AAVEAAVEAave$74.9000+3.13%
24h High$76.15
24h Low$71.83
Volume$5.4M
Updated16:53 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

AAVE Aave Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for AAVE - Aave. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the H2-2024 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 99 trades would have compounded to a final value of $920,748 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 99 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AAVE Signals →

AAVE — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Aave (AAVE) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+9,107.5%
$10,000 →
$920,748
Win Rate
89.9%
89W / 10L
Trades
99
Sharpe
12.52
Alpha vs B&H
+8,847.69pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+259.79%
Max Drawdown
-4.24%
Avg Drawdown
-4.33%
Sharpe Trend
+5.66
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — AAVE — H2 2024 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for AAVE over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 99-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.91%
Avg Loss
-0.89%
Best Trade
+41.06%
Worst Trade
-4.24%
Avg Bars Held
15.7h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 53 (54%) Signal flip: 32 (32%) Trailing stop: 5 (5%) Take-profit: 4 (4%) Short signal: 4 (4%) Stop-loss: 1 (1%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +9,107.5% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 89.9% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Robust sample: 99 trades smooth out single-trade luck.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +6.61% on 44 trades, WR 95%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BUBBLE 44 95.5% +6.61% +1,388.00% 15h
SIDEWAYS 45 86.7% +3.67% +393.34% 16h
BULL 10 80.0% +6.14% +73.10% 18h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 99 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Jul 2024 23:00 09 Jul 2024 21:00 $78.20 $85.69 +9.13% SIDEWAYS 2d
10 Jul 2024 10:00 12 Jul 2024 15:00 $87.73 $96.97 +10.36% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
13 Jul 2024 04:00 13 Jul 2024 07:00 $97.03 $97.86 +0.72% SIDEWAYS 4h
14 Jul 2024 01:00 14 Jul 2024 15:00 $100.87 $102.66 +1.67% SIDEWAYS 15h
15 Jul 2024 06:00 15 Jul 2024 08:00 $105.11 $105.45 +0.22% SIDEWAYS 3h
15 Jul 2024 22:00 16 Jul 2024 00:00 $104.99 $104.48 -0.59% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Jul 2024 01:00 18 Jul 2024 09:00 $98.64 $99.38 +0.65% BULL 9h
18 Jul 2024 22:00 19 Jul 2024 19:00 $98.21 $100.98 +2.72% BULL 22h
21 Jul 2024 13:00 22 Jul 2024 02:00 $96.56 $97.17 +0.22% BULL 14h
25 Jul 2024 02:00 25 Jul 2024 17:00 $87.39 $96.67 +10.44% BULL 16h
26 Jul 2024 06:00 26 Jul 2024 13:00 $102.28 $101.26 -1.13% BULL 8h
27 Jul 2024 08:00 28 Jul 2024 05:00 $100.46 $100.38 -0.21% BULL 22h
28 Jul 2024 22:00 29 Jul 2024 16:00 $98.20 $101.17 +2.88% BULL 19h
30 Jul 2024 05:00 30 Jul 2024 11:00 $104.03 $106.20 +1.98% BUBBLE 7h
01 Aug 2024 02:00 01 Aug 2024 11:00 $105.51 $113.47 +7.44% BUBBLE 10h
02 Aug 2024 00:00 02 Aug 2024 07:00 $115.70 $116.13 +0.27% BULL 8h
03 Aug 2024 00:00 03 Aug 2024 10:00 $107.87 $115.64 +7.10% BULL 11h
04 Aug 2024 02:00 04 Aug 2024 06:00 $104.58 $108.27 +3.11% SIDEWAYS 5h
05 Aug 2024 04:00 05 Aug 2024 07:00 $84.72 $84.68 -0.21% SIDEWAYS 4h
05 Aug 2024 20:00 06 Aug 2024 00:00 $95.40 $101.93 +6.71% SIDEWAYS 5h
06 Aug 2024 13:00 06 Aug 2024 14:00 $102.49 $103.57 +0.92% SIDEWAYS 2h
07 Aug 2024 21:00 08 Aug 2024 02:00 $98.81 $103.61 +4.75% SIDEWAYS 6h
08 Aug 2024 15:00 08 Aug 2024 22:00 $96.76 $101.79 +5.09% SIDEWAYS 8h
11 Aug 2024 15:00 11 Aug 2024 17:00 $93.38 $94.03 +0.60% SIDEWAYS 3h
12 Aug 2024 06:00 13 Aug 2024 04:00 $92.95 $96.96 +4.21% SIDEWAYS 23h
14 Aug 2024 00:00 15 Aug 2024 14:00 $97.52 $110.31 +13.00% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
16 Aug 2024 03:00 16 Aug 2024 05:00 $108.37 $110.24 +1.62% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Aug 2024 19:00 17 Aug 2024 02:00 $113.53 $113.61 -0.03% SIDEWAYS 8h
19 Aug 2024 01:00 19 Aug 2024 06:00 $112.41 $114.27 +1.24% SIDEWAYS 6h
19 Aug 2024 19:00 20 Aug 2024 14:00 $117.86 $125.16 +5.96% SIDEWAYS 20h
21 Aug 2024 13:00 21 Aug 2024 17:00 $137.60 $141.79 +2.91% SIDEWAYS 5h
23 Aug 2024 01:00 23 Aug 2024 20:00 $134.81 $145.77 +8.02% SIDEWAYS 20h
27 Aug 2024 17:00 28 Aug 2024 09:00 $123.27 $128.96 +4.51% SIDEWAYS 17h
29 Aug 2024 05:00 29 Aug 2024 15:00 $123.54 $127.17 +2.84% SIDEWAYS 11h
30 Aug 2024 04:00 31 Aug 2024 08:00 $122.27 $132.77 +8.48% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
02 Sep 2024 01:00 02 Sep 2024 23:00 $120.79 $134.90 +11.22% SIDEWAYS 23h
03 Sep 2024 15:00 03 Sep 2024 20:00 $121.29 $127.22 +4.72% SIDEWAYS 6h
04 Sep 2024 09:00 04 Sep 2024 16:00 $131.72 $138.30 +4.86% SIDEWAYS 8h
06 Sep 2024 11:00 06 Sep 2024 20:00 $126.54 $121.34 -4.24% SIDEWAYS 10h
07 Sep 2024 09:00 07 Sep 2024 11:00 $126.47 $129.16 +2.02% SIDEWAYS 3h
08 Sep 2024 09:00 10 Sep 2024 04:00 $125.90 $137.89 +9.41% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
10 Sep 2024 17:00 11 Sep 2024 01:00 $149.48 $150.07 +0.29% SIDEWAYS 9h
13 Sep 2024 08:00 13 Sep 2024 11:00 $140.33 $142.33 +1.32% SIDEWAYS 4h
15 Sep 2024 02:00 15 Sep 2024 14:00 $145.16 $149.38 +2.49% SIDEWAYS 13h
17 Sep 2024 12:00 17 Sep 2024 14:00 $141.52 $145.19 +2.46% SIDEWAYS 3h
18 Sep 2024 10:00 19 Sep 2024 14:00 $135.76 $149.33 +9.89% SIDEWAYS 1.2d
20 Sep 2024 03:00 22 Sep 2024 09:00 $151.93 $157.58 +3.62% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
22 Sep 2024 22:00 23 Sep 2024 02:00 $161.40 $165.88 +2.67% SIDEWAYS 5h
24 Sep 2024 19:00 24 Sep 2024 21:00 $165.62 $168.06 +1.37% SIDEWAYS 3h
25 Sep 2024 13:00 25 Sep 2024 17:00 $166.83 $166.79 -0.12% SIDEWAYS 5h
26 Sep 2024 06:00 27 Sep 2024 22:00 $166.72 $173.72 +4.09% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
30 Sep 2024 10:00 01 Oct 2024 10:00 $155.97 $162.66 +3.86% BULL 1d
03 Oct 2024 01:00 03 Oct 2024 12:00 $142.16 $142.10 -0.20% SIDEWAYS 12h
04 Oct 2024 01:00 05 Oct 2024 13:00 $144.16 $149.43 +3.47% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
06 Oct 2024 03:00 06 Oct 2024 14:00 $146.86 $149.84 +1.93% SIDEWAYS 12h
10 Oct 2024 01:00 10 Oct 2024 15:00 $141.14 $144.26 +2.11% SIDEWAYS 15h
13 Oct 2024 02:00 14 Oct 2024 17:00 $152.80 $163.63 +6.65% SIDEWAYS 1.7d
17 Oct 2024 14:00 19 Oct 2024 07:00 $154.78 $156.67 +1.04% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
20 Oct 2024 03:00 20 Oct 2024 10:00 $156.78 $158.19 +0.80% BUBBLE 8h
22 Oct 2024 13:00 22 Oct 2024 15:00 $151.31 $152.29 +0.55% BUBBLE 3h
23 Oct 2024 16:00 24 Oct 2024 00:00 $145.87 $152.27 +4.28% BUBBLE 9h
27 Oct 2024 02:00 28 Oct 2024 17:00 $142.73 $149.32 +4.07% BUBBLE 1.7d
29 Oct 2024 22:00 30 Oct 2024 09:00 $150.86 $154.73 +2.43% BUBBLE 12h
04 Nov 2024 09:00 04 Nov 2024 12:00 $129.38 $130.86 +1.04% BUBBLE 4h
05 Nov 2024 01:00 07 Nov 2024 00:00 $130.05 $178.94 +37.46% BUBBLE 2d
08 Nov 2024 16:00 09 Nov 2024 17:00 $178.50 $190.56 +6.65% BULL 1.1d
10 Nov 2024 20:00 12 Nov 2024 01:00 $184.81 $187.72 +1.16% BUBBLE 1.3d
12 Nov 2024 14:00 12 Nov 2024 19:00 $180.06 $181.25 +0.53% BUBBLE 6h
13 Nov 2024 09:00 13 Nov 2024 14:00 $171.71 $186.79 +8.67% BUBBLE 6h
15 Nov 2024 01:00 15 Nov 2024 09:00 $157.22 $161.18 +2.42% BUBBLE 9h
15 Nov 2024 22:00 16 Nov 2024 10:00 $164.14 $170.86 +3.99% BUBBLE 13h
16 Nov 2024 23:00 17 Nov 2024 05:00 $168.95 $166.58 -1.50% BUBBLE 7h
17 Nov 2024 22:00 18 Nov 2024 07:00 $160.58 $170.11 +5.83% BUBBLE 10h
18 Nov 2024 20:00 19 Nov 2024 00:00 $168.96 $168.06 -0.63% BUBBLE 5h
20 Nov 2024 03:00 20 Nov 2024 09:00 $158.78 $165.12 +3.89% BUBBLE 7h
21 Nov 2024 04:00 22 Nov 2024 04:00 $159.02 $170.04 +6.82% BUBBLE 1d
22 Nov 2024 17:00 23 Nov 2024 14:00 $163.94 $183.13 +11.59% BUBBLE 22h
24 Nov 2024 13:00 25 Nov 2024 15:00 $165.97 $186.64 +11.99% BUBBLE 1.1d
26 Nov 2024 09:00 27 Nov 2024 22:00 $172.10 $210.19 +21.97% BUBBLE 1.6d
30 Nov 2024 04:00 30 Nov 2024 21:00 $200.75 $210.18 +4.59% BUBBLE 18h
01 Dec 2024 19:00 02 Dec 2024 14:00 $205.74 $229.20 +11.29% BUBBLE 20h
03 Dec 2024 03:00 03 Dec 2024 11:00 $227.20 $239.67 +5.38% BUBBLE 9h
04 Dec 2024 00:00 04 Dec 2024 17:00 $241.91 $264.91 +9.40% BUBBLE 18h
05 Dec 2024 06:00 05 Dec 2024 08:00 $246.67 $250.82 +1.58% BUBBLE 3h
05 Dec 2024 22:00 07 Dec 2024 03:00 $249.65 $287.84 +15.18% BUBBLE 1.3d
08 Dec 2024 10:00 08 Dec 2024 12:00 $279.66 $284.59 +1.35% BUBBLE 3h
09 Dec 2024 09:00 09 Dec 2024 13:00 $263.18 $274.99 +4.38% BUBBLE 5h
10 Dec 2024 02:00 10 Dec 2024 10:00 $255.92 $283.66 +10.73% BUBBLE 9h
11 Dec 2024 02:00 12 Dec 2024 12:00 $269.99 $381.23 +41.06% BUBBLE 1.5d
13 Dec 2024 08:00 13 Dec 2024 13:00 $363.74 $369.10 +1.37% BUBBLE 6h
15 Dec 2024 09:00 15 Dec 2024 16:00 $362.33 $375.98 +3.66% BUBBLE 8h
16 Dec 2024 07:00 16 Dec 2024 10:00 $384.47 $389.75 +1.27% BUBBLE 4h
17 Dec 2024 23:00 18 Dec 2024 08:00 $361.30 $369.86 +2.27% BUBBLE 10h
19 Dec 2024 20:00 19 Dec 2024 21:00 $312.60 $317.99 +1.62% BUBBLE 2h
20 Dec 2024 10:00 20 Dec 2024 19:00 $283.02 $336.33 +18.72% BUBBLE 10h
22 Dec 2024 02:00 23 Dec 2024 22:00 $297.18 $388.58 +30.22% BUBBLE 1.9d
25 Dec 2024 03:00 25 Dec 2024 09:00 $369.38 $382.44 +3.43% BUBBLE 7h
27 Dec 2024 22:00 28 Dec 2024 21:00 $324.35 $355.25 +9.42% BUBBLE 24h
29 Dec 2024 19:00 30 Dec 2024 01:00 $330.54 $343.91 +3.94% BUBBLE 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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89.9% Win Rate +9,107.5% Return -4.2% Max Drawdown Net of Fees