Paper Trades / PEPE / PEPE — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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PEPE Pepe Paper Trade

PEPE — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 14 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Pepe (PEPE) is a meme coin launched in 2023 that rapidly gained market capitalization through viral community growth. With no utility beyond its meme status, PEPE is purely sentiment-driven and exhibits extreme volatility. Our model's regime detection is particularly valuable for PEPE, as it identifies when momentum is building versus when exhaustion signals appear in these high-volatility assets.

PEPE — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Pepe (PEPE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-5.88%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+114.24%
▼ -2.64
Win Rate
85.7%
▼ -1.31
Sharpe
12.96
▼ -12.96
Alpha vs B&H
+148.71pp
▼ -148.71
Max DD
-1.55%
▼ -4.33
Avg DD
-5.22%
▲ +5.22
Risk / Reward
73.71×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+111.60%
Win Rate
84.4%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-5.88%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
V2.5.8.3
Return
+18.54%
▲ +93.06
Win Rate
70.0%
▲ +14.40
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.92%
▼ -1.96
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
20
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

PEPE

PEPE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +114.2%
14t
+82.3%
17t
+127.6%
12t
+92.4%
10t
+195.4%
14t
+57.4%
13t
+103.4%
11t
+47.7%
11t
+23,778.7%

All months for PEPE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — PEPE — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
-0.1
9
+3.0
10
11
+3.1
12
13
14
15
16
+13.8
17
18
+12.7
19
+6.1
20
+7.7
21
22
+4.6
23
24
+5.9
25
+1.1
26
27
28
+4.2
29
+10.8
30
-1.6
31
+11.9
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +111.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 84.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.44% on 2 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 12 83.3% +5.52% +88.45% 15h
BULL 2 100.0% +8.44% +17.29% 1.9d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 14 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
08 Jan 2025 13:00 08 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 -0.08% BUBBLE 3h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.96% BUBBLE 3h
10 Jan 2025 05:00 11 Jan 2025 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.08% BULL 1.3d
13 Jan 2025 13:00 16 Jan 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +13.79% BULL 2.5d
16 Jan 2025 15:00 18 Jan 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +12.71% BUBBLE 1.4d
19 Jan 2025 12:00 19 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.08% BUBBLE 4h
20 Jan 2025 04:00 20 Jan 2025 09:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.70% BUBBLE 6h
21 Jan 2025 01:00 22 Jan 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.59% BUBBLE 24h
23 Jan 2025 01:00 24 Jan 2025 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.89% BUBBLE 1.5d
25 Jan 2025 02:00 25 Jan 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.05% BUBBLE 15h
27 Jan 2025 09:00 28 Jan 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.20% BUBBLE 17h
28 Jan 2025 21:00 29 Jan 2025 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +10.75% BUBBLE 1d
30 Jan 2025 10:00 30 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.55% BUBBLE 3h
31 Jan 2025 06:00 31 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.00 $0.00 +11.88% BUBBLE 10h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live PEPE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Pepe Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time PEPE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

84.4% Win Rate +111.6% Return -5.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees