Paper Trades / PORTAL / PORTAL — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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PORTAL Portal Paper Trade

PORTAL — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) 15 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Backtest = Live (bit-identical) Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) Forward-look-bias audited

Portal (PORTAL) is a Web3 gaming aggregator that connects games across multiple chains with a unified wallet, identity, and asset layer. Listed via Binance Launchpool in February 2024 with limited but expanding history. Price reacts to gaming-cycle rotations, partner-game launches, and broader Web3-gaming narratives.

PORTAL — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Portal (PORTAL) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-8.06%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+88.90%
▼ -14.03
Win Rate
80.0%
▲ +0.40
Sharpe
12.75
▼ -12.75
Alpha vs B&H
+130.57pp
▼ -130.57
Max DD
-3.22%
▼ -4.84
Avg DD
-6.76%
▲ +6.76
Risk / Reward
27.60×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+74.87%
Win Rate
80.4%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-8.06%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

PORTAL

PORTAL Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +88.9%
15t
+85.6%
15t
+43.0%
13t
+80.4%
11t
+98.2%
17t
+82.4%
12t
+430.6%
21t
+100.6%
15t
+34,696.9%

All months for PORTAL under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — PORTAL — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
+3.6
7
8
-0.3
9
+2.7
10
+1.4
11
12
13
14
15
+9.6
16
-3.2
17
18
+6.3
19
+10.9
20
+7.2
21
+6.5
22
23
-0.1
24
25
26
+4.4
27
28
+6.2
29
30
31
+6.0
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +74.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 80.4% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +4.21% on 13 trades, WR 85%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 13 84.6% +4.21% +69.92% 13h
BULL 2 50.0% +3.17% +6.03% 1.1d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jan 2025 01:00 06 Jan 2025 04:00 $0.35 $0.37 +3.57% BUBBLE 4h
08 Jan 2025 13:00 08 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.29 $0.29 -0.34% BUBBLE 3h
09 Jan 2025 14:00 09 Jan 2025 16:00 $0.27 $0.28 +2.68% BUBBLE 3h
10 Jan 2025 05:00 10 Jan 2025 08:00 $0.28 $0.28 +1.42% BUBBLE 4h
13 Jan 2025 13:00 15 Jan 2025 10:00 $0.24 $0.26 +9.56% BULL 1.9d
15 Jan 2025 23:00 16 Jan 2025 05:00 $0.29 $0.28 -3.22% BULL 7h
17 Jan 2025 08:00 18 Jan 2025 00:00 $0.28 $0.30 +6.10% BUBBLE 17h
18 Jan 2025 19:00 18 Jan 2025 23:00 $0.26 $0.27 +0.23% BUBBLE 5h
19 Jan 2025 11:00 19 Jan 2025 14:00 $0.24 $0.27 +10.92% BUBBLE 4h
20 Jan 2025 03:00 20 Jan 2025 19:00 $0.23 $0.24 +7.16% BUBBLE 17h
21 Jan 2025 08:00 21 Jan 2025 22:00 $0.23 $0.25 +6.51% BUBBLE 15h
23 Jan 2025 13:00 23 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.23 $0.24 -0.11% BUBBLE 3h
25 Jan 2025 09:00 26 Jan 2025 03:00 $0.21 $0.23 +4.37% BUBBLE 19h
27 Jan 2025 06:00 28 Jan 2025 01:00 $0.20 $0.21 +6.22% BUBBLE 20h
29 Jan 2025 01:00 31 Jan 2025 04:00 $0.19 $0.20 +6.03% BUBBLE 2.2d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live PORTAL signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Portal Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time PORTAL signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

80.4% Win Rate +74.9% Return -8.1% Max Drawdown Net of Fees