Paper Trades / XAI / XAI — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XAI Xai Paper Trade

XAI — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Xai (XAI) is a Layer-3 chain built on Arbitrum specifically for Web3 gaming, allowing seamless in-game asset ownership and trading. Listed in early 2024 with limited but expanding trading history. Price responds to gaming-ecosystem catalysts, major game launches, and broader L3-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XAI Signals →

XAI — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Xai (XAI) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+57.3%
€10,000 →
€15,729
Win Rate
73.0%
12W / 4L
Trades
16
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-7.73%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 4L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+78.35%
▼ -21.06
Win Rate
82.4%
▼ -9.35
Sharpe
10.40
▼ -10.40
Alpha vs B&H
+117.90pp
▼ -117.90
Max DD
-5.93%
▼ -1.80
Avg DD
-6.88%
▲ +6.88
Risk / Reward
13.21×
Trades
17
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+57.29%
Win Rate
73.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-7.73%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
16

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XAI

XAI Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +78.4%
17t
 		+63.4%
15t
 		+48.9%
11t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+138.3%
16t
 		+61.2%
14t
 		+94.3%
18t
 		+95.4%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +12,322.3%

All months for XAI under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XAI — January 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+2.0
7
—
8
-0.9
9
+4.3
10
—
11
-1.3
12
—
13
-4.9
14
—
15
+7.6
16
—
17
—
18
+9.5
19
+9.6
20
-0.6
21
—
22
+6.7
23
+2.0
24
+2.5
25
—
26
+2.0
27
+4.1
28
—
29
+4.7
30
—
31
+2.9
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +57.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 73.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.75% on 13 trades, WR 85%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 13 84.6% +3.75% +60.40% 19h
BULL 3 33.3% +0.46% +0.98% 23h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Jan 2025 10:00 06 Jan 2025 17:00 $0.26 $0.27 +2.04% BUBBLE 1.3d
08 Jan 2025 13:00 08 Jan 2025 15:00 $0.22 $0.22 -0.95% BUBBLE 3h
09 Jan 2025 13:00 09 Jan 2025 16:00 $0.20 $0.21 +4.30% BUBBLE 4h
10 Jan 2025 06:00 11 Jan 2025 01:00 $0.22 $0.21 -1.33% BULL 20h
12 Jan 2025 23:00 13 Jan 2025 05:00 $0.21 $0.20 -4.88% BULL 7h
13 Jan 2025 18:00 15 Jan 2025 12:00 $0.18 $0.20 +7.59% BULL 1.8d
16 Jan 2025 11:00 18 Jan 2025 00:00 $0.22 $0.24 +9.55% BUBBLE 1.6d
19 Jan 2025 09:00 19 Jan 2025 18:00 $0.20 $0.22 +9.57% BUBBLE 10h
20 Jan 2025 07:00 20 Jan 2025 16:00 $0.20 $0.20 -0.65% BUBBLE 10h
21 Jan 2025 05:00 22 Jan 2025 01:00 $0.18 $0.19 +6.72% BUBBLE 21h
23 Jan 2025 05:00 23 Jan 2025 07:00 $0.19 $0.19 +1.99% BUBBLE 3h
23 Jan 2025 20:00 24 Jan 2025 06:00 $0.19 $0.19 +2.54% BUBBLE 11h
24 Jan 2025 23:00 26 Jan 2025 13:00 $0.18 $0.19 +2.01% BUBBLE 1.6d
27 Jan 2025 05:00 27 Jan 2025 22:00 $0.16 $0.17 +4.07% BUBBLE 18h
28 Jan 2025 21:00 29 Jan 2025 18:00 $0.15 $0.16 +4.65% BUBBLE 22h
30 Jan 2025 07:00 31 Jan 2025 13:00 $0.16 $0.17 +2.90% BUBBLE 1.3d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XAI signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Xai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XAI signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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73.0% Win Rate +57.3% Return -7.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees