Paper Trades / HBAR / HBAR — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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HBAR Hedera Paper Trade

HBAR — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Hedera (HBAR) uses hashgraph consensus technology and is governed by a council of major enterprises including Google, IBM, and Boeing. Designed for enterprise adoption with high throughput and low fees, HBAR price responds to partnership announcements and enterprise integration news. Its governance-driven price catalysts create distinct momentum patterns.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ HBAR Signals →

HBAR — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Hedera (HBAR) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+63.3%
€10,000 →
€16,334
Win Rate
61.1%
11W / 1L
Trades
12
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.94%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
11W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+54.97%
▲ +8.37
Win Rate
85.7%
▼ -24.61
Sharpe
10.84
▼ -10.84
Alpha vs B&H
+90.41pp
▼ -90.41
Max DD
-1.16%
▼ -3.78
Avg DD
-2.49%
▲ +2.49
Risk / Reward
47.26×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+63.34%
Win Rate
61.1%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.94%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
V2.5.8.3
Return
+39.85%
▲ +23.49
Win Rate
65.0%
▼ -3.90
Sharpe
0.00
≈
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
≈
Max DD
-0.60%
▼ -4.34
Avg DD
0.00%
≈
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
20
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

HBAR

HBAR Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +112.6%
15t
 		+105.8%
14t
 		+55.0%
14t
 		+39.8%
13t
 		+84.2%
12t
 		+32.4%
11t
 		+151.4%
15t
 		+55.0%
14t
—
—
—
—
 +8,901.3%

All months for HBAR under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — HBAR — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
+1.1
3
—
4
—
5
+15.3
6
—
7
+6.6
8
—
9
—
10
+1.6
11
—
12
+6.9
13
—
14
+5.1
15
—
16
+0.2
17
-1.2
18
—
19
+7.3
20
—
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
+6.2
25
—
26
+0.6
27
+0.4
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +63.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 61.1%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +8.20% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 90.0% +3.37% +38.58% 18h
BEAR 2 100.0% +8.20% +16.57% 21h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Mar 2025 06:00 02 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.25 $0.25 +1.14% BEAR 6h
03 Mar 2025 21:00 05 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.22 $0.26 +15.26% BEAR 1.5d
06 Mar 2025 18:00 07 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.24 $0.25 +6.63% SIDEWAYS 18h
09 Mar 2025 22:00 10 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.20 $0.21 +1.55% SIDEWAYS 11h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 12 Mar 2025 08:00 $0.19 $0.20 +6.91% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
13 Mar 2025 18:00 14 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.19 $0.20 +5.10% SIDEWAYS 23h
16 Mar 2025 14:00 16 Mar 2025 16:00 $0.19 $0.19 +0.16% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Mar 2025 09:00 17 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.19 $0.19 -1.16% SIDEWAYS 6h
18 Mar 2025 13:00 19 Mar 2025 22:00 $0.18 $0.20 +7.25% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
23 Mar 2025 01:00 24 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.18 $0.19 +6.16% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
26 Mar 2025 04:00 26 Mar 2025 06:00 $0.20 $0.20 +0.60% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Mar 2025 12:00 27 Mar 2025 15:00 $0.19 $0.19 +0.45% SIDEWAYS 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live HBAR signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Hedera Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time HBAR signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → HBAR Signals → View Plans →
61.1% Win Rate +63.3% Return -4.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees