Paper Trades / PEPE / PEPE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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PEPE Pepe Paper Trade

PEPE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 10 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Pepe (PEPE) is a meme coin launched in 2023 that rapidly gained market capitalization through viral community growth. With no utility beyond its meme status, PEPE is purely sentiment-driven and exhibits extreme volatility. Our model's regime detection is particularly valuable for PEPE, as it identifies when momentum is building versus when exhaustion signals appear in these high-volatility assets.

PEPE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Pepe (PEPE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-6.09%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
9W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+127.57%
▼ -8.93
Win Rate
83.3%
▼ -23.33
Sharpe
11.99
▼ -11.99
Alpha vs B&H
+132.65pp
▼ -132.65
Max DD
-2.72%
▼ -3.37
Avg DD
-3.97%
▲ +3.97
Risk / Reward
46.95×
Trades
12
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+118.64%
Win Rate
60.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-6.09%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10
V2.5.8.3
Return
+38.43%
▲ +80.21
Win Rate
78.3%
▼ -18.30
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-0.25%
▼ -5.84
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
23
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

PEPE

PEPE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +114.2%
14t
+82.3%
17t
+127.6%
12t
+92.4%
10t
+195.4%
14t
+57.4%
13t
+103.4%
11t
+47.7%
11t
+23,778.7%

All months for PEPE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — PEPE — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
+5.0
8
9
+1.3
10
-2.7
11
12
+21.4
13
14
15
+8.9
16
17
18
+13.4
19
20
+9.3
21
22
23
24
25
+13.5
26
+11.8
27
28
29
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +118.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • Healthy win rate: 60.0%.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +8.17% on 10 trades, WR 90%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 90.0% +8.17% +114.82% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 10 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Mar 2025 21:00 07 Mar 2025 19:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.97% SIDEWAYS 23h
09 Mar 2025 18:00 09 Mar 2025 22:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.31% SIDEWAYS 5h
10 Mar 2025 11:00 10 Mar 2025 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 -2.72% SIDEWAYS 3h
11 Mar 2025 02:00 12 Mar 2025 23:00 $0.00 $0.00 +21.39% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
13 Mar 2025 20:00 15 Mar 2025 04:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.88% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
16 Mar 2025 22:00 18 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +13.38% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
18 Mar 2025 13:00 20 Mar 2025 05:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.98% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
20 Mar 2025 19:00 20 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.00 $0.00 +0.25% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Mar 2025 00:00 25 Mar 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +13.50% SIDEWAYS 2d
26 Mar 2025 03:00 26 Mar 2025 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +11.75% SIDEWAYS 8h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live PEPE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Pepe Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time PEPE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

60.0% Win Rate +118.6% Return -6.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees