AAVEAAVEAave$74.9000+3.13%
24h High$76.15
24h Low$71.83
Volume$5.4M
Updated16:53 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / AAVE / AAVE — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

AAVE Aave Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for AAVE - Aave. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the Q2-2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 42 trades would have compounded to a final value of $102,489 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 42 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Aave (AAVE) is the governance token of the Aave protocol, one of the largest decentralized lending platforms in DeFi. Users can lend and borrow cryptocurrency without intermediaries. AAVE price is closely tied to DeFi activity, total value locked, and Ethereum ecosystem health. Its strong correlation with ETH combined with DeFi-specific catalysts creates trading opportunities that our model captures through multi-feature analysis.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ AAVE Signals →

AAVE — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Aave (AAVE) — compounded across 3 months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Quarterly Return
+924.9%
$10,000 →
$102,489
Win Rate
88.1%
37W / 5L
Trades
42
Sharpe
17.91
Alpha vs B&H
+841.53pp
Risk / Reward
99+×
B&H Return
+83.36%
Max Drawdown
-1.81%
Avg Drawdown
-3.99%
Sharpe Trend
+1.73
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Day-by-day — AAVE — Q2 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for AAVE over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 42-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+7.16%
Avg Loss
-0.94%
Best Trade
+25.59%
Worst Trade
-1.81%
Avg Bars Held
22.1h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Forward-pred: 22 (52%) Short signal: 9 (21%) Signal flip: 5 (12%) Take-profit: 4 (10%) Trailing stop: 2 (5%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +924.9% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 88.1% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.8%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BUBBLE — avg +6.59% on 11 trades, WR 91%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
BULL 20 90.0% +5.80% +199.76% 23h
BUBBLE 11 90.9% +6.59% +98.12% 18h
SIDEWAYS 11 81.8% +6.52% +96.90% 1.0d

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 42 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
07 Apr 2025 01:00 07 Apr 2025 14:00 $129.26 $131.10 +1.01% SIDEWAYS 14h
08 Apr 2025 23:00 09 Apr 2025 17:00 $125.30 $141.68 +12.89% SIDEWAYS 19h
10 Apr 2025 16:00 12 Apr 2025 13:00 $130.34 $144.40 +10.64% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
13 Apr 2025 20:00 14 Apr 2025 10:00 $139.13 $145.98 +4.82% SIDEWAYS 15h
16 Apr 2025 01:00 16 Apr 2025 03:00 $135.80 $135.85 -0.06% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Apr 2025 16:00 18 Apr 2025 13:00 $135.18 $139.13 +2.82% SIDEWAYS 1.9d
20 Apr 2025 08:00 22 Apr 2025 21:00 $139.70 $157.58 +12.34% SIDEWAYS 2.6d
24 Apr 2025 08:00 26 Apr 2025 01:00 $159.09 $171.78 +7.84% SIDEWAYS 1.8d
26 Apr 2025 14:00 26 Apr 2025 23:00 $166.58 $172.91 +3.70% BULL 10h
28 Apr 2025 01:00 28 Apr 2025 09:00 $162.61 $171.19 +5.17% BULL 9h
30 Apr 2025 13:00 02 May 2025 07:00 $155.76 $172.73 +10.74% BULL 1.8d
02 May 2025 22:00 03 May 2025 04:00 $173.62 $174.11 +0.18% BULL 7h
05 May 2025 00:00 05 May 2025 08:00 $173.26 $180.33 +3.65% BULL 9h
06 May 2025 09:00 07 May 2025 00:00 $168.66 $178.84 +5.90% BULL 16h
07 May 2025 17:00 09 May 2025 07:00 $168.80 $212.21 +25.59% BULL 1.6d
09 May 2025 20:00 10 May 2025 22:00 $210.78 $229.14 +8.60% BULL 1.1d
11 May 2025 14:00 12 May 2025 08:00 $218.00 $225.04 +3.13% BULL 19h
13 May 2025 02:00 14 May 2025 00:00 $214.10 $238.07 +11.08% BULL 23h
15 May 2025 08:00 15 May 2025 16:00 $231.01 $233.06 +0.79% BULL 9h
16 May 2025 05:00 16 May 2025 13:00 $236.15 $238.03 +0.70% BULL 9h
18 May 2025 02:00 18 May 2025 15:00 $221.67 $242.08 +8.76% BUBBLE 14h
19 May 2025 04:00 20 May 2025 06:00 $213.82 $268.25 +25.29% BUBBLE 1.1d
21 May 2025 18:00 23 May 2025 01:00 $245.20 $257.49 +4.91% BUBBLE 1.3d
23 May 2025 14:00 24 May 2025 16:00 $257.77 $272.68 +5.68% BUBBLE 1.1d
25 May 2025 05:00 26 May 2025 00:00 $270.59 $275.07 +1.55% BUBBLE 20h
26 May 2025 13:00 27 May 2025 12:00 $260.61 $281.31 +7.84% BUBBLE 24h
28 May 2025 19:00 29 May 2025 00:00 $261.19 $272.04 +4.05% BUBBLE 6h
30 May 2025 00:00 30 May 2025 19:00 $242.76 $253.81 +4.45% BUBBLE 20h
01 Jun 2025 02:00 01 Jun 2025 15:00 $240.96 $250.25 +3.43% BUBBLE 14h
02 Jun 2025 04:00 04 Jun 2025 08:00 $241.46 $269.59 +11.50% BULL 2.2d
06 Jun 2025 00:00 08 Jun 2025 06:00 $244.38 $254.38 +3.94% BULL 2.3d
09 Jun 2025 01:00 10 Jun 2025 00:00 $253.30 $284.72 +12.29% BULL 24h
10 Jun 2025 23:00 11 Jun 2025 01:00 $308.34 $307.02 -0.53% SIDEWAYS 3h
13 Jun 2025 01:00 13 Jun 2025 09:00 $267.28 $286.54 +7.10% BUBBLE 9h
15 Jun 2025 16:00 16 Jun 2025 13:00 $274.80 $292.11 +5.86% BULL 22h
19 Jun 2025 15:00 20 Jun 2025 10:00 $250.24 $259.98 +3.79% BULL 20h
22 Jun 2025 14:00 24 Jun 2025 03:00 $225.30 $259.55 +15.09% SIDEWAYS 1.6d
24 Jun 2025 16:00 24 Jun 2025 19:00 $269.22 $264.60 -1.81% SIDEWAYS 4h
26 Jun 2025 18:00 26 Jun 2025 20:00 $251.37 $255.75 +1.64% SIDEWAYS 3h
27 Jun 2025 09:00 27 Jun 2025 23:00 $263.20 $259.26 -1.60% BULL 15h
29 Jun 2025 02:00 30 Jun 2025 02:00 $258.34 $275.16 +6.08% BULL 1d
30 Jun 2025 15:00 30 Jun 2025 21:00 $275.88 $274.22 -0.70% BULL 7h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live AAVE signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Aave Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time AAVE signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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88.1% Win Rate +924.9% Return -1.8% Max Drawdown Net of Fees