Paper Trades / ADA / ADA — March 2025 (v4.2 (Theros))
LEGACY · v4.2 (Theros)

ADA Cardano Paper Trade

ADA — March 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — Simulated live trading results using the v4.2 (Theros) model.

v4.2 (Theros) • 13 Trades • Completed
✓ Walk-forward validated ✓ Net of fees (0.15% / 0.25%)

Cardano (ADA) is a proof-of-stake blockchain founded by Ethereum co-founder Charles Hoskinson. Distinguished by its academic approach and peer-reviewed research, Cardano emphasizes formal verification and methodical development. While its slower development pace has drawn criticism, it has built a loyal community and growing DeFi ecosystem. ADA tends to move with the broader altcoin market but with its own distinct momentum patterns during major updates.

Performance Monthly Calendar Day Grid Regimes Trade Log FAQ ADA Signals →

ADA — March 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) Performance

Cardano (ADA) — clean monthly entry, no carry-over from previous months. Net of trading fees (Bitvavo 0.15% + 0.25%).

Monthly Return
+73.3%
€10,000 →
€17,325
Win Rate
76.9%
10W / 3L
Trades
13
Sharpe
14.64
Alpha vs B&H
+72.00pp
Risk / Reward
57.59×
B&H Return
+1.25%
Max Drawdown
-1.27%
Avg Drawdown
-2.40%
Sharpe Trend
-6.41
Model
v4.2 (Theros)
Full Backtest
View →

Side-by-side: model versions

Same coin, same period, same data window — different model. All walk-forward validated. v4.0.1 (Pythia) is the current production model; v4.0 (Itzamná) confirmed the statistical edge across 46 coins; v2.5 is the legacy baseline.

v4.0.1 PYTHIA
Return
+78.53%
▼ -5.28
Win Rate
84.6%
▼ -7.70
Sharpe
14.34
▲ +0.30
Alpha vs B&H
+77.28pp
▼ -5.28
Max DD
-1.27%
≈
Avg DD
-2.32%
▼ -0.08
Risk / Reward
61.74×
Trades
13
Open v4.0.1 page →
v4.0 ITZAMNÁ
Return
+80.17%
▼ -6.92
Win Rate
57.1%
▲ +19.82
Sharpe
0.00
▲ +14.64
Alpha vs B&H
+0.00pp
▲ +72.00
Max DD
-4.90%
▲ +3.63
Avg DD
0.00%
▼ -2.40
Risk / Reward
0.00×
Trades
12
Open v4.0 page →
V4.2 (THEROS) THIS PAGE
Return
+73.25%
Win Rate
76.9%
Sharpe
14.64
Alpha vs B&H
+72.00pp
Max DD
-1.27%
Avg DD
-2.40%
Risk / Reward
57.59×
Trades
13

Δ-arrows on the counterpart cards show this page minus that version. Higher return / WR = better; smaller (less negative) Max DD = better.

ADA

ADA Monthly Returns (legacy v2.5)

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Σ
2025
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +84.8%
16t
 		+98.0%
15t
 		+34.6%
19t
 		+46.5%
15t
 		+39.6%
20t
 		+41.0%
14t
 		+1,320.2%
2026
—
—
—
 +18.6%
8t
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
 +18.6%

All months for ADA under this model. Click a cell to drill into that month's trade log. Color intensity = magnitude.

Day-by-day — ADA — March 2025 (v4.2 (Theros)) — compounded daily PnL within this period

Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
Sun
1
—
2
-2.3
3
-0.1
4
+17.5
5
+5.3
6
—
7
+2.1
8
—
9
—
10
+3.4
11
+10.5
12
—
13
—
14
—
15
+7.3
16
—
17
+1.5
18
—
19
—
20
+4.5
21
—
22
—
23
—
24
—
25
—
26
+7.4
27
+0.7
28
-0.6
29
—
30
—
31
—
Smart Insights
  • ↑ Exceptional return: +73.3% — compound across the full walk-forward window.
  • ↑ Healthy win rate: 76.9%.
  • ↑ Tight risk control: max drawdown only -1.3%.
  • ↑ Strongest regime: BEAR — avg +5.08% on 4 trades, WR 50%.

Per-regime Breakdown

How the model performs across the 4 market regimes detected by Omniscius.

Regime Trades Win Rate Avg PnL Compounded Return Avg Hold
SIDEWAYS 9 88.9% +4.09% +42.75% 20h
BEAR 4 50.0% +5.08% +20.66% 9h

Trade Log

All 13 trades executed during this paper trade period.

EntryExitEntry PriceExit PricePnLRegimeDuration
$0.00 $0.00 -2.25% BEAR 12h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.15% BEAR 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +17.46% BEAR 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +5.25% BEAR 3h
$0.00 $0.00 +2.14% SIDEWAYS 10h
$0.00 $0.00 +3.36% SIDEWAYS 11h
$0.00 $0.00 +10.51% SIDEWAYS 19h
$0.00 $0.00 +7.25% SIDEWAYS 1.4d
$0.00 $0.00 +1.49% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 +4.53% SIDEWAYS 1.5d
$0.00 $0.00 +7.37% SIDEWAYS 2.3d
$0.00 $0.00 +0.74% SIDEWAYS 8h
$0.00 $0.00 -0.58% SIDEWAYS 3h

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a paper trade?

A paper trade simulates real signal execution without real money. Each month starts fresh with a clean €10,000 allocation — no carry-over from previous months. This shows exactly what would have happened if you started following signals on day one of that month. View live ADA signals →

Are trading fees included?

Yes. All results are net of trading fees based on Bitvavo rates (0.15% entry + 0.25% exit). No slippage is applied. Trading via Bitget (0.1%/0.1%) would improve returns.

How does this relate to the backtest?

Paper trades use the same model and signals as the full backtest. The difference: backtests cover years of data across multiple market cycles, while paper trades show month-by-month performance in recent market conditions. Together they provide a complete picture.

Is the model retrained during the month?

Yes. The Omniscius model is retrained bi-weekly, which means paper trade results reflect the exact same model updates that live subscribers receive. This is not a static backtest — it is a living simulation. Learn about Omniscius →

Start Trading Cardano Smarter

These paper trade results show what our model delivers. Get real-time ADA signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit on every trade.

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76.9% Win Rate +73.3% Return -1.3% Max Drawdown Net of Fees