Paper Trades / XAI / XAI — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XAI Xai Paper Trade

XAI — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 11 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Xai (XAI) is a Layer-3 chain built on Arbitrum specifically for Web3 gaming, allowing seamless in-game asset ownership and trading. Listed in early 2024 with limited but expanding trading history. Price responds to gaming-ecosystem catalysts, major game launches, and broader L3-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XAI Signals →

XAI — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Xai (XAI) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+62.0%
€10,000 →
€16,197
Win Rate
92.9%
10W / 1L
Trades
11
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-18.43%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 1L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+63.42%
▼ -1.45
Win Rate
93.3%
▼ -0.43
Sharpe
10.46
▼ -10.46
Alpha vs B&H
+101.99pp
▼ -101.99
Max DD
-18.21%
▼ -0.22
Avg DD
-10.83%
▲ +10.83
Risk / Reward
3.48×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+61.97%
Win Rate
92.9%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-18.43%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
11

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XAI

XAI Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +78.4%
17t
 		+63.4%
15t
 		+48.9%
11t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+138.3%
16t
 		+61.2%
14t
 		+94.3%
18t
 		+95.4%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +12,322.3%

All months for XAI under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XAI — February 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
-18.2
4
+7.1
5
—
6
—
7
+7.8
8
—
9
+7.9
10
—
11
+9.5
12
—
13
+8.7
14
+4.4
15
—
16
—
17
+4.7
18
—
19
—
20
—
21
+8.2
22
—
23
+6.5
24
—
25
—
26
—
27
+13.5
28
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +62.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 92.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↓ Large drawdown: -18.4% — expect volatility on capital.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +7.91% on 9 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 9 100.0% +7.91% +97.92% 1.3d
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +7.09% +7.09% 12h
BULL 1 0.0% -18.21% -18.21% 5h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 11 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
02 Feb 2025 21:00 03 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.12 $0.10 -18.21% BULL 5h
03 Feb 2025 14:00 04 Feb 2025 01:00 $0.11 $0.12 +7.09% BUBBLE 12h
06 Feb 2025 19:00 07 Feb 2025 13:00 $0.10 $0.11 +7.84% SIDEWAYS 19h
08 Feb 2025 02:00 09 Feb 2025 04:00 $0.10 $0.11 +7.90% SIDEWAYS 1.1d
09 Feb 2025 20:00 11 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.10 $0.11 +9.51% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
12 Feb 2025 11:00 13 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.10 $0.11 +8.65% SIDEWAYS 14h
13 Feb 2025 15:00 14 Feb 2025 18:00 $0.11 $0.11 +4.39% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
17 Feb 2025 07:00 17 Feb 2025 12:00 $0.10 $0.11 +4.68% SIDEWAYS 6h
18 Feb 2025 17:00 21 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.09 $0.10 +8.18% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
21 Feb 2025 21:00 23 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.10 $0.10 +6.51% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
25 Feb 2025 01:00 27 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.08 $0.09 +13.54% SIDEWAYS 2.4d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XAI signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Xai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XAI signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XAI Signals → View Plans →
92.9% Win Rate +62.0% Return -18.4% Max Drawdown Net of Fees