Paper Trades / PEPE / PEPE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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PEPE Pepe Paper Trade

PEPE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 13 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Pepe (PEPE) is a meme coin launched in 2023 that rapidly gained market capitalization through viral community growth. With no utility beyond its meme status, PEPE is purely sentiment-driven and exhibits extreme volatility. Our model's regime detection is particularly valuable for PEPE, as it identifies when momentum is building versus when exhaustion signals appear in these high-volatility assets.

PEPE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Pepe (PEPE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-9.57%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+195.44%
▼ -27.40
Win Rate
85.7%
▲ +5.99
Sharpe
17.82
▼ -17.82
Alpha vs B&H
+153.02pp
▼ -153.02
Max DD
-3.34%
▼ -6.23
Avg DD
-4.39%
▲ +4.39
Risk / Reward
58.59×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+168.04%
Win Rate
91.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-9.57%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
13
V2.5.8.3
Return
+16.07%
▲ +151.97
Win Rate
73.7%
▲ +18.00
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-1.63%
▼ -7.94
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
19
Open page →

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

PEPE

PEPE Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +114.2%
14t
+82.3%
17t
+127.6%
12t
+92.4%
10t
+195.4%
14t
+57.4%
13t
+103.4%
11t
+47.7%
11t
+23,778.7%

All months for PEPE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — PEPE — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
+1.4
6
7
8
+42.3
9
10
11
+2.7
12
+7.5
13
14
+4.5
15
-3.3
16
17
18
+8.1
19
20
+4.4
21
+9.0
22
23
+13.4
24
25
26
+8.1
27
+2.7
28
29
+6.7
30
31
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +168.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 91.7% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BULL — avg +9.19% on 6 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 7 100.0% +7.48% +65.21% 19h
BULL 6 83.3% +9.19% +60.98% 1.3d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 May 2025 05:00 05 May 2025 07:00 $0.00 $0.00 +1.41% BULL 1.1d
05 May 2025 21:00 08 May 2025 20:00 $0.00 $0.00 +42.31% BULL 3d
09 May 2025 11:00 11 May 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.66% BULL 1.6d
11 May 2025 21:00 12 May 2025 10:00 $0.00 $0.00 +7.53% BULL 14h
13 May 2025 01:00 14 May 2025 02:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.54% BULL 1.1d
15 May 2025 08:00 15 May 2025 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 -3.34% BULL 11h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 18:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.11% BUBBLE 17h
19 May 2025 12:00 20 May 2025 00:00 $0.00 $0.00 +4.41% BUBBLE 13h
20 May 2025 13:00 21 May 2025 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.99% BUBBLE 1d
22 May 2025 02:00 23 May 2025 01:00 $0.00 $0.00 +13.38% BUBBLE 24h
25 May 2025 15:00 26 May 2025 12:00 $0.00 $0.00 +8.15% BUBBLE 22h
27 May 2025 01:00 27 May 2025 13:00 $0.00 $0.00 +2.68% BUBBLE 13h
28 May 2025 15:00 29 May 2025 08:00 $0.00 $0.00 +6.66% BUBBLE 18h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live PEPE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Pepe Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time PEPE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

91.7% Win Rate +168.0% Return -9.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees