Paper Trades / XAI / XAI — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XAI Xai Paper Trade

XAI — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Xai (XAI) is a Layer-3 chain built on Arbitrum specifically for Web3 gaming, allowing seamless in-game asset ownership and trading. Listed in early 2024 with limited but expanding trading history. Price responds to gaming-ecosystem catalysts, major game launches, and broader L3-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XAI Signals →

XAI — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Xai (XAI) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+213.2%
€10,000 →
€31,320
Win Rate
80.6%
12W / 3L
Trades
15
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-14.34%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
12W / 3L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+138.31%
▲ +74.89
Win Rate
75.0%
▲ +5.60
Sharpe
10.53
▼ -10.53
Alpha vs B&H
+106.52pp
▼ -106.52
Max DD
-12.23%
▼ -2.11
Avg DD
-11.67%
▲ +11.67
Risk / Reward
11.31×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+213.20%
Win Rate
80.6%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-14.34%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
15

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XAI

XAI Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +78.4%
17t
 		+63.4%
15t
 		+48.9%
11t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+138.3%
16t
 		+61.2%
14t
 		+94.3%
18t
 		+95.4%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +12,322.3%

All months for XAI under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XAI — May 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
+3.0
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
+96.4
11
+4.9
12
-12.2
13
—
14
+8.0
15
—
16
+3.1
17
—
18
+4.6
19
+1.9
20
—
21
+2.9
22
+8.7
23
-2.2
24
—
25
—
26
+16.0
27
+9.5
28
+1.6
29
—
30
-4.2
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +213.2% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 80.6% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +17.20% on 6 trades, WR 83%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 6 83.3% +17.20% +107.50% 1.2d
BUBBLE 9 77.8% +4.31% +44.21% 13h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 May 2025 09:00 05 May 2025 04:00 $0.05 $0.05 +3.03% BULL 20h
06 May 2025 17:00 10 May 2025 11:00 $0.05 $0.10 +96.39% BULL 3.8d
11 May 2025 01:00 11 May 2025 20:00 $0.09 $0.09 +4.91% BULL 20h
12 May 2025 09:00 12 May 2025 17:00 $0.11 $0.09 -12.23% BULL 9h
13 May 2025 06:00 14 May 2025 02:00 $0.09 $0.10 +7.99% BULL 21h
16 May 2025 00:00 16 May 2025 07:00 $0.08 $0.08 +3.13% BULL 8h
18 May 2025 06:00 18 May 2025 20:00 $0.08 $0.08 +4.64% BUBBLE 15h
19 May 2025 09:00 19 May 2025 21:00 $0.08 $0.08 +1.85% BUBBLE 13h
20 May 2025 13:00 21 May 2025 03:00 $0.08 $0.08 +2.91% BUBBLE 15h
21 May 2025 18:00 22 May 2025 21:00 $0.08 $0.09 +8.71% BUBBLE 1.2d
23 May 2025 13:00 23 May 2025 15:00 $0.09 $0.08 -2.16% BUBBLE 3h
25 May 2025 13:00 26 May 2025 05:00 $0.07 $0.09 +15.97% BUBBLE 17h
26 May 2025 23:00 27 May 2025 16:00 $0.08 $0.09 +9.45% BUBBLE 18h
28 May 2025 05:00 28 May 2025 12:00 $0.08 $0.09 +1.61% BUBBLE 8h
29 May 2025 23:00 30 May 2025 02:00 $0.08 $0.08 -4.15% BUBBLE 4h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XAI signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Xai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XAI signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → XAI Signals → View Plans →
80.6% Win Rate +213.2% Return -14.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees