Paper Trades / XAI / XAI — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná)
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XAI Xai Paper Trade

XAI — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.0 (Itzamná) model.

v4.0 (Itzamná) • 18 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Backtest = Live (bit-identical) ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%) ✓ Forward-look-bias audited

Xai (XAI) is a Layer-3 chain built on Arbitrum specifically for Web3 gaming, allowing seamless in-game asset ownership and trading. Listed in early 2024 with limited but expanding trading history. Price responds to gaming-ecosystem catalysts, major game launches, and broader L3-narrative cycles.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ XAI Signals →

XAI — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) Performancev4.2 Theros

Xai (XAI) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+91.9%
€10,000 →
€19,193
Win Rate
90.0%
16W / 2L
Trades
18
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Risk / Reward
0.00×
B&H Return
+0.00%
Max Drawdown
-7.89%
Avg Drawdown
0.00%
Wins / Losses
16W / 2L
Model
v4.0 (Itzamná)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+94.32%
▼ -2.39
Win Rate
94.4%
▼ -4.44
Sharpe
13.47
▼ -13.47
Alpha vs B&H
+91.88pp
▼ -91.88
Max DD
-6.72%
▼ -1.17
Avg DD
-6.07%
▲ +6.07
Risk / Reward
14.04×
Trades
18
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ THIS PAGE
Return
+91.93%
Win Rate
90.0%
Sharpe
0.00
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
Max DD
-7.89%
Avg DD
0.00%
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
18

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

XAI

XAI Monthly Returns (v4.0 Itzamná)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025 +78.4%
17t
 		+63.4%
15t
 		+48.9%
11t
 		+96.2%
14t
 		+138.3%
16t
 		+61.2%
14t
 		+94.3%
18t
 		+95.4%
12t
—
—
—
—
 +12,322.3%

All months for XAI under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — XAI — July 2025 (v4.0 Itzamná) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
+3.9
7
—
8
—
9
—
10
—
11
+28.8
12
-6.7
13
+1.9
14
-0.2
15
—
16
+10.1
17
+4.4
18
+1.5
19
+1.8
20
+4.9
21
+1.3
22
—
23
+0.5
24
+0.8
25
—
26
+2.7
27
—
28
+1.3
29
+5.8
30
—
31
+3.6
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +91.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 90.0% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +3.65% on 17 trades, WR 88%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 17 88.2% +3.65% +77.92% 16h
BULL 1 100.0% +3.89% +3.89% 21h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
06 Jul 2025 02:00 06 Jul 2025 22:00 $0.05 $0.05 +3.89% BULL 21h
07 Jul 2025 23:00 11 Jul 2025 02:00 $0.05 $0.06 +27.14% BUBBLE 3.2d
11 Jul 2025 16:00 11 Jul 2025 18:00 $0.06 $0.06 +1.31% BUBBLE 3h
12 Jul 2025 11:00 12 Jul 2025 15:00 $0.06 $0.06 -6.72% BUBBLE 5h
13 Jul 2025 04:00 13 Jul 2025 13:00 $0.06 $0.06 +1.92% BUBBLE 10h
14 Jul 2025 03:00 14 Jul 2025 05:00 $0.06 $0.06 -0.25% BUBBLE 3h
15 Jul 2025 01:00 16 Jul 2025 14:00 $0.06 $0.06 +10.07% BUBBLE 1.6d
17 Jul 2025 03:00 17 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.06 $0.07 +4.41% BUBBLE 7h
18 Jul 2025 00:00 18 Jul 2025 03:00 $0.06 $0.07 +1.45% BUBBLE 4h
18 Jul 2025 21:00 19 Jul 2025 04:00 $0.06 $0.06 +1.84% BUBBLE 8h
20 Jul 2025 02:00 20 Jul 2025 19:00 $0.06 $0.07 +4.89% BUBBLE 18h
21 Jul 2025 21:00 21 Jul 2025 23:00 $0.07 $0.07 +1.25% BUBBLE 3h
22 Jul 2025 12:00 23 Jul 2025 00:00 $0.06 $0.06 +0.53% BUBBLE 13h
23 Jul 2025 21:00 24 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.06 $0.06 +0.80% BUBBLE 5h
25 Jul 2025 01:00 26 Jul 2025 09:00 $0.06 $0.06 +2.66% BUBBLE 1.4d
27 Jul 2025 07:00 28 Jul 2025 01:00 $0.06 $0.06 +1.34% BUBBLE 19h
29 Jul 2025 01:00 29 Jul 2025 07:00 $0.05 $0.06 +5.76% BUBBLE 7h
30 Jul 2025 10:00 31 Jul 2025 06:00 $0.05 $0.05 +3.60% BUBBLE 21h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live XAI signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Xai Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time XAI signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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90.0% Win Rate +91.9% Return -7.9% Max Drawdown Net of Fees