Paper Trades / XAI / XAI — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XAI Xai Paper Trade

XAI — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 10 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Xai (XAI) is a Layer-3 chain built on Arbitrum specifically for Web3 gaming, allowing seamless in-game asset ownership and trading. Listed in early 2024 with limited but expanding trading history. Price responds to gaming-ecosystem catalysts, major game launches, and broader L3-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XAI Signals →

XAI — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Xai (XAI) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+50.9%
€10,000 →
€15,092
Win Rate
66.7%
10W / 0L
Trades
10
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-4.88%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 0L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+48.92%
▲ +2.00
Win Rate
100.0%
▼ -33.30
Sharpe
9.26
▼ -9.26
Alpha vs B&H
+78.33pp
▼ -78.33
Max DD
0.00%
▼ -4.88
Avg DD
-3.21%
▲ +3.21
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
11
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+50.92%
Win Rate
66.7%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-4.88%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
10

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XAI

XAI Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +78.4%
17t
 		+63.4%
15t
 		+48.9%
11t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+138.3%
16t
 		+61.2%
14t
 		+94.3%
18t
 		+95.4%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +12,322.3%

All months for XAI under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XAI — March 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+0.9
7
+1.9
8
—
9
—
10
+4.2
11
—
12
—
13
+6.9
14
—
15
+9.1
16
—
17
—
18
+6.3
19
—
20
—
21
—
22
+2.2
23
+0.2
24
+5.2
25
—
26
—
27
—
28
+6.4
29
—
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +50.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 66.7%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +4.34% on 10 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 100.0% +4.34% +52.37% 22h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 10 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Mar 2025 01:00 06 Mar 2025 12:00 $0.08 $0.08 +0.86% SIDEWAYS 12h
07 Mar 2025 01:00 07 Mar 2025 15:00 $0.08 $0.08 +1.91% SIDEWAYS 15h
10 Mar 2025 01:00 10 Mar 2025 12:00 $0.07 $0.07 +4.17% SIDEWAYS 12h
11 Mar 2025 01:00 13 Mar 2025 06:00 $0.06 $0.06 +6.94% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
13 Mar 2025 20:00 15 Mar 2025 15:00 $0.06 $0.07 +9.14% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
16 Mar 2025 22:00 18 Mar 2025 03:00 $0.06 $0.07 +6.31% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
21 Mar 2025 14:00 22 Mar 2025 14:00 $0.07 $0.07 +2.24% SIDEWAYS 1d
23 Mar 2025 03:00 23 Mar 2025 11:00 $0.07 $0.07 +0.17% SIDEWAYS 9h
24 Mar 2025 01:00 24 Mar 2025 17:00 $0.07 $0.07 +5.21% SIDEWAYS 17h
28 Mar 2025 16:00 28 Mar 2025 21:00 $0.06 $0.07 +6.44% SIDEWAYS 6h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XAI signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Xai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XAI signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XAI Signals → View Plans →
66.7% Win Rate +50.9% Return -4.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees