Paper Trades / XAI / XAI — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XAI Xai Paper Trade

XAI — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 12 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Xai (XAI) is a Layer-3 chain built on Arbitrum specifically for Web3 gaming, allowing seamless in-game asset ownership and trading. Listed in early 2024 with limited but expanding trading history. Price responds to gaming-ecosystem catalysts, major game launches, and broader L3-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XAI Signals →

XAI — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Xai (XAI) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+91.3%
€10,000 →
€19,125
Win Rate
83.3%
10W / 2L
Trades
12
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-13.69%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
10W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+96.23%
▼ -4.98
Win Rate
92.9%
▼ -9.56
Sharpe
10.60
▼ -10.60
Alpha vs B&H
+69.44pp
▼ -69.44
Max DD
-4.49%
▼ -9.20
Avg DD
-8.74%
▲ +8.74
Risk / Reward
21.44×
Trades
14
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+91.25%
Win Rate
83.3%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-13.69%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XAI

XAI Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +78.4%
17t
 		+63.4%
15t
 		+48.9%
11t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+138.3%
16t
 		+61.2%
14t
 		+94.3%
18t
 		+95.4%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +12,322.3%

All months for XAI under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XAI — April 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
+2.1
9
+11.8
10
—
11
—
12
+3.5
13
—
14
—
15
—
16
+1.3
17
—
18
—
19
+18.4
20
-4.5
21
+14.2
22
—
23
+5.7
24
—
25
+7.7
26
—
27
-2.9
28
—
29
+7.0
30
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +91.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 83.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +5.94% on 10 trades, WR 90%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 10 90.0% +5.94% +75.84% 23h
BULL 2 50.0% +2.05% +3.90% 24h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 12 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 01:00 08 Apr 2025 01:00 $0.04 $0.05 +2.09% SIDEWAYS 1d
08 Apr 2025 23:00 09 Apr 2025 23:00 $0.04 $0.05 +11.80% SIDEWAYS 1d
10 Apr 2025 14:00 12 Apr 2025 09:00 $0.04 $0.05 +3.47% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
16 Apr 2025 13:00 16 Apr 2025 15:00 $0.04 $0.04 +1.30% SIDEWAYS 3h
17 Apr 2025 04:00 19 Apr 2025 02:00 $0.04 $0.04 +9.82% SIDEWAYS 2d
19 Apr 2025 15:00 19 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.04 $0.05 +7.83% SIDEWAYS 7h
20 Apr 2025 05:00 20 Apr 2025 10:00 $0.05 $0.05 -4.49% SIDEWAYS 6h
20 Apr 2025 23:00 21 Apr 2025 21:00 $0.05 $0.06 +14.19% SIDEWAYS 23h
22 Apr 2025 10:00 23 Apr 2025 03:00 $0.06 $0.06 +5.71% SIDEWAYS 18h
24 Apr 2025 04:00 25 Apr 2025 14:00 $0.06 $0.06 +7.66% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
26 Apr 2025 05:00 27 Apr 2025 01:00 $0.06 $0.06 -2.90% BULL 21h
28 Apr 2025 00:00 29 Apr 2025 02:00 $0.06 $0.06 +7.00% BULL 1.1d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XAI signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Xai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XAI signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XAI Signals → View Plans →
83.3% Win Rate +91.3% Return -13.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees