ADAADACardano$0.161300-0.06%
24h High$0.17
24h Low$0.16
Volume$11.1M
Updated18:08 UTC
Modelv6.2 Pythia
Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — February 2025 (v4.2 Theros)
LEGACY · v4.2 Theros

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

We ran simulated live trades using the AlgoZilla Omniscius v4.2 Theros model for ADA - Cardano. The results below give you an overview of the most important Key Performance Indicators, Equity Curve and the Trade Log as simulated by our Pythia model. The returns have been accumulated over the February 2025 period. The simulated paper trades of the model show that an initial investment at the start of the period with 16 trades would have compounded to a final value of $16,862 (from a $10,000 base). All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). The model uses a 15‑minute delay on the signal on both entries and exits to simulate possible slippage when executing orders.

v4.2 Theros • 16 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Price & Trades Trade Stats Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — February 2025 (v4.2 Theros) Performancev4.2 Theros

Cardano (ADA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+68.6%
$10,000 →
$16,862
Win Rate
87.5%
14W / 2L
Trades
16
Sharpe
12.91
Alpha vs B&H
+98.84pp
Risk / Reward
34.38×
B&H Return
-30.22%
Max Drawdown
-2.00%
Avg Drawdown
-3.50%
Sharpe Trend
-3.54
Model
v4.2 Theros
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v5.0 (Kairos) is the current production model (live since 11 May 2026); v4.2 (Theros) was the predecessor; v4.0.1 (Pythia) and v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge during 2025; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+67.59%
▲ +1.03
Win Rate
87.5%
≈
Sharpe
13.63
▼ -0.72
Alpha vs B&H
+97.81pp
▲ +1.03
Max DD
-1.80%
▼ -0.20
Avg DD
-3.49%
≈
Risk / Reward
37.53×
Trades
16
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+62.40%
▲ +6.22
Win Rate
85.7%
▲ +1.80
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +12.91
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +98.84
Max DD
-4.58%
▲ +2.58
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -3.50
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
14
Open v4.0 page →
V4.2 THEROS THIS PAGE
Return
+68.62%
Win Rate
87.5%
Sharpe
12.91
Alpha vs B&H
+98.84pp
Max DD
-2.00%
Avg DD
-3.50%
Risk / Reward
34.38×
Trades
16

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

Day-by-day — ADA — February 2025 (v4.2 Theros) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
—
3
+27.6
4
+2.3
5
—
6
+1.7
7
+3.6
8
—
9
—
10
—
11
+19.5
12
+1.1
13
+2.5
14
—
15
—
16
+0.8
17
+6.4
18
—
19
+3.1
20
+3.4
21
—
22
+1.2
23
0.0
24
—
25
+3.2
26
+0.7
27
-2.0
28
—

Price & trade markersv4.2 Theros

1H candles for ADA over the test window with every entry (▲ green up-arrow) and exit (▼ green = profitable, ▼ red = loss). Hover a marker for trade details.

Loading 1H candles…
▲ Entry ▼ Profit exit ▼ Loss exit Powered by TradingView Lightweight Charts

Trade statisticsv4.2 Theros

Aggregates derived from the full 16-trade log of this period.

Avg Win
+5.50%
Avg Loss
-1.02%
Best Trade
+27.55%
Worst Trade
-2.00%
Avg Bars Held
12.3h
Exit-reason mix (hover badges for details)
Signal flip: 9 (56%) Forward-pred: 7 (44%)
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +68.6% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ High win rate: 87.5% — 4 in 5 trades close in profit.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -2.0%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: SIDEWAYS — avg +3.23% on 14 trades, WR 86%.

Per-regime Breakdownv4.2 Theros

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 14 85.7% +3.23% +53.68% 13h
BULL 1 100.0% +27.55% +27.55% 19h
BUBBLE 1 100.0% +2.31% +2.31% 3h

Trade Logv4.2 Theros

All 16 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
03 Feb 2025 01:00 03 Feb 2025 19:00 $0.63 $0.80 +27.55% BULL 19h
04 Feb 2025 08:00 04 Feb 2025 10:00 $0.73 $0.75 +2.31% BUBBLE 3h
05 Feb 2025 23:00 06 Feb 2025 02:00 $0.73 $0.75 +1.66% SIDEWAYS 4h
06 Feb 2025 19:00 07 Feb 2025 12:00 $0.70 $0.73 +3.63% SIDEWAYS 18h
09 Feb 2025 22:00 11 Feb 2025 07:00 $0.67 $0.80 +19.53% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
11 Feb 2025 20:00 12 Feb 2025 09:00 $0.78 $0.79 +1.08% SIDEWAYS 14h
13 Feb 2025 07:00 13 Feb 2025 20:00 $0.78 $0.81 +2.54% SIDEWAYS 14h
16 Feb 2025 03:00 16 Feb 2025 05:00 $0.78 $0.79 +0.75% SIDEWAYS 3h
16 Feb 2025 18:00 17 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.77 $0.82 +6.40% SIDEWAYS 21h
18 Feb 2025 19:00 19 Feb 2025 11:00 $0.75 $0.77 +3.13% SIDEWAYS 17h
20 Feb 2025 01:00 20 Feb 2025 20:00 $0.78 $0.81 +3.42% SIDEWAYS 20h
21 Feb 2025 22:00 22 Feb 2025 00:00 $0.76 $0.77 +1.18% SIDEWAYS 3h
23 Feb 2025 17:00 23 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.77 $0.77 -0.03% SIDEWAYS 5h
25 Feb 2025 08:00 25 Feb 2025 21:00 $0.66 $0.69 +3.17% SIDEWAYS 14h
26 Feb 2025 19:00 26 Feb 2025 23:00 $0.64 $0.65 +0.70% SIDEWAYS 5h
27 Feb 2025 12:00 27 Feb 2025 14:00 $0.67 $0.66 -2.00% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each period starts fresh with a clean $10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous windows. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that window. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

Get Started → ADA Signals → View Plans →
87.5% Win Rate +68.6% Return -2.0% Max Drawdown Net of Fees