%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+53.77%
▲ +38.62
Win Rate
59.1%
▲ +30.90
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.96%
▼ -5.85
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
22
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

HBAR

HBAR Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +112.6%
15t
 		+105.8%
14t
 		+55.0%
14t
 		+39.8%
13t
 		+84.2%
12t
 		+32.4%
11t
 		+151.4%
15t
 		+55.0%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +8,901.3%

All months for HBAR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — HBAR — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
+30.6
5
+0.8
6
+2.1
7
+5.2
8
—
9
+2.9
10
+4.8
11
—
12
—
13
+2.4
14
+5.8
15
—
16
—
17
—
18
—
19
—
20
+6.4
21
+3.2
22
—
23
—
24
+7.7
25
—
26
+7.2
27
-0.9
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +92.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 90.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.96% on 12 trades, WR 92%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 12 91.7% +3.96% +58.79% 17h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +30.59% +30.59% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 01:00 04 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.21 $0.27 +30.59% BUBBLE 24h
04 Feb 2025 22:00 05 Feb 2025 02:00 $0.25 $0.25 +0.78% SIDEWAYS 5h
05 Feb 2025 22:00 06 Feb 2025 08:00 $0.24 $0.24 +2.08% SIDEWAYS 11h
06 Feb 2025 22:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.23 $0.24 +5.15% SIDEWAYS 16h
08 Feb 2025 17:00 09 Feb 2025 06:00 $0.23 $0.24 +2.92% SIDEWAYS 14h
09 Feb 2025 21:00 10 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.22 $0.23 +4.78% SIDEWAYS 1d
12 Feb 2025 05:00 13 Feb 2025 04:00 $0.22 $0.23 +2.42% SIDEWAYS 24h
13 Feb 2025 17:00 14 Feb 2025 16:00 $0.22 $0.23 +5.79% SIDEWAYS 24h
18 Feb 2025 09:00 20 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.21 $0.22 +6.44% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
21 Feb 2025 19:00 21 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.21 $0.21 +3.16% SIDEWAYS 5h
24 Feb 2025 09:00 24 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.20 $0.22 +7.75% SIDEWAYS 5h
25 Feb 2025 08:00 26 Feb 2025 03:00 $0.18 $0.20 +7.16% SIDEWAYS 20h
27 Feb 2025 07:00 27 Feb 2025 09:00 $0.20 $0.20 -0.91% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live HBAR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Hedera Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time HBAR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → HBAR Signals → View Plans →
90.0% Win Rate +92.4% Return -6.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees