Paper Trades / PEPE / PEPE — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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PEPE Pepe Paper Trade

PEPE — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 16 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Pepe (PEPE) is a meme coin launched in 2023 that rapidly gained market capitalization through viral community growth. With no utility beyond its meme status, PEPE is purely sentiment-driven and exhibits extreme volatility. Our model's regime detection is particularly valuable for PEPE, as it identifies when momentum is building versus when exhaustion signals appear in these high-volatility assets.

PEPE — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Pepe (PEPE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-9.64%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
14W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+82.27%
▼ -10.88
Win Rate
94.1%
▼ -3.22
Sharpe
12.07
▼ -12.07
Alpha vs B&H
+118.56pp
▼ -118.56
Max DD
-9.11%
▼ -0.53
Avg DD
-7.59%
▲ +7.59
Risk / Reward
9.03×
Trades
17
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+71.39%
Win Rate
90.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-9.64%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16
V2.5.8.3
Return
+20.06%
▲ +51.33
Win Rate
91.3%
▼ -0.40
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.68%
▼ -8.96
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
23
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

PEPE

PEPE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +114.2%
14t
+82.3%
17t
+127.6%
12t
+92.4%
10t
+195.4%
14t
+57.4%
13t
+103.4%
11t
+47.7%
11t
+23,778.7%

All months for PEPE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — PEPE — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
-18.2
4
+4.9
5
+1.1
6
+0.8
7
+5.2
8
9
+6.1
10
+2.4
11
+5.8
12
13
+6.6
14
+9.5
15
16
17
+3.8
18
19
20
+7.3
21
22
23
+4.3
24
25
26
+5.6
27
+6.6
28
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +71.4% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 90.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.99% on 13 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 13 100.0% +4.99% +87.72% 21h
BUBBLE 2 50.0% +2.50% +4.92% 8h
BULL 1 0.0% -18.21% -18.21% 9h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Feb 2025 18:00 03 Feb 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 -18.21% BULL 9h
03 Feb 2025 15:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.07% BUBBLE 11h
04 Feb 2025 14:00 04 Feb 2025 17:00 $0.00 $0.00 -1.08% BUBBLE 4h
05 Feb 2025 07:00 05 Feb 2025 11:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.05% SIDEWAYS 5h
06 Feb 2025 00:00 06 Feb 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.78% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Feb 2025 00:00 07 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.20% SIDEWAYS 15h
08 Feb 2025 03:00 09 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.08% SIDEWAYS 23h
09 Feb 2025 20:00 10 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.35% SIDEWAYS 5h
10 Feb 2025 13:00 11 Feb 2025 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.77% SIDEWAYS 20h
12 Feb 2025 03:00 13 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.56% SIDEWAYS 22h
13 Feb 2025 16:00 14 Feb 2025 16:00 $0.00 $0.00 +9.55% SIDEWAYS 1d
16 Feb 2025 19:00 17 Feb 2025 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +3.79% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
18 Feb 2025 16:00 20 Feb 2025 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.27% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
21 Feb 2025 21:00 23 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.29% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
25 Feb 2025 01:00 26 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 +5.61% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
26 Feb 2025 19:00 27 Feb 2025 06:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.59% SIDEWAYS 12h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live PEPE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Pepe Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time PEPE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

90.9% Win Rate +71.4% Return -9.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees