AAVEAAVEAave$74.9500+3.19%
24h High$76.15
24h Low$71.83
Volume$5.4M
Updated16:58 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

AAVE Aave Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for AAVE - Aave. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the YTD 2026 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 56 trades would have compounded to a final value of $69,656 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 56 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AAVE Signals →

AAVE — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Aave (AAVE) — year-to-date paper-trade 2026-01-01 → 2026-05-01, single OOS window, model trained on data up to 2025-12-31. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

YTD Return
+596.6%
$10,000 →
$69,656
Win Rate
92.9%
52W / 4L
Trades
56
Sharpe
13.81
Alpha vs B&H
+639.65pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
-43.09%
Max Drawdown
-4.69%
Avg Drawdown
-3.22%
Sharpe Trend
+3.74
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — AAVE — YTD 2026 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for AAVE over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 56-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+4.13%
Avg Loss
-1.76%
Best Trade
+15.45%
Worst Trade
-3.49%
Avg Bars Held
18.8h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 31 (55%) Short signal: 9 (16%) Signal flip: 7 (13%) Trailing stop: 6 (11%) Stop-loss: 2 (4%) Take-profit: 1 (2%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +596.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 92.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 56 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +3.84% on 36 trades, WR 89%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BEAR 36 88.9% +3.84% +278.72% 18h
SIDEWAYS 20 100.0% +3.48% +96.73% 21h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 56 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
04 Jan 2026 02:00 05 Jan 2026 21:00 $163.79 $171.42 +4.23% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
06 Jan 2026 17:00 06 Jan 2026 22:00 $168.17 $174.71 +3.75% SIDEWAYS 6h
08 Jan 2026 10:00 09 Jan 2026 16:00 $165.38 $169.14 +2.17% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
10 Jan 2026 05:00 11 Jan 2026 10:00 $163.93 $166.74 +1.61% SIDEWAYS 1.3d
12 Jan 2026 11:00 14 Jan 2026 03:00 $164.60 $178.62 +8.41% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
16 Jan 2026 01:00 16 Jan 2026 10:00 $171.83 $172.86 +0.50% SIDEWAYS 10h
16 Jan 2026 23:00 17 Jan 2026 01:00 $175.35 $176.29 +0.44% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Jan 2026 15:00 18 Jan 2026 16:00 $174.56 $175.39 +0.06% SIDEWAYS 2h
19 Jan 2026 05:00 19 Jan 2026 20:00 $162.56 $165.68 +1.76% SIDEWAYS 16h
20 Jan 2026 21:00 21 Jan 2026 21:00 $154.39 $162.68 +5.23% SIDEWAYS 1d
25 Jan 2026 20:00 28 Jan 2026 02:00 $146.65 $159.43 +8.61% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
02 Feb 2026 01:00 02 Feb 2026 15:00 $126.33 $129.67 +2.22% BEAR 15h
03 Feb 2026 18:00 03 Feb 2026 20:00 $121.22 $129.04 +6.31% BEAR 3h
06 Feb 2026 01:00 06 Feb 2026 05:00 $105.79 $107.36 +1.38% BEAR 5h
06 Feb 2026 18:00 07 Feb 2026 04:00 $113.34 $115.15 +1.50% BEAR 11h
09 Feb 2026 09:00 09 Feb 2026 17:00 $111.16 $114.51 +2.91% BEAR 9h
11 Feb 2026 07:00 12 Feb 2026 15:00 $106.11 $108.70 +2.30% BEAR 1.4d
13 Feb 2026 04:00 14 Feb 2026 14:00 $111.11 $128.41 +15.45% BEAR 1.5d
16 Feb 2026 08:00 16 Feb 2026 12:00 $127.46 $128.32 +0.26% BEAR 5h
17 Feb 2026 11:00 17 Feb 2026 18:00 $124.57 $127.96 +2.59% BEAR 8h
19 Feb 2026 01:00 20 Feb 2026 00:00 $123.62 $125.90 +1.74% BEAR 24h
20 Feb 2026 14:00 21 Feb 2026 17:00 $116.97 $123.90 +5.82% BEAR 1.2d
23 Feb 2026 02:00 23 Feb 2026 09:00 $112.69 $117.80 +4.43% BEAR 8h
24 Feb 2026 06:00 25 Feb 2026 11:00 $112.30 $116.44 +3.54% BEAR 1.3d
26 Feb 2026 17:00 27 Feb 2026 08:00 $112.02 $121.20 +8.09% BEAR 16h
01 Mar 2026 02:00 01 Mar 2026 06:00 $116.66 $114.62 -2.25% BEAR 5h
01 Mar 2026 19:00 02 Mar 2026 15:00 $112.71 $122.94 +8.90% BEAR 21h
03 Mar 2026 15:00 04 Mar 2026 15:00 $109.99 $118.10 +7.23% BEAR 1d
05 Mar 2026 08:00 05 Mar 2026 11:00 $115.83 $117.75 +1.56% BEAR 4h
08 Mar 2026 18:00 10 Mar 2026 15:00 $106.02 $114.43 +7.82% BEAR 1.9d
12 Mar 2026 02:00 13 Mar 2026 12:00 $108.17 $117.31 +8.34% BEAR 1.5d
15 Mar 2026 02:00 16 Mar 2026 14:00 $111.43 $120.73 +7.90% BEAR 1.5d
20 Mar 2026 15:00 20 Mar 2026 23:00 $110.19 $111.26 +0.81% SIDEWAYS 9h
22 Mar 2026 15:00 24 Mar 2026 00:00 $107.40 $109.69 +1.95% BEAR 1.4d
24 Mar 2026 13:00 25 Mar 2026 10:00 $109.17 $114.87 +5.12% BEAR 22h
29 Mar 2026 11:00 30 Mar 2026 17:00 $95.83 $97.68 +1.40% BEAR 1.3d
31 Mar 2026 11:00 01 Apr 2026 02:00 $96.64 $97.25 +0.47% BEAR 16h
02 Apr 2026 13:00 02 Apr 2026 17:00 $93.30 $94.45 +1.10% BEAR 5h
03 Apr 2026 06:00 03 Apr 2026 11:00 $95.31 $95.36 -0.05% BEAR 6h
05 Apr 2026 08:00 06 Apr 2026 09:00 $92.75 $97.09 +4.57% BEAR 1.1d
07 Apr 2026 01:00 07 Apr 2026 10:00 $92.55 $89.45 -3.49% BEAR 10h
07 Apr 2026 23:00 08 Apr 2026 01:00 $95.79 $94.69 -1.25% BEAR 3h
09 Apr 2026 04:00 09 Apr 2026 07:00 $89.78 $90.57 +0.78% BEAR 4h
10 Apr 2026 01:00 11 Apr 2026 00:00 $90.35 $93.51 +3.36% BEAR 24h
11 Apr 2026 13:00 11 Apr 2026 18:00 $91.36 $94.82 +3.68% BEAR 6h
12 Apr 2026 14:00 13 Apr 2026 06:00 $89.30 $97.86 +9.14% BEAR 17h
13 Apr 2026 19:00 13 Apr 2026 23:00 $96.82 $103.26 +6.48% BEAR 5h
14 Apr 2026 17:00 15 Apr 2026 23:00 $99.20 $106.12 +6.78% BEAR 1.3d
16 Apr 2026 12:00 17 Apr 2026 02:00 $106.95 $113.41 +5.93% SIDEWAYS 15h
18 Apr 2026 19:00 18 Apr 2026 21:00 $103.76 $107.14 +3.15% SIDEWAYS 3h
19 Apr 2026 19:00 20 Apr 2026 03:00 $91.09 $93.21 +2.23% SIDEWAYS 9h
20 Apr 2026 16:00 21 Apr 2026 05:00 $87.93 $95.31 +8.28% SIDEWAYS 14h
21 Apr 2026 18:00 22 Apr 2026 12:00 $91.17 $93.77 +2.75% SIDEWAYS 19h
23 Apr 2026 06:00 25 Apr 2026 10:00 $92.02 $96.18 +4.42% SIDEWAYS 2.2d
26 Apr 2026 02:00 27 Apr 2026 01:00 $93.38 $98.48 +5.03% SIDEWAYS 24h
30 Apr 2026 05:00 30 Apr 2026 07:00 $92.53 $92.82 +0.15% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → AAVE Signals → View Plans →
92.9% Win Rate +596.6% Return -4.7% Max Drawdown Net of Fees