AAVEAAVEAave$74.9500+3.19%
24h High$76.15
24h Low$71.83
Volume$5.4M
Updated16:58 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — April 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

AAVE Aave Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for AAVE - Aave. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the April 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 18 trades would have compounded to a final value of $17,899 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros 18 Trades Completed
Walk-forward validated Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

AAVE — April 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Aave (AAVE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Sharpe
15.42
Alpha vs B&H
+78.84pp
Risk / Reward
16.60×
B&H Return
+0.15%
Max Drawdown
-4.76%
Avg Drawdown
-4.02%
Sharpe Trend
+2.35
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest

Day-by-day — AAVE — April 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
2
3
4
5
6
+5.1
7
-3.5
8
-1.3
9
+0.8
10
11
+7.2
12
13
+13.3
14
15
+6.8
16
17
+5.9
18
+3.2
19
20
+3.2
21
+8.2
22
+2.4
23
24
25
+4.4
26
+3.7
27
+1.6
28
29
30
+1.1

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for AAVE over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
Entry Profit exit Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 18-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.14%
Avg Loss
-2.41%
Best Trade
+8.22%
Worst Trade
-3.53%
Avg Bars Held
14.6h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 10 (56%) Signal flip: 3 (17%) Trailing stop: 3 (17%) Stop-loss: 1 (6%) Short signal: 1 (6%)
Smart Insights
  • Exceptional return: +79.0% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • High win rate: 88.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.74% on 9 trades, WR 100%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 9 100.0% +3.74% +38.91% 16h
BEAR 9 77.8% +3.09% +30.85% 14h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 18 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
05 Apr 2026 11:00 06 Apr 2026 09:00 $92.01 $97.09 +5.09% BEAR 23h
07 Apr 2026 01:00 07 Apr 2026 10:00 $92.55 $89.48 -3.53% BEAR 10h
07 Apr 2026 23:00 08 Apr 2026 01:00 $95.79 $94.69 -1.28% BEAR 3h
09 Apr 2026 04:00 09 Apr 2026 07:00 $89.78 $90.57 +0.78% BEAR 4h
10 Apr 2026 01:00 11 Apr 2026 00:00 $90.35 $93.51 +3.36% BEAR 24h
11 Apr 2026 13:00 11 Apr 2026 18:00 $91.36 $94.82 +3.68% BEAR 6h
12 Apr 2026 14:00 13 Apr 2026 08:00 $89.30 $95.55 +6.85% BEAR 19h
13 Apr 2026 21:00 13 Apr 2026 23:00 $97.27 $103.26 +6.05% BEAR 3h
14 Apr 2026 17:00 15 Apr 2026 23:00 $99.20 $106.12 +6.83% BEAR 1.3d
16 Apr 2026 12:00 17 Apr 2026 02:00 $106.95 $113.41 +5.93% SIDEWAYS 15h
18 Apr 2026 19:00 18 Apr 2026 21:00 $103.76 $107.14 +3.15% SIDEWAYS 3h
19 Apr 2026 21:00 20 Apr 2026 03:00 $89.97 $93.21 +3.18% SIDEWAYS 7h
20 Apr 2026 16:00 21 Apr 2026 05:00 $87.93 $95.31 +8.22% SIDEWAYS 14h
21 Apr 2026 18:00 22 Apr 2026 10:00 $91.17 $93.46 +2.38% SIDEWAYS 17h
23 Apr 2026 06:00 25 Apr 2026 10:00 $92.02 $96.18 +4.42% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
26 Apr 2026 01:00 26 Apr 2026 21:00 $93.26 $96.81 +3.70% SIDEWAYS 21h
27 Apr 2026 20:00 27 Apr 2026 22:00 $96.31 $97.95 +1.60% SIDEWAYS 3h
30 Apr 2026 09:00 30 Apr 2026 15:00 $92.58 $93.67 +1.08% SIDEWAYS 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

88.9% Win Rate +79.0% Return -4.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees