Paper Trades / TAO / TAO — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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TAO Bittensor Paper Trade

TAO — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 18 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Bittensor (TAO) is a decentralized machine learning network where participants are rewarded for contributing AI models. As the leading decentralized AI protocol, TAO prices are heavily influenced by AI sector developments and network growth metrics. The token shows strong momentum patterns during AI narrative cycles and has distinct volatility characteristics compared to other assets.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ TAO Signals →

TAO — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bittensor (TAO) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+106.1%
€10,000 →
€20,605
Win Rate
83.3%
15W / 3L
Trades
18
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-18.27%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
15W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+122.68%
▼ -16.63
Win Rate
84.2%
▼ -0.91
Sharpe
12.68
▼ -12.68
Alpha vs B&H
+140.50pp
▼ -140.50
Max DD
-18.21%
▼ -0.06
Avg DD
-11.26%
▲ +11.26
Risk / Reward
6.74×
Trades
19
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+106.05%
Win Rate
83.3%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-18.27%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TAO

TAO Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +95.4%
19t
 		+122.7%
19t
 		+105.5%
12t
 		+136.9%
13t
 		+142.8%
15t
 		+86.8%
12t
 		+49.5%
14t
 		+72.1%
10t
—
—
—
—
 +24,624.4%

All months for TAO under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TAO — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
-18.2
4
+13.5
5
+3.2
6
—
7
+1.6
8
—
9
+11.1
10
—
11
+24.2
12
+6.1
13
—
14
+3.6
15
—
16
-1.0
17
+0.0
18
—
19
+16.7
20
—
21
+0.4
22
+0.7
23
—
24
+0.2
25
+7.4
26
—
27
+2.0
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +106.1% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↓ Large drawdown: -18.3% — expect volatility on capital.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.73% on 16 trades, WR 88%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 16 87.5% +4.73% +103.91% 12h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +13.48% +13.48% 12h
BULL 1 0.0% -18.21% -18.21% 7h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Feb 2025 19:00 03 Feb 2025 01:00 $368.40 $302.87 -18.21% BULL 7h
03 Feb 2025 14:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $337.00 $382.80 +13.48% BUBBLE 12h
05 Feb 2025 18:00 05 Feb 2025 20:00 $344.30 $355.50 +3.15% SIDEWAYS 3h
07 Feb 2025 05:00 07 Feb 2025 11:00 $330.00 $335.60 +1.60% SIDEWAYS 7h
08 Feb 2025 00:00 09 Feb 2025 06:00 $324.50 $360.80 +11.08% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
09 Feb 2025 19:00 11 Feb 2025 06:00 $359.00 $434.30 +20.85% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
11 Feb 2025 19:00 11 Feb 2025 21:00 $408.20 $420.00 +2.79% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Feb 2025 13:00 12 Feb 2025 22:00 $383.10 $406.70 +6.05% SIDEWAYS 10h
13 Feb 2025 12:00 14 Feb 2025 16:00 $382.90 $397.20 +3.63% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
16 Feb 2025 21:00 16 Feb 2025 23:00 $361.90 $359.80 -0.99% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Feb 2025 12:00 17 Feb 2025 14:00 $373.60 $374.10 +0.03% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Feb 2025 07:00 19 Feb 2025 23:00 $359.80 $420.20 +16.67% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
20 Feb 2025 15:00 21 Feb 2025 01:00 $445.50 $459.00 +2.93% SIDEWAYS 11h
21 Feb 2025 16:00 21 Feb 2025 18:00 $459.30 $448.40 -2.47% SIDEWAYS 3h
22 Feb 2025 09:00 22 Feb 2025 11:00 $432.80 $436.40 +0.73% SIDEWAYS 3h
24 Feb 2025 09:00 24 Feb 2025 11:00 $426.90 $428.10 +0.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Feb 2025 15:00 25 Feb 2025 21:00 $363.20 $390.60 +7.44% SIDEWAYS 7h
27 Feb 2025 01:00 27 Feb 2025 03:00 $353.40 $360.90 +2.02% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TAO signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bittensor Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TAO signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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83.3% Win Rate +106.1% Return -18.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees