Paper Trades / TAO / TAO — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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TAO Bittensor Paper Trade

TAO — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Bittensor (TAO) is a decentralized machine learning network where participants are rewarded for contributing AI models. As the leading decentralized AI protocol, TAO prices are heavily influenced by AI sector developments and network growth metrics. The token shows strong momentum patterns during AI narrative cycles and has distinct volatility characteristics compared to other assets.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ TAO Signals →

TAO — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Bittensor (TAO) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+140.7%
€10,000 →
€24,065
Win Rate
93.8%
14W / 1L
Trades
15
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-3.63%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
14W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+142.83%
▼ -2.18
Win Rate
93.3%
▲ +0.47
Sharpe
17.74
▼ -17.74
Alpha vs B&H
+118.44pp
▼ -118.44
Max DD
-1.17%
▼ -2.46
Avg DD
-3.32%
▲ +3.32
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+140.65%
Win Rate
93.8%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-3.63%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

TAO

TAO Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +95.4%
19t
 		+122.7%
19t
 		+105.5%
12t
 		+136.9%
13t
 		+142.8%
15t
 		+86.8%
12t
 		+49.5%
14t
 		+72.1%
10t
—
—
—
—
 +24,624.4%

All months for TAO under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — TAO — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+5.9
7
+4.9
8
—
9
+18.2
10
—
11
+8.1
12
+5.8
13
+3.8
14
—
15
+2.9
16
—
17
—
18
+2.3
19
—
20
+7.0
21
—
22
+7.1
23
—
24
+3.7
25
—
26
+6.6
27
+3.6
28
—
29
—
30
—
31
+14.6
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +140.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 93.8% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +7.07% on 7 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 7 100.0% +7.07% +60.21% 21h
BUBBLE 8 87.5% +5.63% +53.98% 16h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 May 2025 20:00 06 May 2025 01:00 $348.90 $371.10 +5.93% BULL 1.3d
06 May 2025 14:00 07 May 2025 02:00 $361.40 $379.40 +4.88% BULL 13h
07 May 2025 15:00 09 May 2025 02:00 $360.10 $426.00 +18.18% BULL 1.5d
09 May 2025 17:00 11 May 2025 00:00 $428.80 $463.80 +8.05% BULL 1.3d
11 May 2025 14:00 12 May 2025 02:00 $449.00 $475.40 +5.77% BULL 13h
12 May 2025 18:00 13 May 2025 10:00 $442.20 $459.30 +3.76% BULL 17h
15 May 2025 10:00 15 May 2025 18:00 $422.70 $435.40 +2.90% BULL 9h
18 May 2025 05:00 18 May 2025 07:00 $431.90 $428.60 -1.17% BUBBLE 3h
18 May 2025 20:00 18 May 2025 23:00 $410.40 $425.40 +3.55% BUBBLE 4h
19 May 2025 12:00 20 May 2025 10:00 $391.50 $419.50 +7.04% BUBBLE 23h
21 May 2025 16:00 22 May 2025 14:00 $440.00 $471.90 +7.14% BUBBLE 23h
23 May 2025 22:00 24 May 2025 10:00 $422.60 $438.70 +3.71% BUBBLE 13h
25 May 2025 12:00 26 May 2025 07:00 $421.70 $450.00 +6.60% BUBBLE 20h
26 May 2025 20:00 27 May 2025 21:00 $436.10 $452.10 +3.57% BUBBLE 1.1d
31 May 2025 01:00 31 May 2025 19:00 $371.00 $425.50 +14.58% BUBBLE 19h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live TAO signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Bittensor Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time TAO signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → TAO Signals → View Plans →
93.8% Win Rate +140.7% Return -3.6% Max Drawdown Net of Fees