Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — January 2025 (v4.2 (Theros))
LEGACY · v4.2 (Theros)

AAVE Aave Paper Trade

AAVE — January 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.2 (Theros) model.

v4.2 (Theros) • 15 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AAVE Signals →

AAVE — January 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) Performance

Aave (AAVE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+143.7%
€10,000 →
€24,369
Win Rate
93.3%
14W / 1L
Trades
15
Sharpe
14.12
Alpha vs B&H
+148.27pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-4.58%
Max Drawdown
-0.70%
Avg Drawdown
-5.09%
Sharpe Trend
+1.74
Model
v4.2 (Theros)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+130.15%
▲ +13.54
Win Rate
93.3%
≈
Sharpe
13.21
▲ +0.91
Alpha vs B&H
+134.73pp
▲ +13.54
Max DD
-0.70%
≈
Avg DD
-5.29%
▲ +0.20
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
15
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+101.03%
▲ +42.66
Win Rate
92.9%
▲ +0.43
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +14.12
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +148.27
Max DD
-6.27%
▲ +5.57
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -5.09
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open v4.0 page →
V4.2 (THEROS) THIS PAGE
Return
+143.69%
Win Rate
93.3%
Sharpe
14.12
Alpha vs B&H
+148.27pp
Max DD
-0.70%
Avg DD
-5.09%
Risk / Reward
99+×
Trades
15

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

AAVE

AAVE Monthly Returns (legacy v2.5)

All months for AAVE under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — AAVE — January 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
—
4
—
5
—
6
—
7
—
8
—
9
+5.7
10
+1.9
11
—
12
+1.9
13
—
14
+14.2
15
+10.5
16
—
17
+9.2
18
-0.7
19
+12.3
20
+8.7
21
+7.4
22
—
23
—
24
+6.5
25
—
26
—
27
+3.0
28
—
29
+2.9
30
—
31
+10.7
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +143.7% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 93.3% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -0.7%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BULL — avg +8.94% on 4 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdown

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 11 90.9% +5.31% +75.27% 13h
BULL 4 100.0% +8.94% +40.38% 1.3d

Trade Log

All 15 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 +0.72% BUBBLE 13h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.97% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.93% BUBBLE 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +1.92% BULL 1.7d
$0.00 $0.00 +14.22% BULL 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +10.46% BULL 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +9.17% BULL 1.6d
$0.00 $0.00 -0.70% BUBBLE 4h
$0.00 $0.00 +12.30% BUBBLE 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +8.75% BUBBLE 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.41% BUBBLE 18h
$0.00 $0.00 +6.45% BUBBLE 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.99% BUBBLE 14h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.90% BUBBLE 17h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.68% BUBBLE 1.5d

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → AAVE Signals → View Plans →
93.3% Win Rate +143.7% Return -0.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees